Graeme Wearden and Jasper Jolly 

More than 4m UK workers furloughed during coronavirus crisis – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news
  
  

A handout image released by 10 Downing Street, shows Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak attending a remote press conference to update the nation on the COVID-19 pandemic, inside 10 Downing Street.
A handout image released by 10 Downing Street, shows Britain’s Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak attending a remote press conference to update the nation on the COVID-19 pandemic, inside 10 Downing Street. Photograph: Pippa Fowles/10 Downing Street/AFP via Getty Images

Closing summary

Millions of British workers have been furloughed during the coroanvirus crisis, with the government expected to pay 80% of the salaries of as much as 6% of the entire population.

Chancellor Rishi Sunak also unveiled more measures to support businesses, with a 100% government-backed “bounce back loan” of up to £50,000 for small businesses - following intense criticism that not enough funding was getting through to businesses.

Here are some of the the other important developments today in the business world:

  • US oil prices fell heavily again as the largest exchange-traded fund was forced to sell off futures for June delivery.
  • One of Donald Trump’s economic advisers, Kevin Hassett, has predicted that America will suffer its worst economic contraction since the Great Depression - a fall of as much as 30% (if you take the annualised rate).
  • Unemployment in France jumped sharply last month, with the number of French citizens filing jobless claims jumping by 246,100 in March to over 3.7m people. That’s an increase of over 7% - the biggest monthly gain since records began in 1996.
  • Airbus has said that job cuts are likely as it tries to survive a brutal downturn in aviation demand. The planemaker put 3,200 employees in north Wales on furlough.
  • Boris Johnson returned to work on Monday, signalling that he was a long way off ending lockdown in the UK.

You can follow more coverage on our coronavirus live blogs around the world:

In the UK, 360 new hospital deaths take overall toll to 21,092

In the US, the White House cancels its daily briefing amid concerns over Trump remarks

And in our global coverage, the World Health Organisation has said the crisis has delayed non-Covid vaccines for 13m people

Thank you for reading as ever, and join us tomorrow for more live coverage of business, economics and financial markets. JJ

US oil prices fall heavily

Oil futures prices have fallen steeply again on Monday, with the US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), losing 26%.

One barrel of WTI for June delivery will set back traders $12.38. Brent crude, the global benchmark, has fallen by 8% to $19.66.

It came after the world’s largest oil-backed exchange-traded fund (ETF) said it would adjust its holdings to avoid a repeat of the market turmoil that saw US oil prices fall below zero a week ago. That happened because of concerns that storage facilities were running out, making traders desperate to get the oil off their hands.

Here’s what Reuters said about the ETF, the US Oil Fund:

The United States Oil Fund will exit its position in the front-month June crude oil futures contract and may need to hold more cash to satisfy potential margin requirements, the largest oil-focused US exchange-traded product (ETP) said on Monday.

After avoiding potentially catastrophic losses when May oil futures traded below $0 per barrel for the first time ever last Monday, USO has been scrambling to diversify its holdings into later-dated contracts, from the most heavily traded front-month contract.

The 4m people furloughed in the UK account for about 12% of the number of people in employment recorded in December to February by the Office for National Statistics.

And those furloughed account for about 6% of the entire UK population, which was estimated at 66.4m in 2018.

If all of those people had been unemployed it would mean the fewest people in work since 2006 - a period during which the UK’s labour force has increased through immigration.

Of course, not every furloughed worker would have been laid off without the scheme, but it’s a handy comparison to see just how far-reaching the crisis has been.

And remember, there were also 1.3m people who were unemployed in the December to February figures. Unemployment was at a historic low before the crisis, but is likely to have risen significantly since then, despite the presence of the job retention scheme.

Updated

Labour has backed investor calls for companies to consider cutting executive pay if they have received government support during the coronavirus crisis.

The Investment Association has even suggested that companies could claw back bonuses from executives if they are forced to cancel dividend payouts.

Lucy Powell MP, Labour’s shadow minister for business and consumers, said:

Labour believes that the government is right to support business at this critical time, to safeguard jobs, livelihoods and our economy, but companies receiving state support should show responsibility on executive renumeration packages, so that they do not undermine public support for these measures.

You can read the full report here:

European share indices have gained across the board.

The Euro Stoxx 600 rose by 1.6%, while London’s FTSE 100 rose by a provisional 1.3%, at 5,829 points.

France’s Cac 40 increased by 2.3%, while Germany’s Dax gained 2.9%.

