Peter Walker (now) and Andrew Sparrow (until 4.30pm) 

Theresa May’s Brexit speech shows UK getting ‘more realistic’, says Tusk – as it happened

The day’s coverage of Theresa May’s Brexit speech, with reaction and analysis
  
  

Key points from Theresa May’s Brexit speech

Closing summary

Just over six hours after Theresa May began her much-touted speech on Brexit, it’s time for a summary of what we’ve learned today.

  • May has set out her Brexit plans over 12 points in a speech at Lancaster House in London. Key among these was a commitment for the UK to leave the EU’s single market, and that MPs and peers will get a final vote on the deal.
  • Other elements of the speech included that the UK would not be a full member of the customs union, but would hope to strike some sort of tariff-free deal, and continue to cooperate over areas like crime and anti-terrorism.
  • May said that “no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal”, raising the possibility of the UK leaving the EU on default World Trade Organisation rules.
  • She also reiterated Philip Hammond’s threat that if the EU failed to offer a good deal, the UK could move to become a low-tax regime to poach investment.
  • May said she hoped to guarantee the continued rights of overseas EU citizens in the UK but that a handful of countries had still not yet offered a reciprocal deal for UK nationals.
  • Downing Street later confirmed that May’s speech formed the entirety of the government’s promised Brexit plan, meaning there will be no white paper on the proposed deal.
  • May’s spokeswoman also said that the parliamentary vote would not stop Brexit, raising the likelihood that if MPs turned down the eventual deal the UK would leave the EU under WTO trade rules.
  • Political reaction to the speech saw Jeremy Corbyn said May wanted to turn the UK into a “bargain basement tax haven”, while his Brexit spokesman, Keir Starmer, said he took it to mean the government was ruling out a hard Brexit.
  • The Lib Dem leader, Tim Farron, said May had outlined “Nigel Farage’s vision of Britain’s relationship with Europe”.

Guy Verhofstadt, who will lead on Brexit talks for the European parliament, has taken to Twitter to give is slightly sceptical reaction to May’s speech:

Updated

We now have a comment piece by the Lib Dem leader, Tim Farron.

Jeremy Corbyn has used Twitter to challenge May on her choice of outlining her Brexit plan in a speech rather than to parliament.

We have a story giving details on the section of May’s speech in which she refused to offer immediate confirmation about the fate of overseas EU nationals living in the UK.

This is Peter Walker taking over from Andrew. I’ve just been to the afternoon lobby briefing, where May’s spokeswoman gave no new information as such about the speech, but did formally confirm a couple of points.

The first is that while parliament will get a vote on the final deal, that definitely does not open the possibility of Brexit being reversed or renegotiated.

We will be having a negotiation. The outcome MPs will have an opportunity to vote on that... Whatever happens, we will be leaving the EU.

That appears to mean that MPs will have an effective choice of agreeing to May’s final deal, or rejecting it and seeing the UK face a “cliff edge” exit onto WTO trade rules, not likely to be hugely palatable.

We are also not going to see specifics of how May’s threatened low tax, low regulation economy if a deal cannot be reached might actually look. After if the prime minister would outline anything on this, her spokeswoman said:

We’re focused on more trade, more work with other countries. That’s what in all of our interests, and we’re going to go after that ambitious, bold relationship.

And finally - if it needed reiterating – May is not about to allow Scotland a special deal to stay in the EU’s single market:

We have been very clear that we are negotiating the United Kingdom’s exit from the EU, as the United Kingdom.

Here are two Labour MPs on Theresa May’s speech.

From Yvette Cooper

From Emma Reynolds

I’m finishing for the day now. My colleague Peter Walker will be taking over the blog from this point.

Jean-Claude Piris, a former head of the European council’s legal service, told the Guardian that the speech contained no big surprises except the proposal for “a bizarre customs union” with the EU, which, he said, would not be allowed under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade, the trade pact that falls under the World Trade Organisation. “The GATT/WTO would not allow such thing, neither the EU,” he said in emailed comments. “Ask Turkey.”

Turkey has a customs deal in goods with the EU, but has to open its markets to any country with an EU trade deal, without having much say. Piris said:

Otherwise she is asking for the moon, which is normal at the starting of negotiations. She is logically requesting the vital period of transition the UK badly needs, and is affirming that the issue of the Irish borders shall be solved without saying how.

In her speech May said she wanted “a completely new customs agreement” but had an open mind about how to work this out. She suggested associated membership of the EU customs union or signing up to some elements of it.

Fredrik Erixon, director of the European Centre for Political Economy, said the “only realistic option” for the UK was a free-trade agreement with the EU.

One cannot have half a customs union. That would break WTO rules. I think it is obvious the UK will have to leave all its current trade arrangements through the EU and start with a new agreement.

What she is probably nodding towards is an arrangement where there wouldn’t be tariffs introduced between the UK and the EU through a free-trade agreement.

Updated

Here is the Guardian’s Europe correspondent Jon Henley discussing Theresa May’s speech.

Key points from Theresa May’s Brexit speech

Sylvie Goulard, a French liberal MEP, who closely follows Brexit, thought the prime minister struck a friendlier tone, compared to her party conference speech. The speech was “a PR communication for the rest of Europe”, the MEP, said, but the British prime minister’s threat to turn Britain into a low-tax island was unmistakable, she added.

“Blackmailing partners is never a good thing. Certain declarations have a certain tone, which is not nice,” she said, also referring to the chancellor Philip Hammond’s warning that the UK could become a low-tax haven for corporations.

The discussion on tax was “very worrying. As far as I know the UK is a member of the OECD and is committed in the G20 and OECD to tackle tax fraud, tax evasion and not to encourage tax avoidance. It would be very strange for the UK not to reflect its own commitments.”

She pointed out May’s speech also contained important omissions, with no direct reference to the €60bn (£51bn) Brexit bill being prepared by EU Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier. “This is her version of what a good deal would look like and there is still a lot of work to do.”

In her view, the speech clarified what kind of relationship the British government wanted with the EU, but left big questions open. On the single market, May’s desire for the “greatest possible access” was “not very clear”, while “grey areas” remained over what she wanted on the customs union and reciprocal rights for EU citizens.

This view was echoed by an EU source who said the speech brought clarity, by ruling out options, such as a Swiss model or Norway-style membership of the European Economic Area, while leaving many questions to be worked out. “It brings it into clearer focus and enables everyone to sit down and prepare for the negotiations with that tighter focus.”

One of the trickiest points for both sides will be agreeing a transition deal. EU negotiators have made clear that the UK cannot have a transition deal without accepting the writ of the European court of justice. “It is obviously going to very difficult. If it is the status quo or close to it, it is going to be very difficult for the UK to accept. If it is very different from the status quo, it may prejudge the outcome of the negotiations,” an outcome that would be unacceptable for the EU, the source said.

More from Italy. Asked about Theresa May’s remarks, one Italian government official said he doubted that the UK could be as strong outside the EU as it is in the EU.

“Good luck on being a ‘Global Britain’,” the official said.

Here, chosen relatively randomly, are three Twitter threads on the Theresa May speech that are interesting.

From Bruno Waterfield, the Times’ Brussels correspondent

From Rob Ford, the politics professor

From the Economist’s Jeremy Cliffe

That is a reference to this plan from the Bruegel thinktank.

Lib Dem leader Tim Farron poured scorn on the promise to give parliament a vote on the final deal and said the prime minister should commit to a referendum. “It means parliament, half of which is not elected, will get a say on a stitch-up deal of which we do not know the content and the British people won’t,” he said.

“No deal that Britain is going to get through this process is better than the one we’ve got now.”

Farron said May should give MPs and the public the choice to remain in the EU or accept the new relationship. “We will continue to fight for a referendum on the terms of the deal, and then if the British people choose to reject the deal that is done, we could stay in the EU,” he said.

“No prime minister who gave a monkey’s about the British people would leave those as our only two options. One option is bound to be retention of our membership of the EU, and then it would be an outrage if the British people didn’t have a say.”

Sandro Gozi, Italy’s undersecretary for European affairs, said May’s speech at least offered some clarity and certainty on the UK’s objectives.

“It is now finally clear what they want. They want to leave for good and they want a full Brexit,” he said, adding that one aspect of her speech surprised him.

“May said that the end process could not be that the UK would be half in and half out. And I find this comment surprising because that is the current state of the UK - that is the state they are withdrawing from,” he said, pointing to “so many exceptions” that have been made for the UK over decades to accommodate its demands.

Nobody wants revenge, nobody wants vengeance, we fully respect it as a British sovereign decision and we respect the approach on negotiations. Of course, losing an important member like the UK is a loss. It will be a bigger loss for the UK ... [the negotiation] will be a damage limitation process.

