Andrew Sparrow and Claire Phipps 

EU referendum: Merkel says UK will lose out if it leaves EU – as it happened

Live coverage as prime minister faces Sky News Q&A, and opposition leader insists Labour is ‘overwhelmingly’ for In – but won’t share platform with Tories
  
  

Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, says the UK will lose out if it leaves the EU
Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, says the UK will lose out if it leaves the EU Photograph: Hannibal Hanschke/Reuters

Afternoon summary

That’s all from me for now.

Later I will be covering the Sky EU event with David Cameron. It combines an interview with a town hall-style Q&A. It starts at 8pm, but the blog will launch at around 7pm. You’ll find it here.

Updated

This is from Google Trends on the Corbyn speech.

According to the Sun, there’s a leak at Vote Leave HQ. Water is reportedly pouring through the roof ...

For an alternative view, try Economists for Brexit. They held a briefing this morning, attended by the Conservative MP David Davis and the Ukip leader Nigel Farage, among others, and they argue that mainstream economists who claim that Brexit will hurt the UK economy all assume the government would continue to impose tariffs on imports.

In a press notice, Professor Patrick Minford, EfB’s co-chair, explained:

In recent weeks there has been a relentless stream of output from modelling groups on the topic of Brexit - all of it negative. This has included long-term and short-term reports from not merely the Treasury but also CEP at LSE, PWC, Oxford Economics, the NIESR, the OECD and the IMF. The common element in the consensus outside EfB is that after Brexit, under the WTO option, the UK continues to maintain protectionist tariffs and other trade barriers against the rest of the world, including the EU. By contrast, EfB assumes unilateral free trade after leaving the EU.

What has emerged from considering all these approaches used by different modelling groups, is that they all assume post-Brexit, the pursuit of protectionist policies on imports by the UK. This reduction of the scope of free trade predictably would damage UK output and productivity whatever methodology is used.

The key difference in EfB is the use of the unilateral free trade assumption under which Brexit is a move towards free trade. This not only gives a long-term boost to output but also boosts the short-term outlook by the standard route of expectations; with suitable policies it can be generally popular and beneficial across all sectors. It also enables the UK to be strong in negotiations and take control of its own policy environment, independently of any actions by our EU neighbours. This in turn closes down short-term ‘policy uncertainty’, avoiding the ad hoc rises in credit and other financial costs. Thus the consensus has, in short, misrepresented the post-Brexit potential outlook quite seriously to UK voters in this referendum. It is the intention of EfB to bring this clearly to these voters’ attention.

The LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance has published a report looking at how the costs of Brexit would be distributed across income groups (pdf).

It argues that all households would lose out, because prices would rise, but that the pain would be spread relatively evenly.

Here’s an extract.

Looking solely at the ‘static’ short-run impact of trade, the income (not GDP) of the average UK household would drop by 1.8% (£754) per year in our most ‘optimistic’ scenario where the UK joins countries like Norway in the European Economic Area. Income would fall by 4% per year (£1,637) if the UK were to trade under World Trade Organization rules (in our more realistic ‘pessimistic’ scenario). If we take account of the longer-run dynamic effects of Brexit on productivity, the average household would lose between 6.1% and 13.5% of their real incomes per year (£2,519 to £5,573).

For the poorest tenth of households (the bottom decile), real income losses would be 1.7% to 3.6% in the short run and 5.7% to 12.5% in the long run. For the richest households, the short-run losses would be 1.8% to 3.9% and the long-run losses 6% to 13.4%. These are only very slightly smaller than the losses suffered by the middle classes.

And here is one of the charts.

Updated

This is interesting. It’s from today’s FT.

Here is the Guardian’s Politics Weekly podcast, with Rowena Mason, Gary Younge, Jon Henley and Rafael Behr discussing the EU referendum campaign and the Vice News fly-on-the-wall documentary about Jeremy Corbyn.

Here is my colleague Rowena Mason’s story about the Electoral Commission admitting the some non-British EU nationals have wrongly been sent EU referendum ballot papers.

And here is how it starts.

Some EU nationals have been wrongly sent postal votes and polling cards for the UK’s referendum because of a “systems issue”, the Electoral Commission has said.

The mistake means a number of EU nationals will have their votes cancelled and receive letters explaining they are not eligible to take part in the 23 June poll after all.

It is not yet known how many people are affected by the problem, but a spokesman for the Electoral Commission said they had only found a “handful” at this point.

Britain Stronger in Europe has put out this statement from Sir Nigel Sheinwald, a former ambassador to the US and a former permanent representative to the EU, welcoming Angela Merkel’s comment about how Britain would lose out if it left the EU. He said:

Yet another major ally has said that Britain is stronger, safer and better off in Europe.

Leave campaigners have repeatedly cited Germany as evidence of how easy it would be to renegotiate a trade deal with the EU, but this strikes a hammer blow to that argument.

Bob Geldof has featured in a video campaign launched by a pro-remain group seeking to mobilise the support of close to half a million Irish people entitled to vote in the referendum on the UK’s EU membership.

The Youtube video - which draws on the viral ‘Ring Your Granny’ campaign strategy which encouraged young Irish people to mobilise their relatives during Ireland’s marital equality referendum - features alternating ‘self shot’ clips by Irish people listing others who they will be lobbying to register by a 7 June deadline.

“My mate in Birmingham, my sister Patty up in the Wye Valley,” says Geldof.

“Ted in Islington ... The kids in north, south and east London. Every Irish person ... Vote.”

During the Scottish independence referendum campaign, the musician and campaigner made an emotional appeal at a rally in Trafalgar Square where he called on voters in Scotland not to break up the “family”.

On this occasion, his intervention has been more muted. The video was organised by the Irish4Europe group, whose activists were involved in a visit last weekend to London by the Irish prime minister, Enda Kenny.

