Graeme Wearden (earlier) and Katie Allen 

Chinese stocks falls, but Glencore helps FTSE – as it happened

Rolling coverage of the latest events across the world economy and the financial markets
  
  

An investor at a securities brokerage house in Beijing, China, today.
An investor at a securities brokerage house in Beijing, China, today. Photograph: Rolex Dela Pena/EPA

China fears hurt oil but Glencore buoys FTSE

Time for a closing summary of a day marked by more Chinese worries, burning hay bales and a shake-up for mining giant Glencore.

The FTSE 100 has edged up 0.5%, or 31.6 points, to 6,074.5 in a fairly subdued day for European stock markets with US exchanges closed for Labor Day. The pan-Euopean FTSEurofirst 300 similarly gained 0.5%.

Miners provided much of the momentum on the FTSE 100 after miners and commodity trading platform Glencore announced plans to suspend its dividend, raise $2.5bn by selling new shares, and to offload various assets. Its shares gained 7%, fellow miner Antofagasta climbed 7.5% and Anglo American was up 1.4%.

As my colleague Simon Goodley reports tonight, Ivan Glasenberg, the billionaire chief executive of Glencore, is to put up some $210m (£140m) of his own cash as part of a humiliating $10bn programme of fundraising and cuts designed to prepare the company for a “ doomsday scenario”. Simon’s full story:

Among the losers on the FTSE 100, Associated British Foods, owner of Primark, stood out. Its shares shed almost 1% to £31.13 after the group, which also owns food brands such as Kingsmill and produces sugar in the EU and China, confirmed in a trading update that profits for the year would be hit by falling European sugar prices and currency issues. But the Primark part of the business continued to flourish.

Chinese markets had a tough start to the week. Reopening after an extended holiday, the Shanghai Composite index lost 2.5% in Monday’s session.

Worries about the Chinese slowdown have knocked oil prices again today and it is down 3.6% at $47.8 for a barrel of Brent crude.

China also revealed the extent to which it intervened in August to prop up the yuan during the market turmoil. The country’s foreign reserves fell by around $93bn last month, the biggest fall on record, as Beijing scrambled to stabilise the currency’s value and stem capital flight.

Back in Europe, there were dramatic scenes in Brussels where farmers protesting over food price falls clashed with police. European agriculture ministers have agreed to hand the industry a €500m (£366m) aid package.

Here’s our latest story on the clashes:

In the UK, the NFU farmers’ union has tentatively welcomed the aid package.

In Greece, with two weeks left before snap elections, parties have submitted requests to participate in the poll. As our correspondent Helena Smith reported earlier from Athens, the Supreme Court has this afternoon received submissions from 19 parties – and five coalitions – to take part in fresh elections on September 20.

And finally, as the clock ticks down to another election, for the new leader of the Labour party in the UK, here’s an interesting story about a new local authority-owned energy company. Candidate Jeremy Corbyn, who proposes nationalising the major power providers, will surely be interested to read about Nottingham city council’s Robin Hood Energy.

That’s all for today. We will be back in the morning with rolling coverage of economics and business news from the UK and around the world. Thanks for reading and all the comments.

Parties put themselves forward for Greek election

With two weeks left before snap elections in Greece, parties have submitted requests to participate in the poll. Our correspondent Helena Smith reports from Athens:

It’s official: Athens’ Supreme Court has this afternoon received submissions from 19 parties – and five coalitions – to take part in fresh elections on September 20.

The poll, the third this year, will see the election of a fifth government to navigate Greece through an economic crisis now seen as its worst in modern times. Eighteen parties and four coalitions contested the last elections on January 25.

The Supreme Court will have the last say over the applications with judicial sources not ruling out the possibility of some of the smaller groups being excluded from the ballot. A decision is expected to be made in the coming days.

Successive opinion polls have shown outgoing prime minister Alexis Tsipras’ radical left Syriza party running neck and neck with centre right New Democracy party. The vast majority of analysts are now describing the race as too close to call – a huge turn around for Tsipras who had envisaged an easy victory when he called the election barely seven months after assuming office.

