Finally, Britain’s FTSE 100 has closed just 2 points lower at 6877.
Germany’s Dax also closed flat, while Italy’s FTSE MIB finished the day 0.5% higher, after Rome agreed to cut spending plans to satisfy the EU.
Goodnight!
Here’s Patrice Gautry, Chief Economist at Union Bancaire Privée (UBP), on today’s European Central Bank press conference:
“The ECB is looking at an increasingly risky environment and is forecasting sluggish growth (under 2%) in the coming years, along with persistently sub-2% inflation until 2021. However, it is winding up its quantitative easing programme, as previously announced. It came as no surprise that the ECB is relying on reinvestment inflows into fixed-income assets (with no end date scheduled) to continue to provide sufficient liquidity.
“Risk analysis is beginning to become less favourable but the sources of concern are believed to be temporary, or at least not enough of a concern to worry the ECB so much that it might have to review its scheduled interest-rate hike after Q3 if all goes well. The ECB is clearly not as relaxed as it would like to be, but it does not want to continue its asset-purchase programme, as it is also expecting regular rises in underlying prices and is setting out a tighter job market scenario and rising wages.
Stewart Robertson, senior economist at Aviva Investors, says the EBC has concerns about the growth slowdown and fears inflation will return only very gradually.
“Once again, they had to revise down their growth projections for the Eurozone. GDP is now expected to increase by 1.7% in 2019. The downward revision is modest - just 0.1% - but it comes after a succession of earlier revisions in the same direction. Inflation is also projected lower - (1.6% from 1.7% in 2019).
ECB President Draghi remained as upbeat as he could and continued to insist that risks to the growth outlook were “balanced”, despite acknowledging that recent data had been “somewhat weaker than expected”.
Summary: Dovish Draghi turns off QE taps
Time for a quick recap
The European Central Bank has warned that growth has weakened, even as it halts its programme of buying government and corporate debt to stimulate growth.
ECB president Mario Draghi told reporters that the quantitative easing scheme, launched in 2015, had been a major factor driving growth in recent years -- sometimes the only factor.
Mario Draghi: "In some regions, QE has been the only driver of this recovery". Quite a statement.
— Frederik Ducrozet (@fwred) December 13, 2018
But Draghi also warned that the balance of risks to the euro recovery was tilting to the downside, in the face of protectionism and political uncertainty. This has prompted the ECB to trim its growth forecasts for 2018 and 2019.
He declared:
The risks surrounding the euro area growth outlook can still be assessed as broadly balanced.
However, the balance of risk is moving to the downside owing to the persistence of uncertainties related to geopolitical factors, the threat of protectionism, vulnerabilities in emerging markets and financial market volatility.
Draghi pointed out that the ECB was not unwinding its bond-buying programme; it will reinvest the money from bonds as they mature.
JR Zhou, market analyst at the online trading platform, Infinox, says Draghi sounded pretty dovish, given challenges at home and outside the eurozone too:
“Months of hints, nods and winks meant the ECB had no choice but to turn off the Eurozone money taps or risk serious damage to its credibility.
“While Mario Draghi was boxed in by previous announcements about QE, his press conference revealed two stark truths – he remains deeply concerned at the fragility of Eurozone growth and reserves the right to administer further monetary stimulus.
“Against a bleak backdrop of stalling German exports, wounded leaders in the Eurozone’s two largest economies and Italy’s simmering feud with the EU, Britain’s Brexit chaos almost looks a sideshow.
“No wonder the dovish Mr Draghi wants to keep his options open. With the ECB’s inflation forecasts predicting that both economic growth and inflation in the Eurozone will dip in 2019, the likelihood of further monetary stimulus has increased, not fallen, with the news that the QE crutch is finally being withdrawn.
“As a result the Euro is sliding against the Dollar, and even against the recovering Pound.”
It’s not too bad a slide, though - the euro is currently down 0.2% at $1.135.
Updated
Last question.
Q: Last week in France, thousands of people took to the streets to express their anger. So how can central bankers provide answers to those people?
Draghi starts by expressing the ECB’s condolences to those who were hit in the terrorist attack in Strasbourg this week.
But on the yellow vest protests, Draghi doesn’t say much, beyond condemning the violence that gripped Paris, saying:
We blame and condemn violence, but the right to protest is part of our democracies.
I’m confident that the French government will address this problem in the best way.