In 2002, Geldof backed the campaign to keep the pound and featured in an advert launched by campaigners against Britain joining the single currency.

The #IrishForEurope #PhoneAFriend video

Updated

Jeremy Corbyn argued in his speech this morning that it was important to remain in the EU to protect workers’ rights. The Trade Union and Socialist Coalition, a fringe leftwing group, is arguing the opposite. It is holding a meeting in London tonight and, ahead of that meeting, TUSC’s Paula Mitchell released this statement.

The Trade Union Act has just been passed – the most draconian anti-trade union legislation yet seen in Britain. The EU has not prevented the Tories driving this through. Workers in France are fighting an almighty battle against new labour laws. Far from curbing the French government, the EU Commissioners have urged this attack on.

Trade unionists can have no faith in an undemocratic capitalist club to protect our rights. Everything we have, we have fought for, and we will need to do so again.

What’s more, the pro-austerity Brexiteers in the Tories and Ukip, seem to be aware that they cannot appeal to working class voters with their true position and are attempting to copy some of TUSC’s programme to win support. Pro-cuts Priti Patel has been attacking Cameron over his wealth while others feign concern over NHS funding. At this meeting you will hear the original and best 100% anti-austerity message from people who actually walk the walk.

Electoral Commission 'admits some EU referendum ballot papers have been sent to wrong people'

According to the BBC, the Electoral Commission has admitted that some ballot papers have been sent to the wrong people.

Earlier Vote Leave complained that some ballot papers had been sent to non-British EU nationals who are not allowed to vote.

Updated

Andrew Neil's EU referendum interviews announced

Andrew Neil may not be the BBC’s official lead political interviewer (presumably BBC management are a bit twitchy about his role with the Spectator, and his past as an opinionated Murdoch editor) but there is no one at the corporation who turns up to an interview better briefed, or who is less likely to miss the weak spot in a politician’s argument. Which explains why it is so rare that he gets the chance to interview someone like David Cameron.

But he is going to do four big interviews as part of the BBC’s EU referendum coverage. One, with George Osborne, has already been announced. Now we have the final list.

Monday 6 June: Hilary Benn, the shadow foreign secretary (remain)

Wednesday 8 June: George Osborne, the chancellor (remain)

Friday 10 June: Nigel Farage, the Ukip leader (leave)

Friday 17 June: Iain Duncan Smith, the former work and pensions secretary (leave)

Updated

Britain Stronger in Europe has rejected Liam Fox’s claim that leaving the EU could make it easier for young people to buy a home, because the government would be able to cut immigration. (See 8.50am.) It put out this statement from Tim Farron, the Lib Dem leader.

A vote to Leave Europe will destroy young people’s hopes of getting on the housing ladder. People have legitimate concerns about immigration but these are not going to be answered by wrecking our economy – risking job losses and higher prices.

Leaving would mean fewer jobs, higher prices and lower pay, making deposits harder or impossible to build up. And it means higher mortgage payments making first time loans less affordable.

It also pointed to this report from the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance (pdf) which says “the empirical evidence does not find positive effects of immigration on local house prices.”

Here are some more pictures from Boris Johnson’s visit to the cattle auction in Lancashire.

Katya Adler, the BBC’s Europe editor, thinks Angela Merkel’s intervention has been deliberately restrained.

Ellie Mae O’Hagan has written an article for the Guardian about the relations between Jeremy Corbyn and the media, prompted by the hissing of Laura Kuenssberg. She thinks that, for all the media’s fault, Labour should still try to work with them.

Zelo Street has a blog accusing the journalists who complainted about Kuenssberg’s treatment of hypocrisy.

But some Labour figures are siding with the BBC. This is from Stewart Wood, a Labour peer and a former close adviser to Ed Miliband.

This is from the Labour MP Wes Streeting.

And these are from Paul Richards, a Blairite former special adviser.

Updated

European Central Bank president says UK should stay in EU

Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, has said this afternoon that Britain should stay in the EU. This is from the ECB’s Twitter feed.

He is giving a press conference. There is more coverage on our business live blog.

Merkel says UK would not get same 'quality of compromise' if it left EU

ITV has a full story on Angela Merkel’s intervention. Here is the key quote.

You will never get a really good result in negotiations, particularly on very important issues, when you’re not in the room and giving input.

I personally hope and wish that Britain will stay part and parcel of the European Union.

We work well together with the United Kingdom, particularly perhaps when we talk about new rules for the European Union.

We have to develop those together with the United Kingdom and whenever we negotiate that, you can much better have an influence on the debate when you sit at the bargaining table and you can give input into those negotiations.

The result will invariably be better when you have that, rather than being outside of the room.

According to ITV, Merkel also said that the UK would not get the same “quality of compromise” if it left the EU.

Merkel is implying that the UK would still be bound by single market rules if it left the EU, and continued trading with it, but that it would not have any influence over those rules.

Vote Leave campaigners have said they do not want the UK to be part of the single market. But any trade deal between the UK and the EU would nevertheless involve some sort of compliance with EU regulations.

This is what Reuters have filed on Angela Merkel’s comments.

Germany wants Britain to stay in the European Union, chancellor Angela Merkel said on Thursday, adding it would be better for Britons if London can wield power from within the 28-member bloc rather than from the outside.

Merkel made her comments at a news conference with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg in Berlin.

This is from Bloomberg’s Robert Hutton.

This is from the BBC’s Berlin correspondent Jenny Hill.

This is from the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg.

Updated

Merkel says UK will lose out if it leaves the EU

Angela Merkel, the German chancellor, has spoken out about Brexit.

I will post more as soon as I get proper quotes.