But top Syriza cadres are today expressing optimism supporters are beginning to rally amid mounting evidence, they say, that the breakaway anti-austerity Popular Unity established by 25 Syriza rebels is failing to gain ground. The party was established days after Tsipras announced he would accept more excoriating austerity in exchange for a third, €86bn bailout to prop up the debt-stricken Greek economy. Aides are hoping that Wednesday’s hotly anticipated debate among party leaders will also swing undecided voters estimated at anywhere between 15 to 20% of the electorate.

Addressing reporters at the country’s annual international trade fair in Thessaloniki this afternoon, Tsipras once again ruled out entering any form of power-sharing arrangement with New Democracy despite polls showing that no party is on course to win an absolute majority. That has raised the prospect of crisis-plagued Greece being plunged into yet more political uncertainty after the election.

Mining company Glencore has held onto its share price gains right to the close on London markets. Investors liked its plans for a shake-up to slash its debts and mitigate the effects of falling commodity prices and the shares closed up 7% at 131.8p. That followed an all-time low for the shares in the previous session on Friday.

Glencore graph
Glencore’s share price has tumbled on commodity price pressures and it hit an all-time low last week.

Glencore was the second-biggest gainer on the FTSE 100 on Monday behind fellow miner Antofagasta, up 7.5% at 607p. The FTSE 100 gained 0.5%, or 31.6 points, to 6,074.52 after a subdued trading session when the US markets were closed for Labor Day.

Aid package for farmers after food price protests

We have news of a breakthrough in Brussels, where thousands of farmers have today been holding a protest for higher milk and meat prices. Dramatic pictures from the scene have shown eggs, hay and other missiles flying as tempers flare.

As we reported earlier, an estimated 4,000 farmers, including some from Britain, gathered in the Belgian city as European farming ministers held an emergency meeting to discuss the crisis in the agriculture industry.

Now my colleague Graham Ruddick reports the farmers have been offered an aid package. He writes:

European agriculture ministers have agreed to hand the industry a €500m (£366m) aid package after farmers clashed with police in Brussels during protests about falling dairy and meat prices.

The European Commission said it was “well aware of the difficult situation” faced by farmers.

Almost 5,000 farmers, including roughly 70 from Britain, targeted the European Union headquarters in the Belgian capital as farming ministers held an emergency meeting to discuss the crisis in the agriculture industry.

Jyrki Katainen, EC vice-president said: “This demonstrates that the Commission takes its responsibility towards farmers very seriously and is prepared to back it up with the appropriate funds.”

More details from the commission:

Updated

Oil prices are under pressure this afternoon as continuing worries about the economic outlook for China, the world’s biggest energy consumer, weigh on crude.

As investors fret about falling demand and strong supply, London Brent crude is down almost 2.4% at $48.4 per barrel. It earlier hit a low for the session of $48.11. That is less than half a $115 peak in the summer of 2014 (as seen in this chart).

The sell-off follows renewed losses on China’s stock markets overnight. After an extended market holiday, the Shanghai Composite index re-opened to heavy selling and lost 2.5% as the latest efforts by policymakers failed to restore stability.

For Fed watchers, here’s a perspective from Joseph Stiglitz on what the US central bank should do at its upcoming 16-17 September policy meeting - when there are still expectations it could raise interest rates despite the recent turmoil on global markets.

Stiglitz, a Nobel laureate in economics and university professor at Columbia University, says the US Federal Reserve needs to worry about inequality, not inflation.

Writing for Project Syndicate, he says:

If the Fed focuses excessively on inflation, it worsens inequality, which in turn worsens overall economic performance. Wages falter during recessions; if the Fed then raises interest rates every time there is a sign of wage growth, workers’ share will be ratcheted down – never recovering what was lost in the downturn.

Here’s the full piece from Stiglitz:

Sticking with the stock market, it is a big week for the listed housebuilders in the UK.

Berkeley, freshly promoted to the FTSE 100, holds its annual general meeting and releases an interim management statement on Tuesday. As we reported this morning, Tony Pidgley, founder and executive chairman at Berkeley, is expected to face tough questions at the shareholder meeting near the group’s headquarters in leafy Cobham, Surrey, after it emerged last month that his pay package last year was worth £23.3m.