Gozi said the protection of rights for Italians living in the UK was Italy’s “number one” priority in the negotiations and that he believed May’s remarks on the topic - in which she said that guaranteeing a mutual agreement on citizens’ rights in the UK and in the EU was a priority - were positive.

German industry welcomed Theresa May’s speech for providing clarity but made clear that it believed a hard Brexit would do substantial damage to business ties between Britain and the European Union.

Volker Treier, head of the German Chamber for Industry and Trade said that the speech had at last ended a debate about “cherry-picking” but that a “hard Brexit” would limit chances of growth “on both sides of the Channel”, with Great Britain likely to take a harder hit.

After Brexit is completed, German businesses are planning to reduce their economic investment on the island. Another consequence would be write-offs to the tune of billions, because German business had invested into Britain because of its membership of the single market. Such write-offs would then not be reinvested.

Leaving the single market and the customs union, Treier said, “lowered the economic attractiveness of the [British] island”.

To date, German companies have built up factories and businesses to the value of 120 billion euros. These companies employ around 400,000 people in Great Britain.

Sir Keir Starmer’s comment about Theresa May avoiding a hard Brexit (see 2.27pm) is attracting criticism from some fellow opposition MPs.

Here is the Green MP Caroline Lucas.

And this is from the SNP’s Alex Salmond.

Rupert Harrison, who worked as George Osborne’s chief of staff when Osborne was chancellor, does not take the Keir Starmer line. Harrison thinks Theresa May’s speech meant we’re getting a hard Brexit.

The Labour MP John Mann thinks today’s speech has reduced the chances of an early election.

Answering questions on the Le Monde live blog, Philippe Bernard, Le Monde’s London correspondent said:

The prime minister’s declarations do not clear up the numerous uncertainties surrounding Brexit. She has outlined certain objectives, but nothing says they will be achieved by the end of the negotiations. The impossibility of seeing what the future holds continues to exasperate the City and if the performance of the British economy right now is much better than forecasts indicated, most experts are expecting a shock in the months to come.

EU chief Donald Tusk says May's speech shows UK getting 'more realistic'

Donald Tusk, the president of the European council, summed up May’s speech in a tweet: “Sad process, surrealistic times, but at least more realistic announcement on Brexit. EU 27 united and ready to negotiate after Art.50.”

The EU institutions have refused to negotiate with the UK until the government triggers the EU exit clause, article 50, a position reiterated after May’s speech.

“We will react to specific UK positions and requests only once the article 50 process has been triggered,” the Commission’s chief spokesman said when asked about May’s statement on the single market.

Jean-Claude Juncker, the European commission president, who had been briefed on the speech, is due to speak to May later on Tuesday.

A blunter response came from the twitter feed of German Green MEP Jan-Philipp Albrecht. A tweet intended to sum up the British government’s message to the rest of Europe, said: “#May. Go fuck yourself EU, but please don’t let us down. *whine* whine*.” The tweet was later deleted from his feed.

Updated

Michel Barnier, the European commission’s chief Brexit negotiator, has responded to Theresa May’s speech on Twitter. He implies that getting a transitional deal (“agreement on an orderly exit”) will be a priority.

Carolyn Fairbairn, the CBI’s director general, says Theresa May’s speech has “changed the landscape”.

Today the prime minister changed the landscape. Ruling out membership of the Single Market has reduced options for maintaining a barrier-free trading relationship between the UK and the EU. But businesses will welcome the greater clarity and the ambition to create a more prosperous, open and global Britain, with the freest possible trade between the UK and the EU.

The pressure is now on to deliver these objectives and achieve a smooth and orderly exit.

Businesses want to make a success of Brexit but will be concerned about falling back on damaging WTO rules.

Theresa May’s threatening tone on the need for the EU to wave off the UK with a good deal has not gone unnoticed in Spain. The London correspondent of the conservative daily ABC felt the prime minister had been abundantly clear in setting out her stall.

“So it’s a hard, hard Brexit then,” wrote Luis Ventoso.

The prime minister has confirmed that the UK will leave the European single market, with its 500m people, despite the wishes of business leaders and the Bank of England. However, May wants to retain the advantages of the customs union … The prime minister also allowed herself to threaten the 27 [EU member states] with a trade war if they ‘punish the United Kingdom’ during the negotiations. She warned that Britons will respond with aggressive corporation tax cuts to attract businesses to their country. She also said that EU businesses would suffer if they lose access to the City of London – although it will probably be the other way round. Her threats are a little bold given that exports to the EU account for 13% of Britain’s GDP, while the exports of the 27 EU countries to the UK represent just 3% of their GDP.

Here is the Polish Europe minister Konrad Szymański on Theresa May’s speech.

I agree with PM May that it is necessary to secure the rights of EU citizens in Britain and this issue should be one of the first to resolve.

We are convinced that EU citizens residing in UK should be treated equally and keep the rights regarding employment, access to public services and social security systems.

It is vital to have very precise and legally binding agreement so as to provide maximum clarity for our citizens in all possible situations.

On the future of movement of people we respect that UK wants to control migration but any scheme must be proportionate and ensure fair treatment of all EU citizens regardless their professional profiles.

Nuttall gives May 7 out of 10, saying some of it 'did sound like a Ukip conference speech'

Paul Nuttall, Ukip’s new leader, has mostly welcomed Theresa May’s speech. In a statement he said:

Some of it did sound like a Ukip conference speech and the prime minister is now applying some of the things that we’ve been talking about for many, many years, so I would give her seven out of ten for this effort.

But I am concerned that what we’re getting is some sort of slow-motion Brexit where she is speaking about interim measures, or a transitional period, which will only begin after April 2019. She has given no end date to these transitional measures. I challenge the Prime Minister; let’s have this all done and clean before the next general election in 2020. On a positive note I would probably give a 7/10 today.

Good marks for saying we are leaving the EU’s single market and stopping mass immigration. However, the vital issues of leaving the European court of human rights and taking back control of our fishing waters have been left out completely and free movement of people is being offered as a carrot to the EU for the transitional period which has no defined end, so we could end up with no change on that for a decade or more.

As home secretary, Theresa May always talked tough but failed to deliver. I challenge her to change the habit of a political lifetime and actually deliver this time. And I mean on time and in full.

In the Commons, during his Brexit statement, David Davis was asked by Andy Burnham, Labour’s candidate for mayor of Greater Manchester, why Theresa May’s speech did not mention the English regions. In his response Davis said that he was planning to convene a meeting in York of English mayors from the north after the May elections to discuss Brexit. Burnham has put out a statement saying he was “surprised but pleased” to hear this. He said:

The regions cannot be shut out of this any longer.

I support reform of freedom of movement, but in a way that does least damage to the economy and in particular the regional economy. The Prime Minister’s speech today makes specific mention of protecting the interests of Cardiff, Edinburgh, Belfast and the City of London. But there was no mention at all of the north west of England, Greater Manchester or any English region.

Rather than leaving these crucial decision to a London-centric right-wing clique around the prime minister, it is time to open up the debate, give Greater Manchester a voice in it and establish a Brexit committee of the nations and regions.

Updated

Alain Lamassoure, a French MEP from the centre right Les Republicans party, said Theresa May’s speech was “incomprehensible”. Speaking on FranceInfo radio, he said:

Incomprehensible because the United Kingdom is sinking itself. It’s clear the interest for the British is that their businesses have access to the 500m customers [in Europe] and not just the 65m in Britain. Also she [May] says she is proud that London will be able to take control of trade deals with the rest of the world, but when she comes to negotiating with a country like China she can only offer the 65m British customers.

It’s a kind of economic and business suicide that makes it hard to understand what is going on over the other side of the Channel.

What’s very important politically is that the Brexit decision, and above all the shambles and incoherence of the British government since last June, has vaccinated many others on the continent against the advantages of leaving the European Union.

We can see from opinion polls and elections among the 27 (remaining member states) that the European people feel much more united than Brexit suggested. It hasn’t given anyone an appetite [to leave].

Updated

Here is Tomas Prouza, the Czech Europe minister, on Theresa May’s speech.

Here is a Guardian Opinion panel on Theresa May’s speech, with contributions from Matthew d’Ancona, Polly Toynbee, Giles Fraser andJ ohn Harris.

Here is an extract from Polly’s article.

Call it clean, call it hard, but May’s red, white and blue Brexit threatens epic self-harm – out of the single market, out of the customs union, no half-in, half-out. Immigration she has put above all else, regardless of livelihoods and despite polls showing that Brexit voters would not want border control to cost them dearly.

Enoch Powell from the grave has finally won – Brexiteer leaders are his direct inheritors. Where other Conservative leaders always saw off their little-Englander, closed-border right flank, she is the first to cave in.

And here is an extract from Giles’s article.