Earlier Boris Johnson and his Vote Leave Tory colleagues, Michael Gove and Priti Patel, visited Farmhouse Biscuits in Nelson, Lancashire, a biscuits factory. The trip seems to have been scheduled entirely around a single pun, because this is what Johnson had to say.

I’ve never seen so much dough in all my life.

But never forget - no matter how much dough they have here, it’s nothing like the dough we are sending to Brussels every day: £50 quids worth, £350m a week over which we have no control.

These biscuits are an example of British dough that is well controlled.

They know what’s going to happen to these biscuits ...

This is a company that is in total control of its dough. They know it to the ounce how much they use. We have lost control of our dough.

David Cameron is taking part in a Sky EU referendum event tonight (we’ll be covering it live, of course), but it has also been announced that BuzzFeed News and Facebook will hold a “town hall event” (a Q&A, basically) with him on 10 June.

Commenting on it, Cameron said:

The referendum on 23 June is the most important vote in our country for a generation and the BuzzFeed News and Facebook event is a great chance to debate what sort of future we want for our country.

Earlier Boris Johnson sold a cow at the cattle market.

And here are two tweets from my colleague Rowena Mason, who is covering Johnson’s visit.

This is from the FT’s Jim Pickard.

Here is the New Statesman’s Stephen Bush on Jeremy Corbyn’s speech. And here is an excerpt.

On that metric, Corbyn’s speech today went very well. He made enough pro-EU noises to make grumbling from Labour’s more committed pro-Europeans look insurrectionist rather than constructive. He chucked a bit of red meat at his core supporters, bashing TTIP – a treaty that is now looks to be dead on arrival in any case - and re-announcing that a Labour government would renationalise the railways. And, crucially, he did just enough to hint to those few Labour MPs and activists who are anti-European that he might just possibly remain on their side, really ...

And just as the Prime Minister’s skill in holding his party together will be largely underappreciated until after he’s gone, Corbyn’s tightrope-walk is further evidence that he is a better player of the game of Labour politics than many of his opponents might wish.

Boris Johnson is speaking now at a Vote Leave event in Clitheroe, in Lancashire, at what seems to be a cattle market.

He says, if we left the EU, the government would maintain its support for farmers.

With the voter registration deadline for the referendum approaching, we are looking into reports of confusion with the process and with postal votes. To help us understand how widespread - or not - these issues are, let us know if you’ve been affected by any problems with registering to vote.

Jeremy Corbyn's speech - Summary and analysis

Jeremy Corbyn has been criticised in some quarters for not being willing to campaign alongside David Cameron for EU membership but after today’s speech any such complaints are totally superfluous. Corbyn and Cameron could never share a platform because, in relation to their views on the EU, there is virtually no overlap at all.

It is said by people who know him well that Corbyn would privately be quite happy to leave the EU (a view that he has has helped to substantiate by stressing that his position now is partly dictated by what the Labour party thinks) and some of the passages in this speech devoted to listing the benefits of the EU did sound half-hearted. But, given that he is not a Mandelsonian Europhile, it would be a great mistake to pretend that he was. Instead, Corbyn has identified a Remain argument that he can make with 100% conviction. He may not be opposed to Brexit, but does believe a Tory Brexit (ie, Brexit, combined with a Tory government likely to see this as an opportunity for a deregulatory free-for-all) would be “a disaster for the majority of people in Britain”. That’s not a case he could make credibly standing alongside Cameron.

The two men also disagree fundamentally on TTIP (the transatlantic trade and investment partnership, the proposed US/EU trade deal). Corbyn has expressed reservations about TTIP repeatedly in the past, but his commitment to opposing, or vetoing, it unless his concerns are met seemed stronger than anything said before. (Interestingly, it also opens up the question of whether a Corbyn-led government would continue to support EU membership after 2020 if TTIP were by then in place.) Corbyn was also quite powerful on the subject of immigration, arguing passionately that it was not migrant workers who undercut wages, but unscrupulous employers.

Corbyn also opened up a rift with the Tories on Remain tactics, rubbishing the Treasury’s “Project Fear” tactics and dismissing George Osborne’s warnings about the economy. Corbyn is, of course, right to say that some of the warnings from Remain have been hyperbolic, although whether is helpful to the campaign to say that now is another matter. And he was also rather vague, in his final answer in the Q&A, as to what he thought the negative consequences of Brexit would be. (See 10.56am.)

Which takes us on to the way the journalists were treated at the event, the booing after ITV’s Chris Ship asked a question about the claim that Corbyn’s campaigning has been half-hearted (see 10.36am) and the hissing at the very mention of the name Laura Kuenssberg (see 11.19am.) This has happened before, and not just at Labour events, and compared to the hazards some reporters face in the course of their work, it is trivial. But it is also indicative of a growing tendency to demonise the media which ought to be worrying if people are still reliant on them (us) to inform the public.

Here are the key points from the speech.

  • Corbyn said Labour was opposed to TTIP “as it stands” and would veto it if it were in government. (See 10.29am.)
  • He suggested that George Osborne’s warning about Brexit causing a year-long recession was bogus.

There are just three weeks to go until the referendum vote on 23 June, but too much of the debate so far has been dominated by myth-making and prophecies of doom. In the final stage of this referendum, as we get closer to what is expected by many to be a very tight vote, it does not help the debate over such a serious issue if the hype and histrionic claims continue or worse intensify ...

Just over a week ago, George Osborne claimed that the British economy would enter a year-long recession if we voted to leave. This is the same George Osborne who predicted his austerity policies would close the deficit by 2015. That’s now scheduled for 2021.

It’s the same George Osborne who said the British economy would be “carried aloft by the march of the makers” yet the manufacturing sector has stagnated ever since, and manufacturing employment declined.

