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Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns

Growth forecasts cut for US and global economy, while UK suffers sharpest downgrade in G7

HSBC says Iran war is hitting confidence as businesses warn over economic risks

Oil-driven inflation is big challenge to world economy, lifting inflation and depressing growth, says bank’s chair

Oil price dips below $100 a barrel after Trump claims Iran wants deal

US president’s previous threat to block strait of Hormuz had led to a 6.9% increase in earlier trading

Task for the week: limit the fallout from biggest oil shock in decades

As World Bank and IMF chiefs gather in Washington, the Iran war is driving up energy prices, fuelling inflation and testing voters’ patience

‘Mental breakdown’: oil tanker workers stuck in Gulf for six weeks are reaching their limit

Seafarer refuses to sail through the strait, citing safety risks and mounting psychological toll

Head of IMF says Iran war will permanently scar global economy even if peace is reached

Kristalina Georgieva says even ‘most hopeful scenario’ will lead to growth downgrade and cause permanent hit to living standards

Ceasefire brings relief to financial markets – but it is far from absolute

Situation still volatile as Tehran and Washington issue conflicting messages about opening of Hormuz channel

Will shipping in the strait of Hormuz – and oil prices – return to normal?

Analysts say doubts over stability of the ceasefire and damage to production sites mean the energy crisis is far from over

Oil and gas crisis from Iran war worse than 1973, ​1979 and 2022 together, says IEA

Oil prices swing and stock markets tense on approach to Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen strait of Hormuz

Hedge fund borrowing exposes emerging markets to greater Iran war risk, says IMF

Analysis shows developing economies more likely to experience higher interest rates and currency shocks

Jamie Dimon says US should strengthen allies economically, in veiled criticism of Trump

JP Morgan boss warns of risks of higher inflation and interest rates due to Iran war in annual letter to shareholders

‘Food security timebomb’: a visual guide to the Gulf fertiliser blockade

UN says record numbers of people could face acute hunger if conflict continues

Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say

Datafeeds from platforms being used to create algorithms that determine multimillion-dollar trades on global market

Oil price falls and markets rally after Trump says Iran war over in ‘two to three weeks’

US president’s claim that conflict is nearing end prompts 15% drop in Brent crude and stock market climb in Asia

Iran war may increase mortgage payments for extra 1.3m households, says Bank of England

Financial policy committee predicts ‘Trumpflation’ rises, as average two-year fixed rate hits 5.84%

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