Today, May appeared at Lancaster House to rightly insist on our tradition of parliamentary sovereignty – which is why parliament will get the final say on the Brexit deal – but also to undo Thatcher’s disastrous single market model. The EU has become little more than a club for big business, which is why it’s over at the CBI and at Davos that they will be mourning Britain’s lack of membership the most.

Yes, she made lots of warm and compensatory noises about free trade. But from now on we get to decide our trade rules in the House of Commons. Which is why, despite the obvious comparisons between them, May has become the first prime minister to escape from Thatcher’s dark shadow.

Updated

Sturgeon says May's speech has made second independence referendum more likely

Nicola Sturgeon has suggested Theresa May’s decision to press for a hard Brexit has made it “more likely” a further Scottish independence referendum will be held, since the prime minister seemed to have ignored Sturgeon’s effort to reach a compromise deal on Scotland’s continued membership of the single market.

Accusing May of pandering to the hard right of the Tory party, Sturgeon said it should be “crystal clear [that] the Tory government cannot be allowed to act against Scotland’s wishes and our interests, and [to] reject all attempts at compromise.”

But in a carefully-worded reaction to May’s speech, the first minister avoided using the word referendum or independence, stating instead:

The UK government cannot be allowed to take us out of the EU and the single market, regardless of the impact on our economy, jobs, living standards and our reputation as an open, tolerant country, without Scotland having the ability to choose between that and a different future.

With her comments today, the prime minister has only succeeded in making that choice more likely.

Ruth Davidson, the Scottish Tory leader, said May had actually accepted a number of Sturgeon’s demands. May’s “clear and reasonable plan” included free trade with the EU, protecting EU citizens residency and workers rights in the UK, increasing Holyrood powers, and protecting cross-border cooperation on crime fighting.

“Nicola Sturgeon should now rule a second referendum out and instead work to get the best deal out of Brexit for all of us across the UK,” Davidson said.

David Davis says May's speech is the Brexit "plan" promised by the government

In the Commons David Davis has just effectively confirmed that Theresa May’s speech today is the government’s Brexit “plan” promised at the end of last year. Asked if the government would be publishing a more detailed plan, he said he promised to publish a plan as soon as possible “and that’s what we’ve done”.

This suggests that Davis has been over-ruled to some extent. At the end of last year he told MPs that he would not be publishing the plan until February at the earliest because, until then, he would not know what he could include.

Downing Street has also been saying that today’s speech is the Brexit plan.

Keir Starmer's response to Theresa May - Analysis

Here is the quote from Sir Keir Starmer, the shadow Brexit secretary, where he said Theresa May was ruling out hard Brexit at this stage. He was speaking in the Commons just a few minutes ago.

For many months we in Labour have been demanding the fullest possible access to the single market, emphasising the risks of leaving the customs union, arguing for a collaborative relationship with our EU partners, emphasising the need for transitional arrangements and the need for entrenchment of workers’ rights. Today the prime minister has rightly accepted these in her plan. I acknowledge that.

She has given little detail about how that is to be achieved and there are some unanswered questions and some big gaps. It is, in truth, a half-in, half-out plan.

Let me give an example. The prime minister says that she does not want the jurisdiction of the European court of justice. But she wants a comprehensive trade agreement. Sooner or later she and others will have to face up to the fact that any such agreement will have a disputes resolution clause and that will have to be independent of this country. It will not be by reason and resolution in the high court in London, according to English laws.

But, if the prime minister achieves all she has set out to achieve, she will fall short of hard Brexit that many in business and trade unions have feared, a Brexit of no deal, a bare trade agreement, out of any customs union and arms length with our EU relations. And it is good that she has ruled that hard Brexit out at this stage.

When governments make announcements, oppositions often have to choose between highlighting the attractive features, and notching it up as an opposition “win”, or highlighting the unattractive features and going on the attack. Starmer seems to have opted for the former approach. But it is an odd decision, for at least three reasons.

1) Starmer’s interpretation, that May has “ruled ... hard Brexit out at this stage”, is not a view shared by a lot of leftish, pro-European opinion.

2) His semi-positive response to what May said it quite different from the responses from his party leader, Jeremy Corbyn (see 1.49pm) or Glenis Willmott, the leader of Labour MEPs (see 1.59pm). They are not contradictory in content (and, like Corbyn, Starmer was very critical of the threat to turn to the UK into a low-tax, US-style economy). But they were contradictory in tone.

3) May’s speech fails to meet at least two of the five conditions Starmer himself set for an acceptable Brexit plan in December last year. The five conditions are here. Starmer said the government’s plan should contain enough details for the Office for Budget Responsibility to be able to make forecasts on the basis of it, and enough details to satisfy Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland that their concerns have been met. May’s speech does not meet these tests. Arguably it does not meet the others either.

Nick Clegg, the former Lib Dem leader and former deputy prime minister, has accused Theresa May of turning her party into “Ukip-lite”. He said:

On the same day that the leader of the world’s largest communist party publicly lectures the world on the virtues of free trade, Theresa May has finally turned her back on Margaret Thatcher’s greatest economic achievement, the world’s largest borderless single market. It’s an astonishing mutation from Conservative into Ukip-light.

By siding with Donald Trump and against Angela Merkel, Theresa May has made it inevitable that the rest of the EU will react by safeguarding the integrity of the EU itself. Throwing the gauntlet down against the rest of Europe, the PM is virtually guaranteeing that acrimony rather than compromise will prevail.

The prime minister has pledged to act in the interests of the young and future generations. Yet she has now set herself on a course which emphatically rejects what the overwhelming majority of young voters said they wanted in the Brexit referendum. Claiming to represent the interests of the young whilst pursuing a hard Brexit which will damage their interests will only deepen the generational divide highlighted by the Brexit referendum. This speech is a kick in the teeth for the youth of Britain.

Here is Glenis Willmott, the leader of Labour MEPs, on Theresa May’s speech.

So now we know: Theresa May has given up on the single market before negotiations have even begun, whatever the cost - the cost in jobs, the cost in trade, the cost to our economy. Britain is leaving the European Union, but the choices about how we leave will sit with Theresa May and the government - and this looks like a Tory plan that will make most people poorer.

And despite all of this, we still don’t have clarity on what she actually wants to achieve in terms of our future trading relationship with Europe. So despite the all the talk we still face uncertainty, putting even more jobs at risk.

Starmer says May has effectively ruled out hard Brexit

In the Commons Sir Keir Starmer, the shadow Brexit secretary, is responding to David Davis. He says Theresa May should have made her speech in the Commons. That is not just a convention, he says. That is so MPs can question her on behalf of their constituents.

He says Labour has been arguing for the best possible access to the single market and for the rights of EU nationals in Britain to be protected. May has accepted that, he says.

He says she is effectively offering a half-in, half-out solution.

If Britain has a free trade deal, there will have to be a mechanism for avoiding disputes.

He says May has effectively ruled out a hard Brexit. That is good, he says.

  • Starmer says May has effectively ruled out hard Brexit.

He welcomes the fact that May has offered MPs a vote on the final deal.

But the threat to change the UK’s economic model if the UK does not get a good deal is a very serious one, he says. He says there would be no mandate for this. It would be “an act of huge self-harm for the UK”, he says. And he says this is incompatible with what May said about wanting to protect workers’ rights.

Many in continental Europe will see Theresa May’s speech as thinly-veiled threat to turn the UK into a tax haven. Philippe Lamberts, the co-chair of the Green group in the European parliament, described the speech as “a slap in the face for those who want to establish the new UK-EU relationship in a way that would preserve not only economic co-operation, but many other positive elements of the European social, environmental and legal acquis.”

He added: “It also risks painful consequences for the British people, many of whom would suffer deeply under a low-tax, low-regulation agenda.”

Corbyn accuses May of wanting to turn UK into 'bargain basement tax haven'

Jeremy Corbyn has put out a statement about Theresa May’s speech accusing her of wanting to turn the UK into a “bargain basement tax haven”. He said:

Theresa May has made clear that she is determined to use Brexit to turn Britain into a bargain basement tax haven on the shores of Europe. She makes out this is a negotiating threat to the 27 EU countries but it’s actually a threat to the British people’s jobs, services and living standards.

We welcome that the prime minister has listened to the case we’ve been making about the need for full tariff free access to the single market but are deeply concerned about her reckless approach to achieving it.

This speech should have been given in parliament where MPs could ask her questions on behalf of their constituents. She talks about Brexit restoring parliamentary sovereignty but, once again, she is determined to avoid real scrutiny of her plans.

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David Davis, the Brexit secretary, is making a statement now in the Commons about Theresa May’s speech. He is summarising what May said earlier.