  • He said the EU should strengthen rights for workers. He identified the agency workers directive, TUPE (the Transfer of Undertakings [Protection of Employment] regulations) and zero-hours contracts as three areas where greater protections were needed.
  • He said it was not migrant workers who were to blame for wages being undercut, but unscrupulous employers.
  • He said Labour would re-establish the migrant impact fund, to help communities affected by the impact of immigration.
  • He said the media was partly to blame for people thinking he had not been campaigning energetically for Remain. (See 10.36am.)
  • He accused Cameron of abandoning his commitment to the environment.

Too often the British government has had to be dragged kicking and screaming into acting to protect our own environment. As we know, we have a prime minister who has lurched from ‘hug a husky’ when he became Tory leader to, a decade on, ‘gas a badger’ and ‘poison the bees’. “Britain has dragged its heels, so much for David Cameron’s rhetoric of ‘leading the greenest government ever’.

Updated

Here’s a clip of Laura Kuenssberg’s question, and the moment she was hissed by Labour supporters.

BBC political editor Laura Kuenssberg being hissed as she asks Jeremy Corbyn a question.

Global Justice Now, a campaign group, has welcomed Jeremy Corbyn’s statement about Labour’s opposition to TTIP. In a statement Nick Dearden, its director, said defeat of the deal was now “a real possibility”.

Q: [From the FT’s Jim Pickard] You said George Osborne’s warnings about recession are histrionic. Do you think there would be no negative effects from Brexit?

Corbyn says there would be effects. But we have to have a serious discussion, not deal with the whole thing “on the basis of a fear agenda”, he says.

He says Labour is supporting Remain. But it is “not unconditional support for everything the European Union does”, he says.

He says he is putting the social Europe case, and the case for Remain and reform of the EU.

And that’s it.

I’ll post a summary and reaction shortly.

Q: [From Channel 4 News’ Gary Gibbon] If TTIP were signed before the referendum, could you support Remain.

Corbyn says that is a hypothetical question.

Q: That sounds like half-hearted support ...

No, says Corbyn. He says he is just saying it is a hypothetical question.

He says TTIP is a “seminal moment” in the extension of corporate power. It is strongly opposed in the US, he says.

He says there is also an issue to do with the regulations on imported goods.

What happens if you have tough regulations, but the same rules do not cover imports. “You can end up exporting pollution,” he says.

He says trade can be beneficial. But if corporations just have the whip hand, then rights are weakened.

He thanks Gibbon for his question.

Corbyn says EU rules protecting workers should be tougher

Q: A lot of people do not know about workers’ rights, and how they are relevant. What can we do about this? And how would you extend workers’ rights.

Corbyn says the posting of workers’ directive is important. And he says the agency workers directive needs to be toughened. And he calls for some tightening of TUPE, the transfer of undertaking (protection of employees) rule.

And he calls for tougher rules on zero-hours contracts. These are “cruel and unfair” because people do not know what hours they will get. He says he has come across far too many cases of constituents losing benefits because they did not know what hours they would be working. He says there should be basic rights across the EU. There are too many companies, especially in the fast food industry, making huge profits from the work of people on these contracts, he says.

He says Labour’s Workplace 2020 initiative is developing policies to address these problems.

  • Corbyn says EU rules protecting workers should be tougher.

Corbyn says we need to do more about air quality. If we do not take action, how many more children will have harmed lung capacity, he asks.

He says you can only deal with environmental pollution by working together.

Corbyn is now taking questions from Labour activists in the audience.

Q: Are the Tories determined to slash workers’ rights if we leave the EU?

Corbyn says we can either enforce workers’ rights, or have a race to the bottom.

He says he is convinced that the Tories leading the Leave campaign would, in their own words, start a “bonfire of regulations” on 24 June if the UK left the EU. Regulations do not sound very nice, he says. But he says they offer vital protections.

He says is is arguing for staying in the EU in order to build on what we have achieved, not destroy what we have achieved.

UPDATE: Here Bloomberg’s Thomas Penny on the question.

Updated

The BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg gets called.

She gets hissed by some in the audience. Corbyn urges people to stop.

Q: This morning the GMB general secretary Tim Roache said you are failing to get your message across. Is he right?

Corbyn says he is speaking to a GMB event on Sunday. He is getting his message out, he says. He says he is campaigning to extend and defend workers’ rights. He says it is the government’s austerity policies that are causing problems.

He says people should not blame migrants. It is unscrupulous employers who are to blame, he says. He says he will keep going on about the posting of workers directive. (See 10.21am.)

Q: [From Sky] Are you in danger of muddying the waters by attacking the Remain camp hype?

Corbyn says he does not accept that. He is putting a serious case for staying in the EU, he says.

Corbyn's Q&A

Corbyn is now taking questions.

Q: [From ITV’s Chris Ship] If Labour voters are key to winning the referendum, why do only half of them know the Labour party supports Remain. And can you say hand on heart you have campaigned as hard as you can for Remain?

Corbyn says it is partly down to the media, and how they report the Labour party.

This gets a loud cheer from the Labour activists in the audience.

He says he has done a great deal of campaigning. There are no no-go areas for his campaign, he says. He says come the vote no one will be in any doubt what Labour’s views are.

Corbyn is getting a standing ovation.

Corbyn is now wrapping up.

There is an overwhelming case to remain and reform so that we build on the best that Europe has achieved.

But that will only happen if we elect a Labour government, committed to engaging with our allies to deliver real improvements in the lives of the people of our country.

That is why we established the Labour In campaign, because we have a distinct agenda, a vision to make Britain better and fairer for everyone, by engaging with our neighbours.

Corbyn says Labour would re-establish the migrant impact fund

Corbyn turns to immigration, and he says Labour would re-establish the migrant impact fund.