The new 100% government-backed loan scheme has come after intensive lobbying from business groups. They appear happy.

The Confederation of British Industry’s director-general’s reaction:

Adam Marshall, the British Chamber of Commerce’s director-general, said:

The chancellor has demonstrated he is listening to the concerns of our business communities and taking steps to get cash to the front line where it is needed.

This new route for our smallest companies to apply quickly and get a fast decision will be crucial to those who have struggled to get a CBILS loan.

Mike Cherry, national chairman of the Federation of Small Businesses, said:

This crucial new initiative should enable thousands of small businesses to access the working capital they need quickly, helping to protect the millions of jobs they provide in every part of the UK.

This step forward marks another decisive intervention from the Treasury and the business department, building on existing support in an innovative way. Swift delivery is now key, and we also look forward to working with government in the long-term to enhance market competition, including that provided by non-bank lenders.

A reminder: the 100% guarantee means that the banks who give out the loans take none of the financial risk. That should mean that (after carrying out basic due diligence checks) they should be able to give out loans to small businesses much faster.

Sunak’s Twitter account has more details on his announcements on what he is calling “bounce back loans” for small businesses.

That adds to the pre-existing job retention scheme, business interruption loan scheme, Covid-19 corporate finance facility and various other bits and bobs like cash grants and bans on evictions.

Labour: Furlough scheme should allow part-time working

Labour’s new shadow chancellor Anneliese Dodds has responded to Sunak in parliament, calling for changes to get money to businesses faster and allowing for part-time work.

At the moment all furloughed workers must stop completely to qualify, which could discourage companies from continuing work.

Speaking in the almost empty parliament that has characterised lockdown politics, she said:

To ensure as many people as possible have a job to go back to, we need a flexible furlough scheme. The chancellor told me previously it can’t currently be made more flexible - but other countries have done this. Will he work to amend the furlough scheme, to allow workers to come back on a part-time basis?

And on the loan schemes, she said:

Other countries are guaranteeing 100% of their SME loans and have stripped off normal commercial loan requirements. And while it’s a relief to hear from the chancellor that there will now be a full guarantee for loans of up to £25,000, we need to know that normal commercial loan requirements will not continue to clog up the system. So will he also be changing the rules for the scheme, so we can get money to those SMEs that really need it?

Sunak: Not "appropriate" to back all loans with 100% government guarantee

Sunak said he remains unconvinced of backing all loans 100%. He does not think it is appropriate to back all loans to 100%.

The loan scheme has faced criticism for not getting money to enough businesses quickly enough, with concerns that banks are having to consider their own financial risk on the loans, which are currently only 80% guaranteed.

Sunak reveals new micro loan scheme up to £50,000

Chancellor Rishi Sunank has unveiled a new micro loan scheme. Small companies will be able to borrow up to £50,000 each, up to 25% of their turnover.

The loans will be available from 9am next Monday, he said. There will be no tests against businesses’ future viability, no complex eligibility criteria, just a simple form, he said.

For most firms loans should arrive within 24 hours of approval. The government will back 100% of the loans.

More than 20,000 coronavirus business interruption loans have now been approved, Sunak said.

More than 4m UK jobs furloughed - Sunak

Chancellor Rishi Sunak has revealed that more than 4m workers in the UK have been furloughed.

You can follow his statement to parliament live at the below link.

There was a time when every raised eyebrow during the Brexit negotiations could move the pound. Sars-Cov-2 has intervened, but the talks are still going on (via video), and the government is sticking doggedly to its plans to end the transition period at the end of 2020.

Michael Gove, the Cabinet Office minister, has popped up saying that the odds of a deal are better than two to one. It is entirely possible that they will be concluded in time, he said.

The coronavirus crisis should concentrate the minds of negotiators, he added. (There are widespread concerns that what was already looking like a tight timetable might become impossible with so much government resource focused elsewhere.)

For the record, sterling is pretty much unmoved, up by 0.2% against the euro at €1.1448, while against the US dollar it’s up by 0.15% to $1.0835.

And it’s Jasper Jolly taking over from Graeme Wearden through the European stock market close.

The S&P 500 index has also opened higher, gaining 17 points to 2,853 (up 0.6%).

As in Europe and Asia, shares are benefiting from hopes that some Covid-19 lockdowns will be eased in the coming weeks (despite the risk of a second spike in infections if policians move too early)

Wall Street has opened higher, despite the prospect of a sickening slump in growth this quarter.