That’s the end of the ECB press conference.
Asked about the 20th anniversary of the euro, Draghi says he would like to see “candid, close introspection that could inspire future action on completing the monetary union”.
Q: Is QE now a permanent part of your toolbox?
Yes, Draghi replies, adding that this brings the ECB into line with other major central banks.
Draghi: QE is part of our toolbox and can be considered to be useable by the Governing Council in contingencies. We’ve always considered this and it has now been sanctioned by the ECJ
— European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, 2018
News about trade seems to be slightly better, says Draghi. But he won’t give a list of improvement, because next time he’ll have to list everything that’s got worse...
He then cites “Brexit” and “other geopolitical events”. They have increased general uncertainty, that affects confidence, and a decrease in confidence certainly hurts business investment, Draghi continues.
Asked about eurozone banking union, Mario Draghi says we must be “alert and humble”.
Alert because there is more to do:
Monetary union is not complete..... More needs to be done before we can declare victory and say banking union is complete.
And humble, because this is fundamentally a political issue. The ECB can only advise.
Mario Draghi is now explaining that the ECB is “monitoring carefully” whether the current record low interest rates are hurting bank profits.
Q: The financial markets seem more worried about the downside risks than the ECB. Some don’t expect an interest rate rise until 2020 - are they wrong?
Draghi argues that the markets “well understood our reaction function” -- meaning they helpfully ease financial conditions when growth weakens, helping growth to pick up again.
Nice reverse psychology from Draghi: markets price out ECB rate hikes, thereby easing financial conditions, in turn leading to growth to pick up, and then allowing the ECB to hike rates after all. 😜
— Arne Petimezas (@APetimezas) December 13, 2018
Draghi: QE saved the day
Q: How effective has your QE bond-buying programme been over the last four years?
Smiling modestly, Draghi admits that he’s “kind of biased” when it comes to QE -- a key part of his pledge to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro.
But the facts speak for themselves, he argues, saying:
During some times....QE has been the only driver of this recovery.
But I’m not claiming to be the only driver of the recovery, he adds politely. And it’s for others to judge QE’s impact.
Sounds as if Draghi is ok with rate expectations as they are ... that's dovish, fwiw, but still a contradiction between consistent downgrades to GDP/CPI and 'steady as she goes' communication
— Claus Vistesen (@ClausVistesen) December 13, 2018
Q: Did any members want to set a time-limit on the re-investment of bonds purchased in the APP?
Our decision was unanimous, says Draghi (ie, no).
Draghi says timing of interest rate increase not discussed in meeting. Looks to me as though a rate rise next year is becoming increasingly unlikely
— Martin Essex (@MartinSEssex) December 13, 2018
Q: You are ending QE four years after the US Federal Reserve, so are you concerned that you lack tools to fight the next downturn?
No, says Draghi, before immediately adding that the ECB is “always concerned”. But it does have instruments to combat any downturn.
Q: Did you discuss when you might start to raise interest rates?
No, says Draghi. Any decision will be ‘state-dependent’ and ‘time-dependent’ -- ie, not before next summer, and only when inflation is sustainably back on target.
Draghi declines to define “extended time” (the timegap before it will start unwinding its QE purchases).
The eurozone is facing “drivers of lower growth, but not low growth”, Draghi tap dances.....
Draghi is showing some fancy footwork...
Draghi: "The risks surrounding the euro area growth outlook can still be assessed as broadly balanced." But moving to the downside. Nice verbal fudge they did there.
— Oliver Rakau (@OliverRakau) December 13, 2018
Draghi says disappointing growth this year no longer a one-off "there's a permanent component to this."
— Arne Petimezas (@APetimezas) December 13, 2018
Onto questions.
Q: What threats are the ECB governing council worried about in 2019?
Mario Draghi says the mood at this weeks meeting can be summed up as “continuing confidence, with increasing caution”.
He argues that the ECB isn’t wrapping up its asset-purchase programme, as it is holding onto all the bonds it has already bought [that’s true, but it also won’t be spending any money on new purchases....]
But he also reiterates that the economic picture has darkened a little, adding:
It’s been weaker for a while now.
Mario Draghi is ending his statement by urging eurozone governments to crack on with structural reforms, and to rebuild their fiscal buffers.
He says this at every meeting, though, which implies that politicians aren’t listening....
Headline inflation is likely to decrease in coming months, Draghi adds, in another dovish signal...