On migration, we cannot deny the inevitable; we live in a smaller world. Most of us in Britain know someone who has studied, worked or retired abroad. We have reciprocal arrangements with the European Union. Our citizens, well over one million of them, live in other EU countries and EU citizens come to live and work here.

But it is not that simple, I’ve already talked about how some industries are affected by the undercutting of wages and the action that can be taken to tackle that. But some communities can change dramatically and rapidly and that can be disconcerting for some people. That doesn’t make them Little Englanders, xenophobes or racists. More people living in an area can put real pressure on local services like GPs surgeries, schools and housing.

This isn’t the fault of migrants. It’s a failure of government. The coalition government in 2010 abolished the Migrant Impact Fund; a national fund to manage the short term impacts of migration on local communities. By abolishing it, David Cameron’s Coalition undermined the proper preparation and investment that communities need to adapt.

We are clear, we would restore such a fund.

Corbyn on TTIP

I’ve just received the text of Corbyn’s speech. Here is the passage on TTIP in full.

Many thousands of people have written to me, with their concerns about the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (or T-TIP) the deal being negotiated, largely in secret, between the US and the EU.

Many people are concerned rightly, that it could open up public services to further privatisation – and make privatisation effectively irreversible. Others are concerned about any potential watering down of consumer rights, food safety standards, rights at work or environmental protections and the facility for corporations to sue national governments if regulations impinged on their profits.

I share those concerns.

A few weeks ago the French President, Francois Hollande, said he would veto the deal as it stands and to become law any deal would have to be ratified by each member state. So today we give this pledge, as it stands, we too would reject TTIP – and veto it in government.

And there is a challenge to the prime minister, if it’s not good enough for France; it’s not good enough for Britain either.

David Cameron make clear now that if Britain votes to remain this month you will block any TTIP trade treaty that threatens our public services, our consumer and employment rights and that hands over power to giant corporations to override democratically elected governments.

Corbyn says other EU countries have done better at protecting industries like the steel industry.

But he says he thinks EU rules are too restrictive.

He urges the UK government to act rapidly to protect the Port Talbot steelworks.

And he says Labour wants to bring the railways into public ownership.

Corbyn says Labour opposed to TTIP “as it stands” and would veto it if it were in government

Corbyn says many people are concerned about the transatlantic trade and investment partnership, TTIP, the proposed EU-US trade deal.

He says he has read and thought a great deal about this, and that he shares all the concerns raised.

He says the French president has also expressed concerns about it.

He says Labour would reject TTIP “as it stands” and veto it if he were in government.

  • Corbyn says Labour opposed to TTIP “as it stands” and would veto it if it were in government.

He challenges Cameron to say too that he would block TTIP if it threatened public services.

Corbyn says he recently held talks with Alexis Tsipras, the Greek prime minister.

The Greeks want to stay in the EU, but in a reformed EU, he says.

Corbyn says it is not migrants who undercut wages but unscrupulous employers

Corbyn says Labour wants the EU to reform.

He says there has to be a humanitarian response to the refugee crisis.

He says the EU should use its collective negotiating power “to stop corporations taking consumers to the cleaners”.

He says he recently asked Cameron at PMQs to reform the posting of workers directive. This would stop workers being sent abroad, and being paid less than the rate paid locally. The government must back this, he says. Abuses are rare, but this loophole only benefits unscrupulous employers, he says.

He says it is not migrants that undercut wages, but unscrupulous employers. Migrant workers are often victims of the worst exploitation, he says.

  • Corbyn says it is not migrants who undercut wages but unscrupulous employers.

Corbyn says a Tory Brexit negotiation would be 'a disaster' for workers

Corbyn says the EU has boosted workers’ rights.

On rights at work, Europe through the social chapter and other directives, has delivered:

· over 26 million workers in Britain benefit from being entitled to 28 days of paid leave and a limit to how many hours they can be forced to work;

· over 8 million part-time workers (over 6 million of whom are women) have equal rights with full-time colleagues;

· over one million temporary workers have the same rights as permanent workers;

· 340,000 women every year have guaranteed rights to take maternity leave.

And it’s important to understand the benefit of these gains. It means workers throughout Europe have decent rights at work, meaning it’s harder to undercut terms and conditions across Europe.

Several Leave supporters have stated clearly they want to leave Europe to water down workers’ rights, to rip up the protections that protect work-life balance, that prevent discrimination and prevent exploitation and injustice.

That is why we say, the threat to the British people is not the European Union - it is a Conservative government here in Britain, seeking to undermine the good things we have achieved in Europe and resisting changes that would benefit the ordinary people of Britain.

A vote to Leave means a Conservative government would then be in charge of negotiating Britain’s exit. Everything they have done as a government so far means we could not rely on them to protect the workplace rights that millions rely on. A Tory Brexit negotiation would be a disaster for the majority of people in Britain.

Corbyn mentions other benefits the EU has brought, such as the directive stopping mobile phone companies ripping people off.

And he turns to workers’ rights.

He says senior Tories are proposing to repeal the Human Rights Act.

But it was the Human Rights Act that led to the Hillsborough inquest, he says.

He says if the government repealed the Human Rights Act, and opted out of the European convention on human rights, the UK would be left alongside Belarus as the only European countries without these protections.

Corbyn says David Cameron has shifted a great deal on the environment since his “hug a huskie” days.

He talks about how the EU has helped to protect the environment, mentioning bees and beaches.

Corbyn says George Osborne recently said there would be a year-long recession if the UK left the EU.

This is the same George Osborne who said the deficit would be cleared by 2015. Now he is saying it won’t be cleared until 2021, he says.

Corbyn also attacks Boris Johnson for what he said about the EU not letting people sell bananas in bunches of more than three. He implies this was “bananas”.

Some of what has been said has been “nonsense”, he says.