Redrow also updates the market on Tuesday and then it is the turn of Barratt Developments on Wednesday.

Michael Hewson, analyst at CMC Markets UK says this crop of results could show the early effects of recent changes to stamp duty. He comments:

The recent changes in stamp duty thresholds announced by the chancellor last year have also helped slow down house price growth in London, while at the same time helping the lower end of the market, due to the way the changes adversely affect properties over the £2m mark.

On the other hand it has also helped boost the cheaper end of the house price chain due to the cost savings made as a result of the removal of the slab based structure of the duty.

Hewson says Berkeley Group is more exposed to the higher end London market so there is scope for disappointment, as a result of those changes in stamp duty. Redrow meanwhile is expected to deliver strong results, after an upbeat trading update in February. Barratt Developments is more exposed to the lower end of the housing market and so “it is likely to feel the benefits of the recent stamp duty changes more than most”, adds Hewson.

Against a FTSE 100 up 0.4% this afternoon, shares in Berkeley Group are down -o.6% at £33.80 but Barratt Developments is up 0.4% at 634p. Shares in Redrow are up 1.1% at 482.5p.

Currency woes hurt Primark owner

Associated British Foods (ABF), the owner of Primark discount clothes stores, is having a bad day on the stock market. Its shares are down after the group, which also owns food brands such as Kingsmill and produces sugar in the EU and China, confirmed in a trading update that profits for the year would be hit by falling European sugar prices and currency issues.

Contrasting with a wider FTSE 100 up 0.6%, shares in ABF are the biggest losers on the index today, down 1.8% at £30.86.

That’s despite strong trading at Primark, which continues to take market share in the UK.

My colleague Sarah Butler has more:

Updated

After an earlier report today suggested that David Cameron and his advisers are urging business leaders not to speak out in favour of the country remaining in the EU, we now have a response from one of the groups pushing for the UK to stay in the union.

UK businesses have a duty to speak out about the benefits of remaining in the EU, Roland Rudd, the chairman of Business for New Europe has said.

As my colleague David Hellier reports, Rudd was responding to a report in the Financial Times (paywall) suggesting business leaders have been warned that making a case for staying in the EU too soon and too loudly will damage the prime minister’s sensitive negotiations.

Rudd said on Monday: “UK business has a clear obligation to talk about the implications of Brexit and why, in the main, they favour EU membership.

“It is hugely supportive of the government’s willingness to accelerate the reform process and has every confidence that it will be successful.”

Here is David’s full story:

Lunchtime summary: China weighs on the markets

It’s been a quiet morning, I’m afraid. But here’s a recap:

China’s stock market has shed another 2.5% on the first day’s trading since the markets were shut, for the WW2 victory parade.

Shares slid in Shanghai despite central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan promising that the worst of the correction is almost over.

Traders were discouraged by the news that China’s projected growth this year has been cut, from 7.4% to 7.3%. However, a full-blown crash was avoided -- partly due to upbeat comments from the country’s economic planning agency.

Beijing has revealed the biggest ever monthly fall in its foreign exchange reserves, after it spent $93bn supporting the yuan in August.

The recent turmoil has driven investor confidence in Europe down to a seven-month low, says Sentix.

After being hurt by falling commodity prices, Glencore has announced plans to cut its debt by $10bn. Not before time, given market angst:

While in Brussels, thousands of farmers are holding a protest for higher milk and meat prices. Eggs have been thrown, water cannon fired, and now hay bales are ablaze.

Here’s Graham Ruddick with the latest:

And European stock markets are a little higher, on a generally calm day:

Updated

The number of European bankers who receive more than a million euros in pay and benefits has fallen (don’t all cry at once), as the EU bonus cap kicks in.

The European Banking Authority reports that 3,178 bankers took home seven-figure salaries in 2014, down from 3,530 the previous year. Around 2,000 of ‘em are based in London.

This is the first year that banks have not been allowed to pay bonuses worth more than 100% of base salary (or 200% with shareholder approval).

However, the City did quickly respond to the clampdown with some ‘innovative’ ideas, such as creating allowances to supplement basic pay. The EBA says that this isn’t acceptable - pay is either fixed, or variable. Take note, HSBC....