Draghi: underlying inflation to remain muted, and inflation set to decrease over coming months
— Michael Hewson 🇬🇧 (@mhewson_CMC) December 13, 2018
Draghi sounds more like someone launching a stimulus programme, rather than one dropping anchor....
"Balance of risks [for the eurozone economy] is moving to the down side" - Mario Draghi
— Pierre Briançon (@pierrebri) December 13, 2018
ECB cuts growth forecasts
Ouch! The ECB has lowered its forecasts for growth this year, and in 2019:
Draghi introduces the GDP and inflation outlook for the euro area pic.twitter.com/WwX68kvU41
— European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, 2018
Draghi: slower growth momentum ahead
Slightly worryingly, Draghi is now outlining how there are signs of “slower growth momentum” ahead.
The balance of risks is “moving to the downside”, he adds -- citing political uncertainty, protectionism, and financial market instability.
That’s quite a dovish comment for a man who just ended the ECB’s stimulus package!!
And the euro is already suffering, now falling against the US dollar....
Draghi says the balance of risks is moving to the downside pic.twitter.com/mCh42nJkGT
— Jonathan Ferro (@FerroTV) December 13, 2018
Draghi tells reporters that incoming economic data has been weaker than expected, due to softer external demand (perhaps due to the US-China trade dispute??)
However, the “underlying strength” of domestic demand is underpinning the eurozone’s expansion, he says.
Draghi adds that there are still “prominent uncertainties” (Brexit and trade wars, perhaps?), thus a “significant monetary stimulus” is still needed.
President Mario Draghi begins by reading out today’s statement, confirming that the ECB has left interest rates on hold (as expected) and halted buying new bonds under its asset purchase programme.
Draghi: We continue to expect the key ECB interest rates to remain at their present levels at least through the summer of 2019, and in any case for as long as necessary to ensure the continued sustained convergence of inflation to our aim over the medium term
— European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, 2018
Draghi: The net purchases under the asset purchase programme (APP) will end in December 2018. At the same time, we are enhancing our forward guidance on reinvestment.
— European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, 2018
Draghi: We intend to continue reinvesting, in full, the principal payments from maturing securities purchased under the APP for an extended period of time past the date when we start raising the key ECB interest rates, and in any case for as long as necessary
— European Central Bank (@ecb) December 13, 2018
Live video: Draghi faces the press
Mario Draghi is holding a press conference now, to explain today’s decision.
The ECB is slamming the brakes on QE even though eurozone growth slowed to just 0.2% in the last quarter.
Christian Jaccarini, senior economist at Centre for Economics and Business Research, says investors are worried about the state of the euro economy....
With Eurozone stability remaining under threat from the slowing growth and heightened political unrest, the ECB’s Governing Council was keen to remain supportive as it announced the end of quantitative easing today.
The move to end QE was almost inevitable given the ECB’s credibility was at stake. Still, while clear statements on the prolonged use of reinvestments and low interest rates will provide some reassurances for investors, the backdrop for the announcements will remain concerning for many.”
Here’s some early reaction to the ECB’s decision to stop stimulating the eurozone economy by buying government bonds with newly-minted money:
End of an era... BREAKING! #ECB confirms it will halt its #QE program! pic.twitter.com/quUJ7ObG0r— jeroen blokland (@jsblokland) 13 december 2018
— Erik van Rein (@erikvanrein) December 13, 2018
via 24liveblog https://t.co/7a8uEzdjoh
Same approach as the Fed, then. Start raising rates before unwinding QE. https://t.co/3WNvyaO2Ty
— (((Frances Coppola))) (@Frances_Coppola) December 13, 2018
The ECB's policy decision doesn't read overly dovish. As expected the QE era in December, but there are no changes to the rates forward guidance, while (some kind of) commitment on reinvestment was already pre-announced a few months back. My guess: No move to downside risks.
— Oliver Rakau (@OliverRakau) December 13, 2018
ECB calls time on QE
Newsflash: The European Central Bank has announced it is halting its asset-purchase stimulus scheme, despite signs that the eurozone is slowing.
The ECB has confirmed that it will stop buying government bonds at the end of this month, nearly four years after it announced the historic quantitative easing programme.
It’s the end of an era -- the ECB has bought €2.6 trillion of bonds since it launched its “non-standard measures” (in the face of opposition from Germany, who feared the money-printing programme was illegal)
The ECB has also left interest rates on hold at their current record. That means the headline cost of borrowing in the eurozone stays at zero.