  • Corbyn casts doubt on Osborne’s prediction that leaving the EU would trigger a year-long recession.

Corbyn urges people to vote, especially young people. There are just five days left to register, he says.

Corbyn says there have been too many “prophecies of doom” in EU debate.

Jeremy Corbyn is starting his speech now.

He says he wants to set out a positive case for Europe, but also a case for EU reform.

Too much of the debate has been dominated by myth making and prophecies of doom, he says.

  • Corbyn says there have been too many “prophecies of doom” in EU debate.

Jeremy Corbyn's speech

Here is the scene at the Institute of Engineering Technology where Jeremy Corbyn is about to deliver his EU speech.

Vote Leave poll shows people think immigration has had a bad impact on many aspects of UK life

Vote Leave has also released some ICM polling about the how people view the impact of immigration on various aspects of British life.

The bad new for David Cameron is that people think, in almost every aspect of life, immigration has had a negative effect.

The good news for him is that the one exception is the economy as a whole - which is probably by far the most important category. On this measure people still think immigration has had a negative effect, but the picture is much more mixed.

Here are the figures.

People were asked: Do you think the amount of immigration from EU countries over the last 10 years has been -

For the UK

Good: 26%

Bad: 49%

Neither: 19%

Net: -23

For the NHS

Good: 19%

Bad: 55%

Neither: 20%

Net: -36

For schools

Good: 11%

Bad: 58%

Neither: 23%

Net: -47

For Housing

Good: 7%

Bad: 67%

Neither: 18%

Net: -60

For the UK economy

Good: 30%

Bad: 36%

Neither: 25%

Net: -6

For Jobs and wages

Good: 17%

Bad: 50%

Neither: 26%

Net: -33

For national security

Good: 11%

Bad: 54%

Neither: 27%

Net: -43

Vote Leave pose 5 key questions for Cameron on immigration

Today the EU referendum campaign amounts to combat by “five key questions”.

Britain Stronger in Europe have posted their “five key questions” for Leave in the form of a letter jointly signed by George Osborne, the Conservative chancellor, and Alistair Darling, his Labour predecessor. Claire posted an extract from the letter, with the five questions, at 8.02am. All the questions cover trade and the economy.

Vote Leave have got their own five questions for Remain. They are all on the subject of immigration, and Vote Leave has posed them in a news release, saying they are “the questions David Cameron must now answer”.

Here they are:

1 - Will you now admit that your EU renegotiation did nothing to limit the ‘free movement of people’ which is what most voters want?

2 - Will you now admit that your EU renegotiation will do nothing to limit pressures on hospital waiting times, class sizes or the housing crisis in this country?

3 - You promised to ensure that economic migrants from the EU would have a job offer before they came here. Why have you given up on that pledge?

4 - The British people are extremely worried about the possibility of Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey joining the EU - so why are you handing over £2 billion of taxpayers’ money to these countries? Do you still want to ‘pave the road from Ankara to Brussels’?

5 - Why do you want EU judges to be in control of which criminals we can and cannot deport?

Commenting on this, Iain Duncan Smith, the Conservative former work and pensions secretary, said:

When I was in government the prime minister wanted to impose limits on free movement of people from the EU, but sadly he failed. He now needs to set out how he plans to limit pressures on our NHS, schools and the housing crisis we face.

If we vote to stay in, this will get worse when Albania, Macedonia, Montenegro, Serbia and Turkey join the EU. British taxpayers are paying them £2 billion to join the EU despite not supporting this policy. How can he justify ignoring the wishes of the people?

Updated

Patrick Minford, professor of applied economics at Cardiff Business School and co-chairman of Economists for Brexit, was on the Today programme with Alistair Darling. He said that if the UK left the EU, tariffs would be imposed on British goods being sold to the EU. But he claimed this would be worth it because the UK would no longer be obliged to impose EU-determined tariffs on the goods it buys from outside the EU.

Asked if tariffs would be imposed on British products being sold into EU markets, he replied:

There certainly would. And that is the whole point about leaving the EU. We face their external tariffs. But we don’t have to put all their external tariffs on the rest of the world. We trade freely with the rest of the world. And what happens is that our exporters now trade, as America does and as Japan does with the EU, facing their external tariffs. And we then get rid of the EU protectionism on all the stuff we buy from the rest of the world, which is an enormous benefit.

This is from Lucy Thomas, deputy director of Britain Stronger in Europe.

Class, the leftwing, union-backed thinktank, has published a series of essays on the subject, Does the EU work for working class people?

Class is not taking a position on the EU referendum but its director, Faiza Shaheen said:

There is a class division on Brexit, with the working class largely in favour of the UK leaving the EU and those in highly paid in professions generally wanting to stay in. And yet the question of what material effects the EU has had upon working class people’s lives has been largely absent. It is imperative that these issues are debated so that working class people can make an informed decision when casting their vote.

Alistair Darling, the former Labour chancellor, told the Today programme that he agreed with the GMB general secretary Tim Roache about the need for Labour to be more explicit about the benefits of immigration. Darling said:

I think that the GMB is quite right. There are many aspects of this referendum, protection of workers’ rights, protection of British industry.

But equally, in relation to immigration, it’s an issue that must be discussed. That’s why I’m asking why, if the Leave campaign say we should be like Norway or Switzerland, will they not then accept that part of the deal there is they have to accept free movement of people?

Liam Fox to warn green belt at risk from mass immigration

Good Morning. I’m Andrew Sparrow and I’m taking over from Claire.

Liam Fox, the Conservative former defence secretary, is giving a speech this morning at the Vote Leave HQ entitled “Memories of Green? The Cost of Uncontrolled Migration.”

According to the excerpts sent out in advance, he will argue that mass migration is making it harder for young people to buy a home.