The Dow Jones industrial average has gained 109 points, or 0.46%, to 23,884 as a new week’s trading begins.

London’s market is slightly off the boil, with the FTSE 100 now up 55 points or 1% at 5809.

Alexandra Scaggs of Barrons has spotted that General Motors’ banks pushed it to suspend its dividend (as flagged earlier).

Here’s another clip from Kevin Hassett’s interview, in which he argues that growth will pick up in the third quarter of 2020.

More encouragingly, Kevin Hassett also predicted that growth will pick up in the third quarter of this year (after plunging in the current quarter).

He also told CNBC that US businesses are adapting to the crisis, and the challenge of physical distancing.

“At the beginning of this, there was rapid, rapid spread sadly in the places where there are a lot of essential workers. But the variance has really, really declined over time suggesting people have learned ... about safe practices,”

US advisor: Economy will suffer worst quarter since Great Depression

Blimey. One of Donald Trump’s economic advisers has predicted that America will suffer its worst economic contraction since the Great Depression.

Kevin Hassett told CNBC that second-quarter GDP “is going to be the biggest negative number that we’ve seen since the Great Depression.”

He explained:

You’re looking at something like minus 20%, minus 30% in the second quarter. And the question then is what happens next, and that’s what we’re focused on at the White House.

Hassett also predicted that GDP growth in January-March will probably be negative too (we get that data on Wednesday).

He also warned that the US unemployment rate to hit 16 or 17% for April (very plausible, as over 26 million jobless claims have been filed in the last 5 weeks)

Last year Hassett stepped down as chair of the council of economic advisers, but has now returned to help the White House deal with the current emergency.

Updated

Wall Street is expected to open higher in 90 minutes, following today’s gains in Europe and Asia.

Newsflash: US auto giant General Motors has suspended its dividend, and its share repurchasing programme, as part of a drive to “fortify its balance sheet”.

Wall Street’s fear index has dropped to its lowest level since early March.

The VIX index, which measures volatility in the markets, has fallen below 36 points for the time in over seven weeks.

Falling volatility suggests investors are less scared about the coronavirus crisis, even though we’ve entered a desperately deep recession.

Joshua Mahony of IG says traders are expecting to learn more about the economic and financial costs of the pandemic this week, as more firms report financial results.

“Expectations of major volatility giving way to more calm and serene trading. This week marks the beginning of perhaps the most important four days in Q1 earnings season, with over a quarter of the S&P 500 reporting.

With big hitters across tech, travel, energy, and manufacturing all due to shed light on their coronavirus experiences, we will finally have a much better idea of exactly how this crisis has affected USA Inc.

Markets have been very focused on future prosperity over current suffering, and thus it is likely that market sentiment will be guided heavily by corporate outlooks rather than just the short-term impact of the temporary lockdown measures.

Updated

French manufacturer Airbus isn’t sharing today’s optimism.

The aerospace giant has warned its 135,000 employees that it may not survive the coronavirus lockdown unless it takes immediate action .

CEO Guillaume Faury told staff in a letter on Friday that the plane maker was “bleeding cash at an unprecedented speed”, due to the slump in demand for new planes following the Covid-19 pandemic.

Faury warned that the firm “may now need to plan for more far-reaching measures” - which could mean job cuts, adding.

“The survival of Airbus is in question if we don’t act now.”

Shares in Airbus are down 3% on the Paris stockmarket, making it the biggest faller on the CAC 40.

After a risk-on morning, Europe’s stock markets are all holding their gains.

Investors are shrugging off the record surge in French unemployment, and Boris Johnson’s caution about lifting the UK’s lockdown.

  • Stoxx 600: up 1.6% at 334 points
  • FTSE 100: up 1.4% at 5,833
  • German DAX: up 2.4% at 10,582 points
  • French CAC: up 1.8% at

Trevor Greetham, Head of Multi Asset at Royal London Asset Management, says the markets are generally calmer - thanks to the recent emergency stimulus measures from governments and central banks.

“Markets usually stop panicking when policy makers start to. Stocks recovered about half of their losses after massive fiscal and monetary easing was announced.

With sentiment back to neutral, the outlook from here depends on the uncertain path back to normality.

“In our multi asset funds, we are taking a flexible approach. We currently have a small overweight in equities and a strong preference for high yield bonds, which benefit from effective policy maker support, over commodities and property, which don’t. We are overweight US equities versus the UK and technology versus financials at the sector level.”

