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UK interest rate predictions fall as US and Iran agree two-week ceasefire

Markets now forecast one rate rise this year, down from two on Tuesday, although mortgage rates may not fall quickly

Wednesday briefing: ​Has the sacking of a shop worker highlighted our unease around how crime is tackled?

In today’s newsletter: A Waitrose worker’s dismissal ​after confronting a shoplifter has become a flashpoint in a wider debate over rising retail crime

New Zealand asks US to send fuel tankers to Pacific to alleviate pressure caused by Iran war

After meeting with Marco Rubio, foreign minister Winston Peters says he made sure US understands ‘significant economic impacts on New Zealand and Pacific’

World held hostage by reliance on fossil fuels, Christiana Figueres warns – and climate health impacts are ‘mother of all injustices’

Former UN climate chief to co-chair Lancet Commission examining how sea-level rise is reshaping health, wellbeing and inequality

Oil and gas crisis from Iran war worse than 1973, ​1979 and 2022 together, says IEA

Oil prices swing and stock markets tense on approach to Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen strait of Hormuz

Universal Music, home to Taylor Swift and Drake, receives €55bn takeover offer

Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square claims world’s biggest music company has suffered because of delay of US listing

Oil back above $110 in volatile markets as Trump deadline looms for Iran to reopen strait – as it happened

IMF head warns Middle East war will lead to higher inflation and slower global growth while IEA director says oil and gas crisis ‘more serious than the ones in 1973, ​1979 and 2022 together’

BP shareholders advised to vote against chair over climate resolution exclusion

Glass Lewis says blocking of proposal to share company’s longer-term strategy at AGM raises transparency issues

Hedge fund borrowing exposes emerging markets to greater Iran war risk, says IMF

Analysis shows developing economies more likely to experience higher interest rates and currency shocks

Musk’s SpaceX courts retail investors as it aims for record-breaking stock market flotation

Elon Musk’s aerospace to AI company will host summer event to try to convince buyers it is worth $2tn

JP Morgan reaches agreement with City airport for Canary Wharf’s tallest tower

Bank to submit planning application shortly, after securing deal on 265m-high London Docklands building

Iceland chain offers job to man sacked by Waitrose after confronting shoplifter

Iceland’s chair Richard Walker says Walker Smith is ‘welcome to a job with us’ as public fundraiser hits £7,500

My mother has been overpaid her civil service pension and ordered to repay it

Through no fault of their own, she faces repaying £100 a month until she is 93 or face legal action

UK City firms report fastest turnaround in fortunes in 30 years

CBI figures showing surprise jump in financial sector’s growth will be welcome news for Rachel Reeves

Want to know capitalism’s endgame? Just look at private equity – it has captured our everyday lives

These companies now own everything from nurseries to care homes, squeezing vital services for profit while we foot the bill, says Hettie O’Brien, author of The Asset Class: How Private Equity Turned Capitalism Against Itself

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  • California governor candidate Eric Swalwell faces calls to quit after ex-staffer reportedly accuses him of sexual assault – live
  • California coffee chain faces backlash after pledge to remove Pride flags
  • Crispin Odey drops £79m libel claim against FT over sexual misconduct allegations
  • Fears of UK and EU flight cancellations as airports warn of jet fuel shortages
  • Starbucks’s retail arm gets £13.7m tax credit even as sales increase
  • European airports ‘face jet fuel shortages within three weeks’; Irish army called in over fuel protests – as it happened
  • Anger as swifts’ nesting holes in Derbyshire rail viaduct ‘blocked up’
  • US inflation soars in March as war on Iran drives economy into uncertainty
  • Amazon to finally launch Leo satellite internet in ‘mid-2026’, says CEO
  • Dolce & Gabbana says co-founder Stefano Gabbana has quit as chair
  • US summons bank bosses over cyber risks from Anthropic’s latest AI model
  • Starmer says he is ‘fed up’ with Trump and Putin’s impact on UK energy costs
  • Welcome to Y’all Street: bullish Dallas aims to steal New York’s financial crown
  • Track Australia’s fuel prices, service station outages and shipments in charts
  • The daughters of Dominican immigrants achieved the American dream. They’re bringing sweet chocolate success back to the homeland
  • ‘Mental breakdown’: oil tanker workers stuck in Gulf for six weeks are reaching their limit
  • OpenAI shelves Stargate UK in blow to Britain’s AI ambitions
  • UK to give £380m grant to Tata battery factory in Somerset
  • Lidl to open 50 UK stores in year ahead – and its first pub
  • Gentleman’s Relish is toast after its maker axes the pungent anchovy spread
  • Oil rises and global stocks wobble amid worries over ‘fragile’ ceasefire deal in Middle East – as it happened
  • Strait of Hormuz not open, Abu Dhabi’s oil chief says as crude prices rise
  • Head of IMF says Iran war will permanently scar global economy even if peace is reached
  • BA to reduce Middle East flights when services resume in July
  • It shouldn’t take a war for Britain to wake up to the need for food security
  • Ed Miliband hold firm! North sea oil and gas drilling won’t help anyone other than Nigel Farage
  • Give all UK households a set amount of subsidised energy, says thinktank
  • Oil prices plunge and stocks jump after Trump announces conditional ceasefire with Iran
  • Ceasefire brings relief to financial markets – but it is far from absolute
  • Will shipping in the strait of Hormuz – and oil prices – return to normal?

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