In the Commons the Labour MP Stephen Doughty has used a point of order to criticise Theresa May for not coming to the Commons to make her Brexit statement. Churchill would not have done that, he said, and Thatcher would not have done it either. With May it’s a case of “this lady is not for turning up”, he said.

John Bercow, the Commons Speaker, said that there has been a growing tendency for ministers to make important statements outside the Commons. But as soon as he heard May was making a speech, he took steps to ensure a minister would make a statement in the Commons, he said.

Greens says May has converted 'close-run referendum into extremely hard Brexit'

Here is Caroline Lucas, the Green party MP and co-leader, on May’s speech.

Theresa May has confirmed today that she is willing to take an extreme gamble with our country’s future. Her plan for Britain to be out of the single market and out of the customs union, without any guarantees on the kind of bilateral trade deals we’ll have, is extremely risky. The prime minister has morphed a close-run referendum into a mandate for an extremely hard brexit which will see our economy harmed as part of her desperate desire to end free movement.

Theresa May’s veiled threat to the EU about Britain setting its ‘own economic model’ if we don’t get a good deal is deeply concerning because, in effect, she means turning Britain into a corporate tax haven floating on the edge of Europe. The Green party will continue to stand up for free movement and keeping close ties with the European Union, and we’ll fight any attempt to slash our state through corporate tax cuts and a race to the bottom on regulations.

Pro-leave groups back May's speech

Here are reactions to the speech from two pro-leave groups.

This is from Richard Tice, co-chair of Leave Means Leave.

No deal is better than a bad deal, the prime minister said today. We are delighted by this as Leave Means Leave have been saying since its formation that Britain must be prepared to walk away if the EU is not willing to secure a deal.

We welcome her commitment to delivering the democratic will of the people and the tough position she has set out ahead of negotiations with the EU.

And this is from Change Britain, the group co-founded by Michael Gove

Theresa May’s announcement that the UK will no longer be a member of the EU’s single market provides certainty to both the British people and businesses. The public voted to take back control of our laws, borders, money and trade, and it is right that the Prime Minister is taking the necessary steps to achieve this. It will also enable businesses to start planning their future operations outside the EU. Politicians who insist on muddying the waters by trying to keep the UK inside the EU’s single market are only adding to business uncertainty.

With Nicola Sturgeon expected to issue a response shortly to May’s long-expected confirmation she plans a hard Brexit, Sturgeon’s deputy Angus Robertson has described the prime minister’s stance as “a big problem.”

In a tweet, Robertson, the Scottish National party deputy leader, implied there was a serious contradiction between May’s renewed pledge to consider Sturgeon’s repeated requests to keep Scotland in the single market and the UK government’s decision to leave it.

Sturgeon is due to present May with her detailed blueprint setting out how Scotland could retain privileged access to the single market even while the rest of the UK leaves the EU when May hosts a meeting of all the devolved governments on Thursday.

Sturgeon is likely to welcome May’s confirmation today she wants to increase some of the Scottish parliament’s legal and policy-making powers once EU powers are repatriated. But Sturgeon has made continuing Scottish access to the single market her ultimate red line; May’s speech increases the prospects Sturgeon will hasten preparations for a second Scottish independence referendum.

Allie Renison, head of Europe and trade policy at the Institute of Directors, has welcomed May’s speech. She said:

We welcome the level of detail provided in the PM’s speech and her commitment to providing certainty wherever possible, which is absolutely vital for business if they are to navigate and make the best of Brexit. Whatever the shape of the final trade deal, a smooth and orderly departure is in the whole country’s interests, so businesses will support the commitment to a phased process of implementation. While we do not expect a running commentary, firms hope to get periodic updates to maintain confidence as we make our way towards the exit.

We now know that we will be leaving the single market, and while there will be firms who regret this, they will at least be able to plan on that basis. Business leaders will be heartened by the prime minister’s strong argument for the value of free trade, an argument currently being made by all too few global leaders.

Theresa May has been attacked for failing to give any words of comfort to anxious Britons in Europe over issues that the UK is in control such including state pensions for retirees in Spain.

Ecreu, a group campaigning for the rights of Britons in Europe, said he was disappointed that May had blamed other EU leaders for not reciprocating her desire to protect EU citizens.

Issues such as pension and healthcare rights of Britons are entirely within her power, said Dave Spokes, one of the founders of the group. He said:

This has nothing to do with EU leaders reciprocating. The UK pays them so there was nothing to stop her getting up and saying that healthcare and pensions were guaranteed and we will negotiate the rest separately. It would have taken a lot off people’s minds if she had done.

He said only a few “financially secure UK citizens” would be able to grab a lifeboat and survive in Europe without the UK’s financial guarantees.

Under present agreements, retirees in Spain and elsewhere in the EU are guaranteed their British state pension will increase alongside inflation. This would fall away post Brexit, unless the government agrees otherwise.

In some countries the healthcare of the British in Europe is paid for by the UK.

For example, France bills the UK for most of the health costs of UK citizens.

“Almost all those costs are less here than in UK, so UK pays less than they would if the treatment was in the UK,” said Spokes.

The pound has now jumped 2.5% to $1.2347, on track for its biggest rise since December 2008, amid the global financial crisis.

It has more than recovered the losses sustained following the weekend comments from government about a hard Brexit. But it is still well below the high of $1.2431 seen as recently as 5 January.

Kathleen Brooks, research director at City Index said:

Here are the parts of Theresa May’s vision for Brexit that helped to boost the pound. Firstly, confirmation that parliament will vote on any final Brexit deal between the UK and the EU.

Secondly, the detail around the UK’s proposed new customs deal with the EU that the UK hopes will allow tariff-free trade with the EU, our largest trading partner.

Lastly, May’s objective for a 2-year time frame to agree the Brexit deal, and a phased transition phase after that to ensure a smooth transition to the UK’s new reality outside of the EU.

It is worth remembering that since the Brexit vote last June, rallies in the pound have been fairly weak, while sell offs have been harsh and prolonged. It is too early to know if the negative impact of politics on the UK currency is starting to wane.

In her Sky News interview Amber Rudd, the home secretary, was asked what would happen if MPs voted against the government’s final Brexit deal. Would this mean the UK staying in the EU? During her Q&A (see 12.37pm) Theresa May failed to give a clear answer to this, Sky’s Colin Brazier pointed out. Rudd sidestepped the question too, saying that May’s answer reflected the fact that the government was confident that MPs would back its Brexit deal.

Germany says it is glad May has provided 'a bit more clarity' over Brexit

A fairly diplomatically worded response to May’s speech from Germany’s foreign minister, Frank-Walter Steinmeier:

We welcome that the British prime minister today sketched out her government’s ideas about its departure and at last created a bit more clarity about the British plans. She has underlined that Great Britain is seeking a positive and constructive partnership, a friendship, with a strong EU. That is good.

We also want a relationship that is as good, close and trusting and hope for constructive negotiations with this goal in mind. But our line and remains: negotiations will only begin when Great Britain has officially announced its desire to leave. Tomorrow we will vote in our Brexit cabinet committee on the German position during the upcoming negotiations.

It is in Germany’s interest and in the interest of Europe to strengthen the cohesion of the European Union of 27 members and preserve the unity of the single market.

Updated

While May has said the UK will seek control over immigration from the EU, it still remains to be seen what this will actually involve.

Speaking on Sky News the home secretary, Amber Rudd, said there were “different ways for delivering more control over immigration”.

Rudd added:

We are looking at a range of different of options and we will be coming forwards with our options over the coming months.

Theresa May's Brexit speech - Summary and key extracts

Number 10 has just released the text of the speech. Here are the key points.

  • May said that EU leaders would be committing an act of “calamitous self-harm” if they tried to punish the UK for leaving.

I must be clear. Britain wants to remain a good friend and neighbour to Europe. Yet I know there are some voices calling for a punitive deal that punishes Britain and discourages other countries from taking the same path.

That would be an act of calamitous self-harm for the countries of Europe. And it would not be the act of a friend.

  • She said she would rather have no Brexit deal than accept a bad Brexit deal. She did not say so explicitly, but this means she would be willing to leave the EU after two years with no trade deal in place, and revert to trading with the EU on World Trade Organisation terms. She said:

Britain would not – indeed we could not – accept such an approach [EU leaders trying to punish the UK]. And while I am confident that this scenario need never arise – while I am sure a positive agreement can be reached – I am equally clear that no deal for Britain is better than a bad deal for Britain.

  • She suggested the UK would slash taxes to poach investment if the EU failed to offer the UK a good trade deal.

Because we would still be able to trade with Europe. We would be free to strike trade deals across the world. And we would have the freedom to set the competitive tax rates and embrace the policies that would attract the world’s best companies and biggest investors to Britain. And – if we were excluded from accessing the single market – we would be free to change the basis of Britain’s economic model.

  • She ruled out Britain staying in the single market.