Wall Street bank Morgan Stanley has warned that Europe’s recession will be even deeper than first feared.

Morgan Stanley now expects eurozone GDP to shrink by 11% in 2020 -- a desperate plunge -- not the 5% previously forecast.

It now expects Covid-19 lockdowns to last longer than previously thought, and to be relaxed more slowly (with large scale events banned for some time, and investment and consumption staying weak).

Greece, which has been praised for implementing an early lockdown, is now getting ready to relax it.

Bloomberg explains:

The relaxation of restrictions in Greece designed to stop the spread of the Covid-19 virus will be gradual and targeted while the stages of lifting the measures will be spaced apart in order to evaluate their effectiveness, Government Spokesman Stelios Petsas said.

The first phase starting on May 4 will see the reopening of shops and hairdressers, churches will also open their door for personal worship while some schools will start operating in a second phase and travel between regions will be permitted on a gradual basis, Petsas said in Athens.

Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis will present Greece’s overall plan for a transition out of a total lockdown situation on Tuesday while ministers will provide specific details afterward, he said.

Record surge in French unemployment

Just in: Unemployment in France jumped sharply last month, as the Covid-19 lockdown hit its economy.

The number of French citizens filing jobless claims jumped by 246,100 in March, according to the Labour Ministry, to over 3.7 million people.

That’s an increase of over 7% -the biggest monthly gain since record began in 1996.

Global markets are also being cheered by another central bank stimulus package.

Earlier today the Bank of Japan tripled the amount of corporate debt it would buy, and pledge to buy unlimited amount of government bonds to help Japan’s economy.

The BoJ also slashed its growth forecasts, and admitted that inflation would (once again) miss its targets.

BoJ governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s latest move reassured investors that central bankers will keep printing money to ward off a Covid-19 depression (which should keep asset prices buoyant).

Global oil traders are braced for another gloomy week after crude prices slumped this morning despite plans for major oil production cuts from Friday.

The market jitters are most acute in the US where oil storage tanks are filled to the brim.

The price of West Texas Intermediate, the US crude benchmark, fell by almost $2.50 to $14.69 a barrel while the price of Brent crude, the international benchmark, fell by more than a $1 to $20.36 a barrel in early trade.

Analysts at Rystad predict that oil prices will continue to fall until a significant amount of output is ‘shut-in’, by producers closing their wells.

The plan to rein in oil production from the world’s largest oil producers, spear-headed by Saudi Arabia, is due to come in to force in May but “are not enough to alter the current situation”.

Bjornar Tonhaugen, head of oil markets at Rystad, warns:

“The storage clock is ticking for producers and we are approaching the final countdown if no further action is taken.”

Barclays: Watch out for coronavirus scams

Barclays has put out some data showing that 13% of consumer scams targeting its customers have been related to coronavirus.

The bank says consumers are falling victim to order scams for products like hand sanitiser and face masks, that on average leads to losses of around £209. This is according to data which the bank collected between 9-14 April.

Nearly 43% of all scams have taken place on social media, with a fake company asking for an upfront deposit before asking for full payment, which makes it seem like a lower risk. In many cases, after the customer sends the payment, customers never receive the goods and never hear back from the sellers again.

Barclays is warning consumers to be wary of prices that look too good to be true, or companies that claim to have products in stock when everyone else seems to be sold out. It also says consumers should check whether a website is a genuine address by looking at the spelling in their website’s URL.

Ross Martin, Head of Digital Safety at Barclays said:

Many of us are at home spending more time online using social media and browsing the internet. There is a risk people will be lured into purchasing items with a big discount or that are unavailable elsewhere.

Don’t become a victim of these scams and always check who you’re purchasing from and do your research before making a payment.

Bangladesh’s textile industry is returning to work today, in another sign that some lockdown measures are easing.

Reuters has the details:

More than 500 garment factories in Bangladesh that supply to global brands reopened on Monday after a month-long shutdown to curb the spread of the coronavirus, while in India calls grew for an easing of its lockdown which has caused deep economic pain.

Clothing manufacturers in Bangladesh’s capital Dhaka and the port city of Chittagong have been permitted to resume work. Some of the world’s biggest clothing firms including Gap, Zara-owner Inditex, and H&M source their supplies from Bangladesh.

“We are making sure the workers wear masks, wash hands at the entrance, undergo temperature checks, and maintain physical distancing,” said Mohammad Hatem, vice president of the Bangladesh Knitwear Manufacturers and Exporters Association.