It also announced that it will keep reinvesting proceeds from its existing QE stockpile - so as bonds mature, it will use the money to buy new ones.
Here we go, a new forward guidance from @ecb pic.twitter.com/UieHMXFxMm
— Cloud Y🖋 ☃️☃️ (@cloudyip) December 13, 2018
More to follow.....
Updated
Mike Ashley’s gloomy warning has triggered a sell-off across the retail sector.
Marks & Spencer’s shares have slumped by 4%, Next are down 3.3%, and Kingfisher (which owns DIY chain B&Q) are down 2%.
Here’s my colleague Angela Monaghan on Mike Ashley’s Debenhams broadside:
Sports Direct boss Mike Ashley has launched an extraordinary attack on Debenham’s after the department store chain refused his offer of a £40m cash injection despite “the worst November for retailers in living memory”.
In a letter addressed to the Debenhams chief executive, Sergio Bucher, Ashley urged the board to reconsider the offer from Sports Direct, which is Debenhams’ largest shareholder.
Debenham’s has responded, saying that Sports Direct’s offer of a £40m loan came with unacceptable strings attached.
In case you were wondering what Debenhams' response was to Mike Ashley...here it is... pic.twitter.com/gJdWYy8TcY
— Deirdre Hipwell (@DeirdreHipwell) December 13, 2018
Mike Ashley’s letter doesn’t reveal what these conditions are, but we understand he wants an additional 10% of Debenhams shares (taking SPD’s stake to nearly 40%).
Remarkable letter from Mike Ashley to Debenhams CEO Sergio Bucher, offering 10% Debenhams equity in exchange for a £40m interest-free loan. Also hints at the (perhaps unsurprising) possibility of a refinancing in the works that would affect landlords and pensions in particular. https://t.co/9Aajl6iVVM
— Pui-Guan Man (@PuiGuanM) December 13, 2018
Updated
Mike Ashley isn’t the only retailer warning that trading conditions are tough.
Clothing retailer Bonmarche hit investors with a profits warning this morning, and warned that:
The current trading conditions are unprecedented in our experience and are significantly worse even than during the recession of 2008 to 2009.
Here’s retail expert Patrick O’Brien:
My favourite line in Mike Ashley's letter is "What we are offering is a very public statement of support for Debenhams," which appears in a very public statement of contempt for Debenhams.
— Patrick O'Brien (@pat_gdretail) December 13, 2018
Mike Ashley’s blistering missive, urging Debenhams to take his money (on loan), has shaken up the retail sector.
Here’s some early reaction:
Great get from Ashley Armstrong. Mike Ashley's incredible letter to Debenhams. Why won't you let me help you? I'm all you've got. Plus, of course, his own stake of 28% (worth £25m) would be worthless if Debenhams fails so Q is why doesn't he buy 100% and take it private? https://t.co/OSZA3R807T
— Simon Jack (@BBCSimonJack) December 13, 2018
Extraordinary letter from Mike Ashley to Debenhams' bosses in which he offers a bailout in the form of a £40m interest-free loan. Says chain has no credit insurance, key suppliers reining back, + trading worst ever. Basically, "I'm your only hope", is the message. https://t.co/iFWlezKIBq
— Ben Marlow (@benjaminmarlow) December 13, 2018
Updated
Debenhams shares have fallen by 3%, following Mike Ashley’s warning that the company may have “zero chance of survival” without taking financial help.
That takes them down to 5.5p, compared with 35p at the start of this year.
Sports Direct shares are taking a bigger hit, down by 9%. Obviously City traders aren’t encouraged to hear that November was such a dire month for the high street.
Mike Ashley is now laying into Debenhams on a conference call with analysts.
The call is to discuss Sports Direct’s financial results (it reported a 27% drop in profits, due to the cost of rescuing House of Fraser earlier this year).
“They can save Debenham’s and they won’t and it’s not my fault”. At the @SportsDirectUK analyst briefing, Mike Ashley launches into spectacular and unprompted attack on Debs management team. Ashley says retailer is “going same way as Blacks”. Blacks went into administration.
— Joel Hills (@ITVJoel) December 13, 2018
“It makes you want to blow your brains out!” Mike Ashley says his offer of help and a loan of £40 million to Debenhams was refused by management team. Sports Direct owns 30% stake in Debs. “I’m furious [Debenhams] is going to lose £150 million of Sports Direct’s money”.