European leaders have said many times that membership means accepting the “four freedoms” of goods, capital, services and people. And being out of the EU but a member of the single market would mean complying with the EU’s rules and regulations that implement those freedoms, without having a vote on what those rules and regulations are. It would mean accepting a role for the European court of justice that would see it still having direct legal authority in our country.

It would to all intents and purposes mean not leaving the EU at all.

And that is why both sides in the referendum campaign made it clear that a vote to leave the EU would be a vote to leave the single market.

So we do not seek membership of the single market. Instead we seek the greatest possible access to it through a new, comprehensive, bold and ambitious free trade agreement.

  • She said she wanted to retain the “greatest possible access to the single market”.

[The proposed free trade agreement] may take in elements of current single market arrangements in certain areas – on the export of cars and lorries for example, or the freedom to provide financial services across national borders – as it makes no sense to start again from scratch when Britain and the remaining member states have adhered to the same rules for so many years.

But I respect the position taken by European leaders who have been clear about their position, just as I am clear about mine. So an important part of the new strategic partnership we seek with the EU will be the pursuit of the greatest possible access to the single market, on a fully reciprocal basis, through a comprehensive free trade agreement.

  • She said she would like to retain elements of customs union membership.

I know my emphasis on striking trade agreements with countries outside Europe has led to questions about whether Britain seeks to remain a member of the EU’s customs union. And it is true that full customs union membership prevents us from negotiating our own comprehensive trade deals.

Now, I want Britain to be able to negotiate its own trade agreements. But I also want tariff-free trade with Europe and cross-border trade there to be as frictionless as possible.

That means I do not want Britain to be part of the common commercial policy and I do not want us to be bound by the common external tariff. These are the elements of the customs union that prevent us from striking our own comprehensive trade agreements with other countries. But I do want us to have a customs agreement with the EU.

Whether that means we must reach a completely new customs agreement, become an associate member of the customs union in some way, or remain a signatory to some elements of it, I hold no preconceived position. I have an open mind on how we do it. It is not the means that matter, but the ends.

  • She said she wanted a transitional deal, with different aspects lasting different amounts of time, allowing for Brexit implementation.

But there is one further objective we are setting. For as I have said before – it is in no one’s interests for there to be a cliff-edge for business or a threat to stability, as we change from our existing relationship to a new partnership with the EU.

By this, I do not mean that we will seek some form of unlimited transitional status, in which we find ourselves stuck forever in some kind of permanent political purgatory. That would not be good for Britain, but nor do I believe it would be good for the EU.

Instead, I want us to have reached an agreement about our future partnership by the time the two-year article fifty process has concluded. From that point onwards, we believe a phased process of implementation, in which both Britain and the EU institutions and member states prepare for the new arrangements that will exist between us will be in our mutual self-interest. This will give businesses enough time to plan and prepare for those new arrangements.

This might be about our immigration controls, customs systems or the way in which we cooperate on criminal justice matters. Or it might be about the future legal and regulatory framework for financial services. For each issue, the time we need to phase-in the new arrangements may differ. Some might be introduced very quickly, some might take longer. And the interim arrangements we rely upon are likely to be a matter of negotiation.

But the purpose is clear: we will seek to avoid a disruptive cliff-edge, and we will do everything we can to phase in the new arrangements we require as Britain and the EU move towards our new partnership.

  • She said Britain may continue with modest payments to the EU after Brexit.

Because we will no longer be members of the Single Market, we will not be required to contribute huge sums to the EU budget. There may be some specific European programmes in which we might want to participate. If so, and this will be for us to decide, it is reasonable that we should make an appropriate contribution. But the principle is clear: the days of Britain making vast contributions to the European Union every year will end.

  • She said MPs and peers would get a vote on leaving the EU.

And when it comes to parliament, there is one other way in which I would like to provide certainty. I can confirm today that the government will put the final deal that is agreed between the UK and the EU to a vote in both Houses of Parliament, before it comes into force.

But May has not explained what this vote would entail. During the Q&A (see 12.37pm) she implied that MPs would not get a chance to vote to stay in the EU, implying that the vote would just be a choice between Brexit on the government’s terms and Brexit with no deal at all, but this has not been clarified.

  • She said Britain did not want the EU to unravel. This passage seems to have been included to differentiate May from Donald Trump who is not committed to helping to ensure the survival of the EU. She said:

I know that this – and the other reasons Britain took such a decision – is not always well understood among our friends and allies in Europe. And I know many fear that this might herald the beginning of a greater unravelling of the EU.

But let me be clear: I do not want that to happen. It would not be in the best interests of Britain. It remains overwhelmingly and compellingly in Britain’s national interest that the EU should succeed. And that is why I hope in the months and years ahead we will all reflect on the lessons of Britain’s decision to leave.

  • She claimed that just one or two EU states were blocking an early deal on the rights of EU nationals living in the UK.

Fairness demands that we deal with another issue as soon as possible too. We want to guarantee the rights of EU citizens who are already living in Britain, and the rights of British nationals in other member states, as early as we can.

I have told other EU leaders that we could give people the certainty they want straight away, and reach such a deal now.

Many of them favour such an agreement - one or two others do not - but I want everyone to know that it remains an important priority for Britain – and for many other member states – to resolve this challenge as soon as possible. Because it is the right and fair thing to do.

Updated

The Irish government has signalled its intent to exploit May’s plans to leave the single market and customs union with bids to woo EU agencies from London to Dublin.

A spokesperson for the government in Dublin said there were now “economic opportunities that may arise for Ireland” following the UK’s decision.

“Bids for the EU agencies currently located in London – the European Medicines Board and the European Banking Authority have already been announced and the state enterprise agencies are actively pursuing opportunities for increased investment, business and job creation in Ireland,” they said.

“Economic opportunities for Ireland will be pursued vigorously”, the government spokesperson continued.

The government in Dublin said it welcomed the prime minister’s commitment to maintaining the pre-EU common travel area between Britain and Ireland as well as her promise that there would be no “hard border” between Northern Ireland and the Republic.

May will meet Taoiseach Enda Kenny in Dublin later this month to discuss ares of common interest, the spokesperson said.

Business knows 'little more' about May's Brexit plans than it did yesterday, says BCC

We have some initial and fairly lukewarm reaction from the British Chambers of Commerce. Adam Marshall, its director general, said May’s speech changed little for members:

In business, what you achieve in a negotiation - not what you bid for - is what really matters.

The Brexit process is no different. While businesses now have a clearer sense of the prime minister’s top-line priorities, they will come away from her speech knowing little more about the likely outcome of the Brexit negotiations than they did yesterday.

The simple fact is that businesses all across the UK are carrying on. Directly-affected companies are being pragmatic, and are preparing for a range of possible outcomes.

Updated

Pound up 2% against dollar

At the end of May’s speech, the pound held on to most of its gains. Against the dollar it was up by 1.74% at $1.2251 as she finished her prepared comments, compared to a 1.1% rise as she began speaking. Against the euro it was up 0.7% at €1.1445.

The FTSE 100, down 0.4% initially, edged lower and fell 0.58% to 7284 as dollar earners fell back as the pound improved.

As she took questions, emphasising Britain was looking for a deal which would benefit both sides, sterling hit its high for the day, up 2% to $1.2293.

The 2% rise is the biggest increase against the dollar since June 20 last year, just ahead of the referendum, and the second biggest since December 2008.

Updated

Tim Farron, the Liberal Democrat leader, has been on BBC New giving his reaction to the speech. May is, Farron said, “leading the UK towards a hard Brexit that was never on the ballot paper”.

He added:

This is a theft of democracy, a presumption that the 51.9% of people who voted to leave meant the most extreme version of Brexit available.

Updated

The more vehement Brexiters are, as you might expect, generally very happy with May’s speech. This is from the former chief executive of the Vote Leave campaign.

Q: Is the threat of becoming a tax haven the main negotiating weapon? And are you ruling out any contribution to the EU?

May says the government may contribute to some programmes.

She challenges the use of the term “weapon”. She does not see it like that, she says. She hopes to get a deal that can be to the mutual benefit of both sides.

And that’s it. The Q&A is over.

Q: Are you saying you were wrong when you argued for the single market in the referendum?

May says she campaigned for remain. But since that vote the country’s economic performance has been better than predicted. This is about coming together and embracing opportunities, she says.

Q: When MPs vote on the final deal, if MPs vote against, will we stay in?

May says there will be a vote. MPs have voted for the government to get on with Brexit. She is sure parliament will want to respect the views of the people.

Q: Will any business sectors be exempted from immigration rules?

May says the government is looking at this. It wants to welcome the brightest and the best. But the referendum vote was for Britain to take control of immigration.