Industry groups for the sector, which boasts some 4,000 factories employing 4.1 million workers, had warned the shutdown could cause the country to lose $6 billion in export revenue this financial year.

Boris Johnson’s call for patience hasn’t caused any ructions in the City.

The FTSE 100 is still solidly higher, up 1.5% or 85 points at 5837.

The smaller FTSE 250, which contains more UK-focused firms, is up 1.8% today. Bookmaker William Hill, which has been hit by sporting cancellations, are up 10%.

Boris Johnson tells UK to 'contain impatience' over lockdown

Newsflash: Boris Johnson has urged Britain to contain its impatience about ending the lockdown, until the risk of a second peak in Covid-19 infections has receded.

Speaking outside Downing Street as he returns to work following his own Covid-19 infection, the prime minister says he understands concerns about the lockdown among shopkeepers, entrepreneurs, the hospitality sector, and beyond.

Johnson says there is no economy without wealth creators, no cash to pay for public services, no way to fund NHS. He shares the urgency to reopen the economy again.

But, the government must also recognise the risk of a second spike in the coronavirus infection, Johnson continues.

If Britain allows the reproduction rate to rise over 1, then it risks “a new wave of death and disease, but also an economic disaster”.

A second spike would force the government to “slam on the brakes” again on the economy again, and reimpose restrictions again - causing “more and lasting damage”.

The PM says:

So, I know it is tough, and I want to get this economy moving as fast as I can, but I refuse to throw away all the effort and the sacrifice of the UK people and risk a second major outbreak and huge loss of life and the overwhelming of the NHS.

And I ask you to contain your impatience, because I believe we are coming now to the end of the first phase of this conflict.

Johnson then explains that the government will “refine” the current restrictions and start to fire up the engines of the economy, once this first phase is over.

Further details will be outlined “in the coming days”, but Johnson cautions that the government cannot yet say when these changes will be made.

Our main UK coronavirus liveblog has full details:

After an hour’s trading, Britain’s FTSE 100 is up a healthy 98 points or 1.7% at 5850.

That’s nearly its highest level in six weeks, a reminder that stocks have recovered from some of March’s wild sell-off. At its worst moment, the index dropped below 5,000 points -- having been worth over 7,400 before the Covid-19 panic began.

Italy’s stock market is having a particularly good morning, with the FTSE MIB index jumping 2.3% in early trading.

Traders are relieved that credit rating agency Standard & Poor’s agency didn’t downgrade Italy’s government debt on Friday night. That reprieve lowers the risk that Italy is plunged into ‘junk’ territory soon.

Italian bonds are ralliyng this morning, closing the gap with German debt (a reassuring sign).

Neil Wilson of Markets.com explains:

Italian and German yield spreads came in after S&P didn’t downgrade Italian debt. This is good news for the ECB, which may well increase its pandemic asset purchase programme by €500bn this week.

European stock markets are all higher in early trading, lifting the Stoxx 600 index up by 1.7%.

Adam Cole of RBC Capital Markets says “markets are risk on....as countries, including Australia, continue to slowly wind down COVID-19 constraints on economic activity.”

FTSE 100 opens higher

Britain’s FTSE 100 has jumped by 90 points at the start of trading, up 1.55% to 5841 points.

Nearly every stock is up. Travel companies are among the risers, with cruise operator Carnival gaining 4%, Intercontinental Hotels up 4.2% and IAG (which owns British Airways) gaining 3.8%.

From Melbourne, IG analyst Kyle Rodda says that “positivity” about the prospect of the easing of social distancing measures in Australia lifted its stock market today (up 1.5%).

The Australian economy and the ASX200 is a long way from being anywhere what might be considered “out of the woods”. However, to slightly mix metaphors, the light at the end of the tunnel has grown a little brighter for Australia.

Only 10 new COVID-19 cases across the country have so far been confirmed today, as the number of active cases falls to 1,052. It’s prompted further talk from State and Federal leaders that some social distancing measures may be eased in coming weeks, as policymakers experiment with re-opening parts of the domestic economy.

Though it’s been stated a full re-opening of business will still be a long way off, a small lift of the restrictions on public movement may well be less than a month away for parts of the country.

There’s a big difference between easing a lockdown and ending it.

New Zealand’s prime minister, Jacinda Ardern, says her country must remain vigilant - after moving swiftly to impose a tough lockdown that appears to have prevented a major Covid-19 outbreak.