Most new immigrants move into the private rented sector which has grown as the immigrant population has grown. Competition for rented accommodation obliges all those in the private rented sector to pay high rents which take a large share of income and makes saving to buy a home even harder.

These resulting high rents and a shortage of housing make it much more difficult for young people to set up home on their own so they have to spend more time in house shares or with their parents.

And he will argue that the green belt is at risk too.

A constant unchecked flow of migration will inevitably result in more of our open spaces and natural greenery being turned over to housing.

Ukip MEP Roger Helmer adds a new dimension to the debate, pointing out that he and his fellow British MEPs would certainly be among any job casualties if the UK votes to leave the EU:

Labour MP Mary Creagh has spoken on the Today programme about concerns that the party’s pro-EU message is not getting through to voters:

The danger is of leaders making a speech and thinking that everybody has heard it … We learned that lesson last year in the election campaign.

I think we need to be treating this referendum as if it was a general election campaign and having everybody out on the doorstep.

It’s important that we help people understand what this means for working people.

Updated

George Osborne and Alistair Darling – “the latest unlikely cross-party collaboration coordinated by the Stronger In campaign”, says Guardian political editor Heather Stewart – are sharing not only a platform but a letter to Vote Leave with a list of questions:

What specific trading relationship will the UK have with the EU if we leave?

What guarantees do you have there will be no new tariffs imposed on goods traded between the UK and EU?

British businesses currently benefit from trade deals with 53 countries as a result of EU membership. Why would you expect to negotiate exactly the same terms and how long would it take to conclude these 53 negotiations?

What public spending would you cut and which taxes would you raise to fill this black hole [caused by Brexit]?

Can you assure the British public there would be no job losses resulting from the uncertainty of a vote to leave?

Today will be dominated by the party leaders, with Jeremy Corbyn striking first in a speech this morning.

With criticism from GMB general secretary Tim Roache that he needs to be “bolder and braver”, Corbyn is to set out why Labour is “overwhelmingly for staying in”.

And David Cameron remains the Conservative PM of choice for Labour shadow work and pensions secretary Owen Smith:

Michael Gove – who won’t get his head-to-head debate with David Cameron tonight, but will get his own Sky News Q&A tomorrow – argues today that as justice secretary he has been “powerless” to stop terror suspects entering Britain.

The Telegraph reports that in an essay for Portland Communications (which doesn’t appear to be online yet), Gove says:

As justice secretary, I have experienced the frustration at our inability to refuse entry to those with a criminal record and even some who are suspected of terrorist links.

According to the Telegraph:

Gove also said that Mr Cameron’s campaign is ‘stoking up Project Fear’ and said they would be surprised by the prevailing ‘calm and stability’ and ‘sense of optimism’ in the event of a Brexit vote.

That’s an early lead for those with “Project Fear” on their EU campaign bingo cards.

There’s more from Mariano Rajoy, the Spanish prime minister, who has warned that the consequences of the UK voting to leave the EU would be “very negative”.

Rajoy was speaking to Spanish news agency EFE; I’ve taken the quotes from Press Association.

Rajoy said leaving the UK would be:

negative for everybody, for the United Kingdom, for Spain, and for the European Union.

But, above all, it would be very negative for British citizens: the European Union is based, ever since its foundation, on the principles of freedom of movement of people, goods, services, and capitals.

Leaving the European Union would mean that British citizens would lose their right to move freely, work and do business within the largest economic area, the largest market in the world.

Over 100.000 Spanish citizens work and live in the United Kingdom. Over 400.000 British citizens work and live in Spain.

If the United Kingdom left the European Union, it would be very negative for everyone and from every perspective.

Morning briefing

Good morning and welcome to day three of our daily EU referendum coverage. I’ll be launching the morning briefing to set you up for the day ahead and steering the live blog each morning until Andrew Sparrow takes his seat. Do come and chat in the comments below or find me on Twitter @Claire_Phipps.

The big picture

Today sees both David Cameron and Jeremy Corbyn wheeled out for big set pieces: the opposition leader makes a speech this morning on why Labour is “overwhelmingly for staying in” (a useful reminder for some supporters), while the prime minister hits Sky News this evening for an interview and Q&A.

Cameron will be fresh from a visit to the Rainham Marshes nature reserve in Essex, where he’ll say that the RSPB and WWF are backing Remain to protect UK wildlife. Expect wellies – as essential to any political campaign as a hard-hat and hi-vis jacket.

Corbyn, in a speech at the Institute of Engineering Technology this morning, will say that Brexit would be a “disaster” threatening the rights of British workers, such as paid holiday and maternity leave.

He’ll also reiterate his opposition to sharing a platform with the prime minister (as London mayor Sadiq Khan did in Roehampton a few days ago) and other pro-Remain Tories, saying:

The threat to the British people is not the European Union – it is a Conservative government here in Britain, seeking to undermine the good things we have achieved in Europe and resisting changes that would benefit the ordinary people of Britain.

A vote to leave means a Conservative government would then be in charge of negotiating Britain’s exit. Everything they have done as a government so far means we could not rely on them to protect the workplace rights that millions rely on.

Tim Roache, general secretary of the GMB a Corbyn backer, told the Guardian the Labour leader was being “mealy mouthed” about the referendum and needed to be “bolder and braver” on the immigration issue:

These people don’t come here to sit on their backsides and claim benefits, they come here to work … It’s all right when people’s children are being taught by economic migrants, or when people’s parents are being looked after in hospital by economic migrants.

Spain’s prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, is the latest European leader to weigh in, hot on the heels of the intervention by Mark Rutte, the Dutch prime minister, on Wednesday. Rajoy said Brexit would be

negative for everybody, for the United Kingdom, for Spain, and for the European Union …

Over 100,000 Spanish citizens work and live in the United Kingdom. Over 400,000 British citizens work and live in Spain. If the United Kingdom left the European Union, it would be very negative for everyone and from every perspective.