May’s disclosure that she has told EU leaders she wants to guarantee the rights of EU citizens who are already living in Britain will offer little comfort to those settled in the UK, a grass roots campaign group has said.

“EU citizens are living in limbo and Theresa May has done very little to reassure them today,” said Nicolas Hatton, the founder of group the3million.

“I am very disappointed that the prime minister didn’t take this opportunity in front of an international audience to unilaterally guarantee our rights of residence and we will continue to campaign to obtain a firm guarantee before article 50. We are not bargaining chips, we are human beings.”

May revealed that she has already discussed the issue with European leaders, but some are not prepared to seal an early deal which will also guarantee the rights of the 1.2m Britons in Europe.

Q: Could EU nationals get preferential access to Britain?

May says the government wants to welcome the brightest and the best to the UK. The government will set immigration rules according to the objectives she has set out.

Q: Do you still believe in a two-state solution in the Middle East?

Yes, says May.

May's Q&A

Q: During the referendum campaign you said leaving the single market would leave us worse off. Have you changed your mind? Or are you backing something that will make us worse off?

May says the economy has done better together since the referendum. This is about us coming together, she says. We are leaving the EU. But we are a trading nation. The country can benefit.

As you might expect, some of the most trenchant instant reaction to the speech is coming from SNP MPs.

May ends saying she wants Britain to come together.

One of the reasons that Britain’s democracy has been such a success for so many years is that the strength of our identity as one nation, the respect we show to one another as fellow citizens, and the importance we attach to our institutions means that when a vote has been held we all respect the result. The victors have the responsibility to act magnanimously. The losers have the responsibility to respect the legitimacy of the result. And the country comes together.

And that is what we are seeing today. The overwhelming majority of people – however they voted – say we need to get on and make Brexit happen. Business isn’t calling to reverse the result, but planning to make a success of it. And the House of Commons has voted overwhelmingly for us to get on with it too.

So the country is coming together. Now we need to put an end to the division and the language associated with it – Leaver and Remainer and all the accompanying insults – and unite to make a success of Brexit and build a truly Global Britain.

Updated

May says a “constructive” approach to the Brexit talks will be in the interests of both sides.

Britain is a country with so much to offer the world, she says.

She says the government also has 65m people willing it to make a success of Brexit.

May says she would rather leave EU with no trade deal than accept a bad one

May says Britain wants to remain a good friend and neighbour.

But some voices are calling for a punitive deal.

That would be “an act of calamitous self-harm for the countries of Europe, and it would not be the act of a friend”.

May says that no deal for Britain would be better than a bad deal.

  • May says she would rather leave EU without a trade deal than accept a bad deal.
  • She says, if this were to happen, the UK could consider adopting a revised economic model. (That means slashing taxes, to poach investment from the EU.)

May says cooperation between the EU and the UK is needed not just for trade, but for security.

After Brexit Britain wants to be a good friend and neighbour in every way, she says.

May says the agreement she is proposing is “the economically rational thing” for both sides to aim for.

May says she is confident that most of the UK’s partners want a positive relationship with the UK after Brexit.

She says the UK respects those EU leaders who say the EU’s four freedoms are indivisible.

We want the EU to be a success, she says. And we want the same for Britain, she says.

The pound is holding up well as Theresa May speaks, jumping nearly 2% on the promise that the Brexit deal will be put to a parliamentary vote.

Confirmation that Britain will not continue membership of the single market has taken some of the shine off, but the prospect of not making regular contributions to the EU budget and plans for a new customs agreement are giving some support.

The pound – which was ahead around 1% against the dollar when May began – is currently up 1.6% at $1.224. Against the euro it is up 0.68% at €1.1442. As a reminder, it was flat at the start of the speech.

Meanwhile the FTSE 100, which is dominated by overseas earners and comes under pressure when the pound is stronger, is now down 0.5%, compared to an initial 0.4% fall.

May says the government will not be pressured into giving a running commentary on Brexit. This would not be in the national interest, she says.

May proposes flexible Brexit transitional deal, with different aspects lasting different amounts of time

May says these proposals will be the basis for a new relationship with the EU.

But there is one further objective, she says.

It is in no one’s interests to have a cliff edge, she says.

She is opposed to an indefinite transition.

But a “phased process of implementation” would be in the UK and the EU’s mutual self interest.

  • May backs “phased” transitional deal to allow for “implementation” of different aspects of Brexit.
  • She says this transitional period could vary in length in relation to different aspects of Brexit.

Updated

May says a global Britain will continue to cooperate with its partners on issues like crime, terrorism and foreign affairs.

She says all European countries have interests and values in common.

Our response cannot be to cooperate less, she says.

She says she wants Britain’s future relationship with the EU to include practical arrangements on security, including sharing information.

  • May says she wants to continue cooperation with EU countries on security matters.

May says full customs union membership would stop the UK being able to strike trade deals.

But she also wants Britain to have tariff-free access to EU markets.

She says she wants a customs agreement with the EU. That could mean partial membership of the customs union. How this happens in practice can be decided, she says.

  • May says she wants some form of customs agreement with EU.

One leading Labour pro-remain MP has this to say about the plan to leave the single market.

May says UK may continue to make payments to EU after Brexit, but only relatively small ones

She says she wants a bold, ambitious agreement.

An important part of the new relationship will be “the greatest possible access to the single market on a fully reciprocal basis”.

May says, out of the single market, the UK will not have to contribute huge sums to the EU.

It might continue to make some payments, in return for access to certain programmes. But these won’t be huge payments, she says.

  • May says UK may continue to make payments to EU after Brexit, but only relatively small ones.

Updated

May confirms that Britain will leave the single market

May is onto her fourth key principle - creating a truly global Britain.

She will try to get an ambitious free trade agreement with the EU.

But this cannnot mean membership of the single market, she says.

  • May confirms that Britain will leave the single market.

May says remaining as a member of the single market would mean being bound by EU laws. That would mean in practice not leaving the EU.

Both sides during the referendum said leaving the EU meant leaving the single market, she says.

Updated

One Labour MP is taking issue with the section of May’s speech on immigration.

May says workers’ rights will be maintained under Brexit.

She says she wants to strengthen rights, and ensure laws keep pace with changes in the labour market.

May says she wants to guarantee the rights of EU nationals in Britain, and Britons living in Europe, as soon as possible.

Many EU countries want an early deal. Some do not, she says.

But the government will push for an early deal.

May says she wants Brexit to lead to a fairer Britain.

There has been record immigration into Britain, she says.

That has put a downward pressure on wages.

She says, as home secretary, she learnt you cannot control immigration while allowing free travel from the EU.

Brexit must mean control of number of people coming to the UK from Europe.

Sterling received another instant boost from May’s announcement that the Brexit deal will be put to parliament for a vote.

May says there will always be a special relationship between the UK and Ireland.

She says the government will find a practical solution that allows the common travel area between Ireland and Northern Ireland to be maintained.

May says no decisions taken by the devolved administrations will be removed from them.

May says the government will consider papers from the Scottish and Welsh government as it plans its Brexit strategy.

She says the government will ensure, as powers are repatriated, the right powers go to Westminster, and the right ones to the devolved assemblies.

May says Britain must take back control of its own laws. This is part of making Britain stronger, she says.

(May is currently on the four key principles, not the 12 negotiating priorities.)

MPs and peers to get a vote on the final Brexit deal, May says

May says she will be setting out the 12 principles that will guide the negotiation.

The first principle will be certainty, she says.

She says she wants to provide “as much certainty as possible”.

That is why the government gave guarantees on farm subsidies.

And it is why the government will adopt EU law in the great repeal bill. Parliament will then decide what laws it wants to change.

May says she can confirm that MPs and peers will get a vote on the final deal before it comes into force.

  • MPs and peers to get a vote on the final Brexit deal, May says.

Updated

May says she does not want partial membership of the EU.

We seek a new and equal partnership – between an independent, self-governing, Global Britain and our friends and allies in the EU.

Not partial membership of the European Union, associate membership of the European Union, or anything that leaves us half-in, half-out. We do not seek to adopt a model already enjoyed by other countries. We do not seek to hold on to bits of membership as we leave.

The United Kingdom is leaving the European Union. My job is to get the right deal for Britain as we do.

The pound has gained more ground as Theresa May talks about building a global Britain. Against the dollar, sterling was up just over 1% when she began, partly due to the stronger than expected UK inflation figures, and has now added 1.4%.

Against the euro the pound, which was earlier virtually flat, is now 0.28% better.

May says Britain wants a good relationship with Europe.

We will continue to be reliable partners, willing allies and close friends. We want to buy your goods, sell you ours, trade with you as freely as possible, and work with one another to make sure we are all safer, more secure and more prosperous through continued friendship.

She says EU citizens will still be welcome in Britain. And British intelligence services will still cooperate with their allies, keeping people in Europe safe.