Ardern is moving New Zealand’s lockdown from Level 4 to 3 -- which will allow restaurants and cafes to offer takeaway food. Some children will be allowed to attend school, and employees can return to work if there are appropriate health and safety and physical distancing measures.

But, people should still avoid mingling beyond a small social ‘bubble’, and work from home still if they can.

Ardern says:

“We are opening up the economy, but we’re not opening up people’s social lives.”

UK businesses are pushing the government hard for information on when the lockdown here might start to ease.

My colleague Zoe Wood explains:

The Institute of Directors said its 28,000 members were “clamouring” for information so they could start drawing up return-to-work plans. Jon Geldart, its director general, said it was in everyone’s interests to kickstart the economy again once it is safe to do so.

“Directors from all parts of the UK need to make plans for riding out this tempest, but they can’t get very far if they have no idea what will be happening in a few weeks’ time,” Geldart said.

“Business leaders know [the end of restrictions] will not happen all in one go, but that’s why it’s even more important to tell them what they need to prepare for.”

Here’s a handy map showing which countries have already started to relax some of their coronavirus restrictions, and which are preparing to do so:

Covid-19 lockdowns by countries

Markets rally as some lockdowns are eased

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Stock markets are starting the new week on the front foot, as some countries prepare to lift some of the lockdown measures imposed in recent weeks.

Equities have rallied across Asia-Pacific bourses already, with Japan’s Nikkei gaining 2.8% and China’s CSI 300 up 1%.

South Korea’s KOSPI 200 has gained 1.8%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 is 1.5% higher.

We’re expecting a solid start to trading in Europe too. The FTSE 100 is being called up 75 points, or 1.5%, at 5826 points.

Traders are (relatively) upbeat as France, Italy, Spain, Australia and New Zealand prepare to loosen some of their coronavirus restrictions.

Italy is being watched particularly closely, as the first European country to impose lockdown measures seven weeks ago prepares to lift them again. Last night, prime minister Giuseppe Conte said the measures would be relaxed from 4 May.

Italian parks, factories and building sites will reopen, and people will be allowed to visit their relatives in small numbers. Schools, though, won’t restart until September.

Spain is also trying to move towards “a new normality”. Yesterday, children under 14 were allowed out to exercise for the first time since mid-March.

France is also looking to ease some lockdown restrictions soon. Yesterday, French PM Edouard Philippe said he would present the government’s exit strategy on Tuesday. It will focus on six themes: “health (including masks, testing and isolation), school, work, shops, transport and gatherings”.

In Downing Street, Boris Johnson has returned to work, and must decide whether to relax some of the UK’s restrictions. The PM must balance pressure to help the economy against concerns that a early easing will create a second coronavirus spike.

Many MPs, and some Conservative Party donors, have been pushing for a partial end to the lockdown, as my colleague Heather Stewart explains:

The chancellor, Rishi Sunak, will underline the costs of shuttering the economy to tackle the crisis on Monday, as he makes a statement to the House of Commons on the Treasury’s response to the crisis.

He will point to forecasts by the independent Office for Budget Responsibility that suggested a three-month lockdown could lead to a catastrophic 35% decline in GDP in the second quarter of the year.

Sunak is among those cabinet ministers who have been keen to see some businesses reopen, and officials have been working on proposals for deciding which should come first – based on how easy it would be for them to work safely, and how critical they are to the economy.

Over the weekend, the UK’s total hospital deaths from the virus broke through 20,000, a grim milestone in a pandemic that has spread tragedy and misery. The true death toll is feared to be much higher, once care home deaths are included.

But Britain’s daily death total did drop to a four-week low yesterday, at 413 - mirroring similar falls in other countries.

Jeffrey Halley of trading firm OANDA says investors are hopeful that the worst of the virus could be behind us.

Peak virus seemed to be the overriding theme of the week, with the rate of new cases and deaths falling in Europe and the United States, the COVID-19 epicentres. Plans appear to be accelerating also for partial reopening’s around the world. New Zealand returns to work tomorrow, Australia plans a partial effort this week, New York has announced protocols for a mid-May reopening with some US states already tentatively opening.

European hotspots such as Italy, Spain, Germany and the UK are also planning partial reopenings or will be doing so this week.

There’s no major economic data due today. It’s going to be a busy week, though, with US and eurozone growth figures coming up. There’s also lots of earnings results to watch, with Alphabet/Google, Microsoft, Facebook, Apple and Amazon all reporting this week.

Updated

 

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