You should also know:

Poll position

Sky News, hosting tonight’s questioning of Cameron, reports it has been shown internal polling by Vote Leave and ICM in which:

  • 58% say they would be unhappy if current levels of EU migration continue.
  • 55% say EU migration has been bad for the NHS.
  • 67% say it has put pressure on housing.

All of which might be a hint about the line of questioning to expect this evening.

Separately, this by YouGov’s Anthony Wells on why there won’t be official exit polls on referendum day – and why those private polls reportedly commissioned by hedge funds might not be of much use – is an interesting read.

Diary

  • Alistair Darling is on the Today programme at 8.30am, talking about his joint letter with George Osborne on Vote Leave’s “unworkable” proposals
  • Jeremy Corbyn is back, with a speech on workers’ rights at the Institute of Engineering and Technology in London this morning.
  • From 8pm David Cameron is quizzed live by Sky News political editor Faisal Islam and then takes questions from a studio audience, via Kay Burley. (On Friday, Michael Gove gets his turn.)

Talking point

Cameron’s refusal to face his Tory opponents means tonight’s Sky News Q&A isn’t the only stretched-out debate to be coming to our screens. A full 24 hours will separate the prime minister’s appearance tonight from the snappy comebacks of Out campaigner – and Conservative Cabinet minister – Michael Gove.

Nigel Farage will make it on to the same programme as Cameron on 7 June for ITV’s “debate”, but the two men won’t appear on-screen together. And two BBC Question Time specials – again featuring Cameron and Gove – are four days apart.

(Do read Jane Martinson on the shenanigans behind the TV non-debates.)

It all comes as Boris Johnson – fresh from setting out a post-Brexit immigration policy – insisted he was “not forming an alternative government”, despite the fact the policy was set out by Johnson (along with Gove and Priti Patel) as a pledge rather than merely an option for whoever might find themselves as prime minister after 23 June.

George Eaton in the New Statesman argues that some in the Brexit camp certainly view the referendum as a chance to oust Cameron – but also claims a number of MPs “had informed the chief whip that they would resign the Conservative whip if Gove was made deputy prime minister”.

Read these

Juliet Samuel in the Telegraph asks why the Brexiteers want to copy the Australian points system for immigrants:

A statement released by the Brexit campaign suggested repeatedly that immigration would be lower if we left the EU and adopted such a system, reducing the strain on hospitals, schools and workers who face intense competition for jobs from migrants. There is no guarantee of that …

But more important … is the principle at the centre of Australia’s system: they decide how it works. And for all the details of the policy, which the Brexiteers did not include in their statement, it boils down to one thing: our immigration policy would be decided here and not abroad. So if the British public wants a more restrictive immigration policy, it will be able to vote for a government that can deliver one. That is not possible at the moment.

Latika Bourke, writing in the Sydney Morning Herald, says the proposals could also make it easier for Australians to move to the UK, according to Conservative MEP and Leave campaigner Daniel Hannan:

People with Australian passports are kicked out at the expiry of two years, or less now if they don’t earn enough money in order to free up unlimited space for people who may have no connection to this country whatsoever,’ Mr Hannan told Fairfax Media after a public rally in Hammersmith.

‘I think that’s immoral, I also think it makes no economic sense,’ he said.

(This also contains the interesting nugget that there are approximately 87,000 Australians living in the UK eligible to vote in the referendum.)

Steven Erlanger in the New York Times says the referendum is “becoming as divisive and nasty as the one in Scotland” and talks to Douglas Alexander, the former Labour MP ousted in the 2015 general election, and now a campaigner for Remain:

First, [Alexander] said, ‘psychology matters more than psephology’ – ignore the polls, at least until the very end. Both telephone and internet polls are flawed when assessing support for referendums, because they are so rare, and what matters will be ‘the overriding question in people’s minds as they vote’.

So it will be vital to manage the news cycle in the last 10 days, to shape the anxieties and aspirations of voters. In Scotland, opponents of independence focused on the economic risks and the inability of the ‘yes’ side to answer crucial questions about currency and the sustainability of the oil-based economy.

Now, both sides are pushing fear.

On the issue of the nastiness or otherwise of the current debate, Wednesday’s Opinion live blog with readers is an illuminating guide.

Baffling claim of the day

The Daily Mail says Google has been “accused of burying results for [a] popular pro-Brexit website” in the little-traversed wilderness of the second page of search results. The site – EUReferendum.com – has been demoted, according to founder Richard North, and now comes behind such little-known sources as the BBC, Telegraph and the Guardian, as well as government information sites, in searches for “EU referendum”.

Celebrity endorsement of the day

A cavalcade of European cultural figures – including novelist Elena Ferrante, actors Julie Delpy, Isabella Rossellini and Stellan Skarsgård, illustrator Axel Scheffler (who also drew the cover art), singers Nana Mouskouri and Björn Ulvaeus, and, um, footballs managers Arsène Wenger and Gérard Houllier – have written to the Times Literary Supplement asking Britain to “please stay”:

We would like to express how very much we value having the United Kingdom in the European Union. It is not just treaties that join us to your country, but bonds of admiration and affection. All of us hope that you will vote to renew them. Britain, please stay.

The day in a tweet

If today were a song ...

It would be Don’t Stand So Close to Me. Sung by the Police. But also by David Cameron to Michael Gove. And Jeremy Corbyn to David Cameron. And pretty much everyone to Nigel Farage.

And another thing

Would you like to wake up to this briefing in your inbox every weekday? Sign up here!

 

Leave a Comment

Required fields are marked *

*

*