— Joel Hills (@ITVJoel) December 13, 2018
Updated
Mike Ashley: Worst November for retailers in living memory
Crumbs! Back in the UK, retail chief Mike Ashley has warned that last month was the worst November for shopping in living memory.
Ashley, the founder of Sports Direct, made the comments in an excoriating letter to the board of Debenhams, which has just emerged.
In the letter, Ashley urges Debenhams to accept a £40m interest free loan from Sports Direct -- its largest shareholder.
Ashley warns that Debehams is in real trouble, saying that shareholders could be wiped out unless the company can get financial help soon.
He compares his offer to a loan of Lionel Messi (something fans at Ashley’s Newcastle United could only dream of), saying:
November was the worst November for retailers in living memory......
What we are offering is a very public statement of support at a critical time for the Debenhams business.
Here’s a copy of the letter:
This is a copy of the letter Mike Ashley sent to @Debenhams yesterday proposing an interest free loan of £40 million in return for increased stake. Debenhams said no. “It’s like being offered Messi on loan and turning it down” said Ashley. pic.twitter.com/hPy0SS0hck
— Joel Hills (@ITVJoel) December 13, 2018
More to follow....
Updated
Marcus Walker of the Wall Street Journal has a good take on the Italian budget.
He reckons Giuseppe Conte’s compromise isn’t enough to satisfy Brussels (which Pierre Moscovici confirmed this morning). So more spending cuts may be needed.
But any additional cuts risks fracturing the coalition between the right-wing League party (let by Matteo Salvani) and the anti-establishment Movement Five Star (led by Luigi Di Maio).
After much wrestling in Rome, PM Conte got Salvini & Di Maio to agree to 2.0% deficit (2.5% on EC’s calculation). 0.4pp savings, €7bn, come partly from lower cost estimate of Lega’s policy pro earlier retirement. /4
— Marcus Walker (@MMQWalker) December 13, 2018
HOWEVER, 0.4pp is still a long way from reversing the 1.2pp widening of structural deficit acc. to EC.
— Marcus Walker (@MMQWalker) December 13, 2018
EC was looking for a minimal structural tightening, eg 0.1pp, requiring total improvement of 1.3pp or €23bn. That’s 3x more savings than Rome govt offering /5
EC willing to fudge the numbers, incl by using all possible flexibility in rules & changing estimate of output gap (which affects ‘structural’ deficit) given worsening growth outlook. But Bxl still looking for total improvement near 1pp of GDP. /6
— Marcus Walker (@MMQWalker) December 13, 2018
That means Rome needs to find (durable, ‘structural’) cuts of at least another circa 0.5pp (€9bn) to achieve the compromise. Not clear how govt can do that. It’s the entire cost of M5S’s new “citizenship income.” Di Maio already under pressure, can’t give much. /7
— Marcus Walker (@MMQWalker) December 13, 2018
Giving EU enough for a fudge cd test Salvini-Di Maio govt to the limit or beyond. If leads to snap elections, EU won’t mind. A Salvini-led rightwing govt might be easier to deal with, because more coherent – EU establishment hopes.
— Marcus Walker (@MMQWalker) December 13, 2018
Be careful what you wish for… /ends
Italy climbs down: What the experts say
Financial and economic experts are split over Italy’s decision to cut its borrowing plans for 2019.
Barclays argues that the move is ‘better late than never’, telling clients that the coalition government in Rome has folded under pressure from the markets:
The Italian government has faced a steep learning curve since taking office in June this year. Both 5SM and the League have quickly realised the potential perils involved with Italy holding unreasonable fiscal policies and an anti-EU stance.
The experience of the past six months suggests the Italian government may be more mindful of the effects that anti-EU rhetoric can have, albeit it is unlikely that a populist coalition such as this will fully abandon such a stance. Importantly, the government’s decision to revise its general government deficit target for 2019 could suggest a shift in the balance of power within the coalition.
The League party (which has surpassed 5SM in polls, IPSOS 24 November) has shown itself to be more sensitive than the 5SM to the potential negative repercussions that prolonged financial market pressures have on the economy. As such, this implies that it may have taken a leading role despite its junior status within the ruling coalition. As 2018 draws to a close, it looks like many of the issues plaguing Italy this year are in the rearview mirror. However, with 2019 seeing a renewed focus on growth and the funding outlook, we expect further challenges ahead.