One pinch of salt is rarely enough where Greek opinion polls are concerned. But taking that as read, today’s survey shows that this months election is extremely close:

If that’s the end result, then another coalition (or even fresh elections?) could be needed.

The leader of New Democracy (ND), Evangelos Meimaraki, said yesterday that he’d be prepared to work with Syriza’s Alexis Tsipras, in the interest of stability.

Tsipras, who has suffered a raft of defections since triggering the election, yesterday pledged to fight for better bailout terms if reelected. Will voters be convinced? Memories of January’s election, when he vowed to end austerity and renegotiate a better deal for Greece, are still fresh.

Updated

Here’s a handy chart showing how the yuan has lost relatively little value against the US dollar, compared to other emerging currencies.

That’s where that $93bn of FX reserves went.....

European stock markets are losing their early fizz, as traders return to worrying about the state of the global economy.

The FTSE 100 is now up just 30 points, handing back half its gains, while France’s market is flat.

The news that China blew $93bn propping up the yuan in August alone has deflated traders. Investors are also noting that Beijing has trimmed its growth forecast for 2015, from 7.4% to 7.3%.

It’s getting serious in Brussels - riot police are now using water cannon against the protesting farmers, after one officer was hurt:

Over in Brussels, thousands of European farmers are urging the EU to help them cope with falling meat and milk prices.

Tractors are blocking the roads in the Belgium capital, causing serious disruption as ministers meet to discuss the situation:

The Brussels press pack aren’t overly impressed, given the huge refugee crisis unfolding across the region.

Farmers have been rather generously subsidised by Brussels since the EU was created, of course - but dairy producers are still suffering as milk prices fall below the cost of production.

Still, pinging eggs at the police is rarely the best way to get your point across:

Updated

Eurozone investor confidence hits seven-month low

China’s recent turbulence has hurt investor confidence in Europe, as investors brace for more trouble ahead.

Research group Sentix’s monthly survey of sentiment across the eurozone has hit a seven month low, weaker than forecast.

Fears over developing market now outweigh optimism about Europe and the US, Sentix says:

“Investors now see the slowdown in China as well as in other emerging markets as a significant burden for the euro zone’s economy, which can no longer be compensated by good developments in the domestic euro zone economy or the United States.”

This sent Sentix’s composite index of euro area confidence sliding down from 18.4 to 13.6 points, its lowest level since February.

Expectations for prospects in six months time fell sharply, and are now close to zero in Germany, Sentix added.

Hao Zhou, an analyst at Commerzbank, predicts that Beijing will keep spending huge sums to prop up the yuan, saying:

Further intervention can be expected as China reiterates to maintain a “stable currency”. However, it is not costless.

(that’s via fastFT).

Record fall in Chinese foreign reserves

China has just revealed the extend to which it intervened in August to prop up the yuan during the market turmoil.

The country’s foreign reserves fell by around $93bn last month, the biggest fall on record, as Beijing scrambled to stabilise the currency’s value and stem capital flight.

As this chart shows, the yuan was allowed to weaken from 6.2 to the $1 to 6.4 in early August. It then stabilised, and even strengthened a little -- but at a cost to Beijing, as it sold large amounts of dollars to buy yuan.

Analysts reckon China will have to expend more of its foreign reserve treasure chest to keep the yuan at its current levels, given the pressure on capital to move overseas.

August’s devaluation, although significant, is smaller than the depreciations suffered by other emerging market currencies, as the US dollar strengthens broadly.

Economist Tyler Cowen flags up that the yuan might have to fall 10%, at least, to bring it into line:

Updated

China’s slowdown is a serious hurdle to Britain’s much-vaunted ‘March of the Makers’.

Manufacturing body EEF has halved its growth forecast for this year, to 0.7% from 1.5%, citing Chinese volatility and the Greek debt crisis.

Factories are reporting that new orders are weakening, meaning that more companies reporting a drop in output than a rise - for the first time in two years.

Here’s the full story:

European stock markets are shrugging off China’s losses, all gaining ground in early trading.