May says there is a lesson for the EU in Brexit. The continent’s great strength has been diversity. There are two ways to deal with difference: try to eliminate it; or respect it.

She says the referendum was not a vote against EU values.

Our vote to leave the European Union was no rejection of the values we share. The decision to leave the EU represents no desire to become more distant to you, our friends and neighbours.

May says Britain has been seen as an awkward partner in the EU. David Cameron’s renegotiation was a valiant last attempt to make the partnership work, she says.

May says Britain wants EU to succeed, not unravel

May say June 23 was not a moment when he chose to step back. It was a moment when we chose to build a “truly global Britain”.

She says many fear this will lead to an unravelling of the EU. She says she does not want that to happen. She wants the EU to succeed.

  • May says Britain wants EU to succeed, not unravel.

(This passage seems to be aimed at Donald Trump, who told the Times expected other countries would leave the EU and that he could fall apart. He made it clear he was not bothered about this.)

May say the referendum was not a decision to turn inwards. Britain is “profoundly internationalist”, she says.

We are one of the most multi-cultural countries in Europe, she says.

Instinctively the British want to travel to and study in countries not just in Europe, but around the world.

May says the government has a plan for Brexit.

She says the government has a plan for schools. And will invest in infrastructure.

And that is why preserving the union will be at the heart of everything she does.

May says wants Brexit to leave Britain stronger, fairer, more united and more outward-looking than ever before

May says she wants Britain to emerge from Brexit stronger and more united than ever before.

My answer is clear. I want this United Kingdom to emerge from this period of change stronger, fairer, more united and more outward-looking than ever before. I want us to be a secure, prosperous, tolerant country – a magnet for international talent and a home to the pioneers and innovators who will shape the world ahead. I want us to be a truly Global Britain – the best friend and neighbour to our European partners, but a country that reaches beyond the borders of Europe too. A country that gets out into the world to build relationships with old friends and new allies alike.

I want Britain to be what we have the potential and ambition to be: a great, global trading nation that is respected around the world and strong, confident and united at home.

Theresa May's speech

Theresa May is starting her speech now.

Just over six months ago, the British people voted for change, she says.

A little over six months ago the British people voted for change. They voted to shape a brighter future for our country. They voted to leave the European Union and embrace the world.

And they did so with their eyes open: accepting that the road ahead will be uncertain at times, but believing that it leads towards a brighter future for their children – and their grandchildren too.

And it is the job of this government to deliver it. That means more than negotiating our new relationship with the EU. It means taking the opportunity of this great moment of national change to step back and ask ourselves what kind of country we want to be.

Here are some more pictures from the room where Theresa May will be speaking.

Faisal Islam beat Robert Peston to the Trump joke by one second, according to my Tweetdeck.

Theresa May has just arrived at Lancaster House.

This is from BrexitCentral’s Jonathan Isaby.

The pound has been going up this morning, although analysts attribute that to the inflation figures, not to the contents of Theresa May’s speech.

Margaret Thatcher also gave a speech on Europe at Lancaster House. It was 29 years ago, and she used it to praise the single market.

The Green MP Caroline Lucas is criticising Theresa May for not addressing the Commons about her plans.

Theresa May is speaking at Lancaster House, a grand Foreign Office mansion in central London.

My colleague Heather Stewart is there.

Labour says May breaking 2015 Conservative party manifesto promise to stay in single market

The Labour party has put out a briefing note saying that Theresa May’s speech today will break a 2015 Conservative manifesto pledge because the manifesto said the Conservatives would “safeguard British interests in the single market”. It included a line saying: “We say: yes to the single market”.

The briefing note also includes quotes from many cabinet ministers speaking out in favour of single market membership in the past (ie, before the referendum.) And it points out that in her speech during the campaign May explicitly spoke about the benefits of single market membership. She said:

So the single market accounts for a huge volume of our trade, but if it is completed – so there are genuinely open markets for all services, the digital economy, energy and finance – we would see a dramatic increase in economic growth, for Britain and the rest of Europe. The Capital Markets Union – initiated and led by Britain – will allow finance to flow freely between member states: the first proposal alone could lead to £110 billion in extra lending to businesses. A completed energy single market could save up to £50 billion per year across the EU by 2030. And a digital single market is estimated to be worth up to £330 billion a year to the European economy overall. As Britain is the leading country in Europe when it comes to the digital economy, that is an enormous opportunity for us all. These changes will mean greater economic growth in Britain, higher wages in Britain and lower prices for consumers – in Britain.

In the same speech May, in April last year, May also warned that leaving the EU could make life “considerably harder”. The UK would have to negotiate new trade deals to replace the 36 EU ones with non-EU countries and “there would be no guarantee that [the new trade deals] would be on terms as good as those we enjoy now.”

Plaid Cymru, which is deeply concerned about the impact of leaving the single market on Wales, warned Theresa May against seeking a deal “made in London for London”.

Steffan Lewis, the party’s shadow cabinet secretary for external affairs fears the prime minister is not doing enough to respect the interests of devolved governments.

He said Westminster was “fixated on fixated on pursuing an economic plan which serves the City square mile first and foremost”.

“There is a danger that today’s proposals amount to a ‘made in London, for London’ plan.”

Plaid Cymru fears a departure from the single market will badly affect is ports, particularly Holyhead, which is a gateway for from Ireland to the UK and the continent.
It is also concerned about the future of farming which relies heavily on European funding.

“Wales may have voted to leave the European Union but we did not vote to drive our economy off a cliff. Theresa May must today quell fears that this is her intention,” said Lewis.

Douglas Carswell, the Ukip MP, used an interview with Sky News to say he wanted to hear three things from the speech: that the UK will be free to strike trade deals (ie, out of the single market); that the UK will not bound by the European court of justice; and that it will be able to have “a sensible system of immigration”.

Theresa May backs all three of these conditions, and so her speech is likely to win the approval of the Carswell wing of Ukip (though not, perhaps, the Nigel Farage wing).

This morning Michel Sapin, the French finance minister, accused Britain of improvising its Brexit policy. France wanted more clarity, he said. He was responding in particular to what Philip Hammond, the chancellor, said in an interview published at the weekend about how Britain might retaliate by slashing corporate taxes (to attract investment to the UK) if the EU failed to offer a good Brexit deal. Sapin said:

We are in a situation of improvisation, a situation of going backwards and forwards between the position of engaging in gentle negotiations ... then taking a hard line that, allegedly, would allow for negotiations of better conditions.

All this shows that the British government is helpless in the face of a situation that some of them did not want and that has created disagreement within it. France wants things to be clear in order to finally engage in these negotiations. At that point we will return to realities, not just postures.

Theresa May's speech - Advance extracts

Here are the extracts from Theresa May’s speech that Downing Street released overnight. (The quotes are from Number 10, but the bullet point summaries of the points she is making are in my words, not theirs.)

  • May says she wants Brexit to leave Britain stronger, fairer, more united and more outward-looking than ever before.

A little over six months ago the British people voted for change. They voted to shape a brighter future for our country. They voted to leave the European Union and embrace the world.

And they did so with their eyes open: accepting that the road ahead will be uncertain at times, but believing that it leads towards a brighter future for their children – and their grandchildren too.

And it is the job of this government to deliver it. That means more than negotiating our new relationship with the EU. It means taking the opportunity of this great moment of national change to step back and ask ourselves what kind of country we want to be.

My answer is clear. I want this United Kingdom to emerge from this period of change stronger, fairer, more united and more outward-looking than ever before. I want us to be a secure, prosperous, tolerant country – a magnet for international talent and a home to the pioneers and innovators who will shape the world ahead. I want us to be a truly Global Britain – the best friend and neighbour to our European partners, but a country that reaches beyond the borders of Europe too. A country that gets out into the world to build relationships with old friends and new allies alike.

I want Britain to be what we have the potential and ambition to be: a great, global trading nation that is respected around the world and strong, confident and united at home.

  • She says Brexit was not a vote against European values.

Our vote to leave the European Union was no rejection of the values we share. The decision to leave the EU represents no desire to become more distant to you, our friends and neighbours.

We will continue to be reliable partners, willing allies and close friends. We want to buy your goods, sell you ours, trade with you as freely as possible, and work with one another to make sure we are all safer, more secure and more prosperous through continued friendship.

  • She says the Brexit deal should not leave Britain “half-in, half-out”.

We seek a new and equal partnership – between an independent, self-governing, Global Britain and our friends and allies in the EU.

Not partial membership of the European Union, associate membership of the European Union, or anything that leaves us half-in, half-out. We do not seek to adopt a model already enjoyed by other countries. We do not seek to hold on to bits of membership as we leave.

The United Kingdom is leaving the European Union. My job is to get the right deal for Britain as we do.