But Lord Wood (a former advisor to Britain’s Labour party), points out that Italy’s voters gave their government a mandate... which Brussels has simply refused to accept.
Once again, markets reward Euro-area governments who cave in to European Commission pressure not to do what they promised their voters they would do. https://t.co/odrp3H20L5
— Stewart Wood (@StewartWood) December 13, 2018
Italy’s budget u-turn means it must change two of its key pledges -- cutting the retirement age, and introducing a new basic income.
Reuters has the details:
Italy’s government will cut “a few billion” euros from its two key reforms in order to hit the new deficit target it proposed to the European Commission, deputy industry minister Dario Galli said on Thursday.
The ruling coalition on Wednesday offered to lower its deficit target for next year to 2.04% of gross domestic product from a previous 2.4% to avoid disciplinary action from the EU.
“A few billions (in savings) compared to the original theoretical forecasts will come from the realistic implementation of the (government’s) most relevant measures from a political point of view,” Galli told La7 broadcaster, referring to income support and the introduction of a lower retirement age.
Italy Deputy Industry Minister: Few Billion Euros Of Savings To Hit New Deficit Target Will Come From Revised Citizen Income And Pension Reform – RTRS
— LiveSquawk (@LiveSquawk) December 13, 2018
Updated
European commissioner Pierre Moscovici has told the French Senate that “constructive talks” are underway with Italy over its economy and deficit situation.
However, there is still work to be done, he added (via Reuters).
But what about the Éléphant dans la chambre - France’s deficit?
Disappointingly, Moscovici said it was too early to comment on whether France might now breach EU budget rules, now the gilet jaune protesters have forced president Macron to raise the minimum wage and cancel a tax on pensions.
Over in Milan, Italian bank shares have jumped by over 3.2% in early trading.
That’s another thumbs-up from the financial markets for the new, lower, deficit target.
The main Italian stock index has jumped by 1%, and other European markets are also up this morning:
Italian two-year bonds are also rallying hard today.
The yield on this shorter-dated debt has dropped to 0.468%, the lowest since May - when the current Italian government was being formed.
Updated
The agenda: Italy caves in over budget deficit
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.
Italian bonds are rallying this morning after Rome bowed to pressure from the European Union and ripped up its tax and spending plans for 2019.
Following weeks of pressure, and the looming threat of an EU disciplinary procedure, the Italian government has presented new fiscal proposals that would mean less borrowing next year.
The new offer would create a budget deficit of 2.04% for 2019, down from the 2.4% that had sparked a bruising battle with Brussels.
Making a brave face of it, prime minister Giuseppe Conte told reporters last night that:
“We made a serious and reasonable offer”.
This feels like a significant concession to the EC, although we don’t yet know exactly which policies Rome will have to ditch.
Talks will continue in Brussels today, to hammer out further details.
Officials cautioned that there is more work to be done to satisfy EU regulations.
Newspaper La Stampa cited an EU “source” as saying that there is “still a gap to bridge, hopefully we can do it with the work that will continue in the coming days.”
The financial markets have hailed the news. Investors are piling into Italian debt, sending prices rising.
This means the yield (or interest rate) on 10-year Italian bonds has fallen to 2.9% this morning, from 3.7% a few weeks ago. That’s the lowest level since the start of October.
The gap between Italian and German borrowing costs has also fallen to its lowest level in over two months, suggesting that Italy is seen as a less risky investment.
Also coming up today
The European Central Bank’s governing council is meeting today, and is expected to turn off the taps on its asset purchase stimulus scheme. That would bring an end to three and a half years of bond-buying that has swelled its balance sheet by €2.6trn.
The pound is steady this morning around $1.264, after Theresa May won her confidence vote last night - but not with a landslide majority (just 200 votes vs 117).
The PM is now jetting to Brussels today for an EU summit, for further talks on Brexit.
I’m told the PM celebrated last night with two glasses of red wine and some crisps. She’s leaving for Brussels in a short while, and I understand is not expecting a major breakthrough at this summit, which is being described to me as “the beginning of the conversation”
— Tamara Cohen (@tamcohen) December 13, 2018
The agenda
- 12.45pm GMT: European Central Bank monetary policy committee
- 1.30pm GMT: ECB press conference with Mario Draghi
Updated