The FTSE 100 is up 1%, starting the week in positive mood after last Friday’s 2.5% slide. Here’s the picture across Europe:

Today’s selloff shows that Chinese investors still fear further turbulence, despite those reassuring words from central bank chief Zhou Xiaochuan.

Not too surprising, given the People’s Bank of China didn’t cover itself in too much glory in recent weeks, by not acting faster to stem the turmoil.

Connor Campbell of City firm SpreadEx says:

Whilst Xiaochuan might be confident (at least publicly) that the worst is over, investors aren’t fully convinced there won’t be more losses to come.

It doesn’t help that the PBOC’s actions in the past few weeks have hardly eased the situation, meaning whatever assurances the central bank provides hardly carry the previously perceived omnipotent force of the Chinese government, a perception that was perhaps irrevocably damaged across August.

Updated

Shanghai composite index falls 2.5%

Despite Beijing’s best efforts, the Chinese stock markets suffered further losses today as investors returned to their seats after a long weekend break.

The CSI 300 index slumped by 3.4%, after an early rally spluttered out, leaving the wider Shanghai composite index down by 2.5%.

At least it wasn’t a repeat of the 8% crash experienced two weeks ago on Black Monday.

That suggests investors were encourage by central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan’s claim that the “correction in the stock market is almost done.”

However, the bubble may have to deflate further first. The Shanghai Composite is still only down 4% for the year, despite shedding 27% in the last quarter.

Derek Halpenny, of Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, says buyers will only come back into the market when there is “confidence and value”.

Right now, investors don’t have confidence if the government could stop providing support to the market at any moment, Halpenny told Bloomberg TV, warning:

The risk is always that you can have further decline.

Updated

After several sharp falls last week, Japan’s stock market enjoyed a calmer day today.

The Nikkei gained 0.4% by the close, with the yen dipping against the US dollar (good news for exporters).

The City likes the look of Glencore’s $10bn debt reduction plan.

Its shares just leapt by 11%, even though future dividends are being suspended as the company tries to get its finance into better shape.

Updated

Speaking of turnaround plans, supermarket chain Tesco has announced the sale of its South Korean division for just over £4bn.

This is the biggest asset sale since CEO Dave Lewis took charge of the struggling retailer in summer 2014.

Glencore announces $10bn recovery plan

Commodities trading giant Glencore has announced a major shake-up today, after being hit hard by the slump in commodity prices.

It is suspending its dividend, raising $2.5bn by selling new shares, and offloading various assets.

The plan will cut Glencore’s net debt by around a third, from $30bn to the low $20bns, amid concern about the impact of China’s slowdown on the company’s prospects. Its share price has halved this year, as prices of key commodities including iron ore and copper have fallen away.

The boom times for Glencore, which is based in Zug, Switzerland, may be over:

Updated

China’s top economic planning agency helped to ward off a market crash today, by declaring that growth prospects are improving.

The NDRC declared that:

“The power usage, rail freight, as well as real estate prices and turnover have all improved into August, indicating the economy is stabilizing amid fluctuations.”

Stock market traders took heart from the claim, says Chris Weston of IG:

Whether or not we have realistically seen the lows in the various Chinese markets is yet to be seen, but the belief and assurance provided by the Chinese authorities over the weekend suggests we may see better days ahead.

Of course, one day doesn’t make a bull market. However, when you hear that power usage, train freight and property markets are showing signs of improvement, domestic traders listen.

Introduction: All eyes on China

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Global stock markets are on edge today, as the Chinese stock market reopens for business after a four-day break.

The Shanghai stock market is down almost 2% in afternoon trading; fresh losses, but not the crash some analysts had feared last week.

Over the weekend, China’s central bank governor Zhou Xiaochuan tried to calm nerves, arguing that the “correction in the stock market is almost done.”

He also predicted that the markets will be “more stable” going forwards, after weeks of wild turbulence.

Beijing also received a show of support from fellow nations over the weekend. G20 finance ministers and central bankers said they backed last month’s yuan devaluation, as part of the difficult journey to a more market-determined exchange rate.

European stock markets are expected to rise slightly this morning. They tumbled on Friday after August’s US unemployment data left investors uncertain on the timing of a rate hike.

But with Wall Street closed for Labour Day, it could be a quiet session ahead....

 

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