  • She says her negotiation will be guided by four key principles. They are: certainty and clarity; stronger Britain; a fairer Britain; and a truly Global Britain.
  • She says Britain has 12 objectives for the Brexit talks.

We have 12 objectives that amount to one big goal: a new, positive and constructive partnership between Britain and the European Union.

And as we negotiate that partnership, we will be driven by some simple principles: we will provide as much certainty and clarity as we can at every stage. And we will take this opportunity to make Britain stronger, to make Britain fairer, and to build a more Global Britain too.

But Number 10 has not revealed yet what the 12 objectives are.

Len McCluskey, the Unite general secretary, has put out a statement this morning saying Theresa May’s speech may send shockwaves through workplaces around the country. He said:

The prime minister’s announcement today looks set to send shockwaves around factories and shop-floors across the country. Her determination to appease the hard right in her party and Ukip by talking tough on immigration is putting millions of jobs in jeopardy.

Mrs May must not put party before country today. Trade unions and others have clearly outlined how real concerns over the freedom of movement can be addressed by sensible labour market safeguards without abandoning the single market when we leave the EU.

Out of the single market, possibly out of the customs union, then investment in core sectors like car manufacturing, chemicals, aerospace, even food manufacturing, will be threatened as companies face hefty on-costs and serious disruption to their supply chains.

I urge Mrs May to listen to the anguish of working class communities, not to add to it. Trading with nations that will not uphold our labour standards is not an acceptable solution – that trade will come with a heavy price tag, certain to be paid in the jobs, rights and wages of working people.

The prime minister must pay less heed to the Brexit headbangers around the cabinet table and more to the anxiety felt by working people who believe their jobs are being held hostage by the extreme nationalist wing of her government.

Inflation up to 1.6%

Inflation has risen to 1.6%, its highest level for more than two years, the Press Association reports.

Inflation soared to its highest level in two and a half years last month, as air fares rose and the plunge in the pound started to affect food prices.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the consumer price index (CPI) measure of inflation hit 1.6%, up from 1.2% in November.

Economists were expecting a rise of 1.4%.

The move pushed CPI to its highest level since July 2014, when it also reached 1.6%.

Separate figures for the producer price index (PPI) showed that factory gate prices rose 2.7% year-on-year in December, as manufacturers started to pass through higher input costs following the collapse of the pound.

ONS head of inflation Mike Prestwood said: “This is the highest CPI has been for over two years, though the annual rate remains below the Bank of England’s target and low by historical standards.

“Rising air fares and food prices, along with petrol prices falling less than last December, all helped to push up the rate of inflation.

“Rising raw material costs also continued to push up the prices of goods leaving factories.”

Here is the Office for National Statistics statistical bulletin.

Brexit secretary David Davis to make Commons statement following May's speech

David Davis, the Brexit secretary, will make a statement in the Commons following Theresa May’s speech.

There is a statement on Northern Ireland first, at 12.30pm, and so Davis will not start until about 1.30pm.

The cabinet is meeting this morning and being briefed on Theresa May’s speech. Here is Boris Johnson, the foreign secretary, on his way in.

And here is another fellow Brexiteer, David Davis, the Brexit secretary.

This is from the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg.

Paul Nuttall, the new Ukip leader, was on the Today programme this morning. He refused to rule out standing as a candidate in the byelection in Stoke-on-Trent central caused by the resignation of Labour’s Tristram Hunt, saying that this was still be discussed in Ukip and that a decision would be taken by the weekend.

Nuttall also said he was “massively excited” about Donald Trump being US president, because of Trump’s support for a UK-US trade deal, but he mistakenly described Trump as a “Anglophobe” when he clearly meant to say “Anglophile”.

Downing Street is tweeting about Theresa May’s speech.

Mandelson accuses May of thinking that difficult choices don't exist

Lord Mandelson, the Labour former business secretary and former European commissioner, was on the Today programme this morning talking about Theresa May’s speech. He criticised her for refusing to accept that hard choices would have to be made.

This is a prime minister who says that she doesn’t accept that there is a difference between a hard and a soft Brexit. I think she is pretending that difficult choices that the government has to make simply don’t exist.

If she doesn’t know what a hard Brexit is, let me tell her what it is: it’s when UK goods suddenly face tariffs of as much 10% or more in our biggest export market.

Unlike the chancellor and many other members of the Cabinet, she wants to take Britain fully out of the single market and the customs union, and that is very significant.

There are no clicky finger solutions to these issues, but not even to acknowledge the difficult choices that have to be made, I think is very worrying indeed.

I don’t think she should reveal what her compromised bottom lines are, you don’t as a a negotiator do that, but nor do you start by slamming down your red lines on the table and say take it or leave it.

Mandelson told the programme that the UK should accept the free movement of EU citizens but that “how that principle operates in practice needs to be discussed”. In an article in today’s Guardian Mandelson goes into this in more detail. He writes:

There are growing calls in Europe for movement of labour to be reformed.

Already, labour market rules differ across the EU. Welfare entitlements vary. In many EU states, if you come you are expected to have a job. And the ability to work is not regarded as the same as the right to settle, with all the benefits and access to public services that come with it.

May should aim to negotiate arrangements with the EU, combined with changes in UK labour market legislation, which give us both continued free trade in Europe and greater control over labour mobility and employment rules.

Ironically, what Mandelson is saying about how the implementation of freedom of movement rules could be reformed is quite similar to the arguments being made in another Guardian column by Paul Mason, a figure who is about as far on Labour’s left as Mandelson is on its right. Mason’s column, which is well worth reading, is here.

This is how the speech is being reported on today’s front pages. The tweets are from the BBC’s Allie Hodgkins-Brown.

Here is the Press Association story on what the pound has been doing this morning ahead of Theresa May’s speech.

The pound is in for a “wild ride” as Theresa May prepares to outline her plans for Britain’s divorce from the European Union.

Sterling was trading up against the US dollar ahead of the speech at $1.21, but experts put that down to weakness in the US currency rather than underlying positive sentiment among traders.

The pound was down slightly against the euro at €1.13 in morning trading.

Neil Wilson, senior market analyst at ETX Capital, said: “We’re expecting a wild ride for the pound today. These gains are largely down to dollar weakness, however, as the greenback has suffered a bit of a sell-off overnight and gold has risen amid a bid for safer assets ahead of this speech and Donald Trump’s inauguration on Friday.”

He added that another reason the pound is not in negative territory is because details of Mrs May’s speech that have been made public, such as plans to leave the single market and customs union, represent nothing new.

“Traders are waiting for more detail from the PM before making big decisions,” Wilson said.

The prime minister is expected to say she does not want an outcome which leaves the UK “half-in, half-out” of the European Union.

We are inclined by nature to believe, when things happen, that they are inevitable, but they never are and when big political events happen it is always worth remembering the alternative histories which are not real but which are just as plausible. Today Theresa May will set out the government’s approach to Brexit. But if David Cameron had decided to stay on as prime minister after the referendum, and had seen off a leadership challenge, his Brexit speech today would have been very different. He told MPs after the vote that his successor should stick as close as possible to Europe and he would be offering “the full Norwegian”. And if Boris Johnson had become prime minister last summer he would have put Michael Gove in charge of the Brexit talks and we know what would be in his Brexit speech because he published it in the Times last week. “When it comes to trade with Europe, a new deal could be simplicity itself,” Gove wrote, calling for “full Brexit, not fake Brexit”, and withdrawal from the single market and the customs union.

But we didn’t get Cameron or Johnson, we got May, her approach to Brexit is unique, and today she will make her fullest statement yet on what it is. It’s a speech that could determine British policy for decades.

There has already been quite a lot of briefing about the speech in advance and it is much more of a Johnson/Gove speech than a Cameron one. Alternatively, on the hard/soft axis (categories that May refuses to accept), it is far closer to “nails” than “a baby’s bottom”. Here is the Guardian’s overnight preview story from Anusthka Asthana, the Guardian’s political editor.

And here is an analysis of what to look out for from Dan Roberts, the Guardian’s Brexit policy editor.

The speech is at 11.45am and I will be focusing on it today to the exclusion of almost anything else. I will be covering the build-up, reporting the speech in detail as it happens, and then bringing you reaction, comment and analysis.

Yesterday the pound fell in advance of May’s speech. This morning it has risen slightly against the dollar, suggesting that any reaction to the speech may now be priced in.

You can read all today’s Guardian politics stories here.

If you want to follow me or contact me on Twitter, I’m on @AndrewSparrow.

I try to monitor the comments BTL but normally I find it impossible to read them all. If you have a direct question, do include “Andrew” in it somewhere and I’m more likely to find it. I do try to answer direct questions, although sometimes I miss them or don’t have time. Alternatively you could post a question to me on Twitter.

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