UK economy on course for 1.5% expansion, NIESR predicts

Thinktank cautions Trump tariffs could blow hole in forecast, with 63% of UK firms exporting to US expecting to be hit

Modi heads to US in mission to dodge a tit-for-tat tariff battle

Prime minister hoping to revive ‘bromance’ of Trump’s first term despite US president calling India ‘a very big abuser’

‘Let’s not forget the pain of the 2008 crisis in pursuit of growth,’ warns Andrew Bailey

Bank of England governor says there is ‘no trade-off’ between economic growth and financial stability

Labour must seize the moment to show child poverty matters in push for growth

Scrapping two-child benefit cap is among levers Rachel Reeves could pull – yet chancellor remains silent on ‘shameful’ levels of poverty

Keir Starmer urged to resist pressure to permit Rosebank North Sea oilfield

Leading climate group warns of damage to green agenda if giant project goes ahead

‘Stagflation’ fears as Bank of England cuts growth forecast and warns of price rises

UK economy expected to grow by just 0.75% this year, in fresh blow to Rachel Reeves’s attempts to raise confidence

Grim news for Rachel Reeves is good news for the FTSE 100

The stock market is not the economy – as shown by the new closing high after the Bank of England’s rates cut

Rate cut can lift mood but Bank’s forecasts are unambiguously bleak

Weak jobs market and above-target inflation will dent Reeves’s growth plans and may wipe out fiscal headroom

Bank of England cuts interest rates to 4.5% and halves UK growth forecast

Latest quarter-point reduction comes with warning households face inflation of 3.7% by autumn

Civil servants will need to work efficiently or face redundancy under new rules

Cabinet Office minister will unveil a set of performance standards intended to ensure value for money in Whitehall

Bank of England poised to cut interest rates amid UK economic gloom

Growth forecasts likely to be downgraded, with rate-setting committee tipped to cut lending rate from 4.75% to 4.5%

SNP avoids early election as it wins backing for budget at Holyrood

Scottish parliament supports minority government’s tax and spending plans after intensive negotiations

In this Trump era of shakedown diplomacy, everything has a price

Friends and allies of the US president will say his recent tariff threats delivered quick wins, but he may find there are no winners in a trade war

Trump is willing to wreck the world economy. The global fightback must start now

Britain is less vulnerable to US tariffs than other nations, but shares a historic responsibility. A recession would mean dark days for everyone, says Guardian columnist Gaby Hinsliff

Starmer’s EU dinner date a big moment in tricky tightrope act

Domestically and on the world stage, the PM faces a series of challenges as he seeks to reset post-Brexit relations