Angela Monaghan 

EU ministers meet in Brussels – as it happened

An Ecofin meeting has kicked off in Brussels after euro ministers told Greece it must do better on plans for reforms
  
  

Greece’s Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis (R) speaks with a Greek delegation member during an Ecofin meeting in Brussels, on March 10, 2015
Greece’s Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis (R) speaks with a Greek delegation member during an Ecofin meeting in Brussels, on March 10, 2015 Photograph: Emmanuel Dunand/AFP/Getty Images

Closing summary

Before closing the blog for today, here is a closing summary of the main events today.

  • For once, Greece was not top of the agenda in Brussels, but there was no escaping the subject
  • Markets across Europe and the US were down

Thank you for reading the blog today and for all your comments.

We’ll be back again tomorrow, when there should be developments in Greece as it tries to hammer out an agreement on reforms with its creditors.

Please join us then. AM

Back in Athens, the Greek government has announced €50 million of savings achieved from cutting ministerial advisers “and other privileges.”

The Guardian’s Helena Smith reports:

One official explained: “The government is putting an end to the hiring of unnecessary advisers who very often were used for the purpose of patronage politics. At a time when Greek society has experienced such a hard policy of austerity, it was provocative to allow a regime of tens of advisers to continue.”

The finance minister Yanis Varoufakis also says he has scaled back on advisers dramatically - along with ministerial cars and guards seconded to protect him from the police force.

The leftist-led administration said the €50 million would go towards relief measures aimed at alleviating the humanitarian crisis that has hit poorer Greeks as a result of relentless cutbacks and recession.

“In this way we are supporting weaker strata of society while at the same contributing to the restoration of a sense of justice,” the official added.

Mark Carney appears at House of Lords

In the UK, Bank of England governor Mark Carney is appearing in front of the House of Lords Economic Affairs Committee.

Here are some of the main points he’s made so far:

  • UK inflation is likely to remain close to zero for much of 2015
  • Global risks remain considerable
  • UK housing market is biggest medium-term risk to financial stability
  • Bank of England should be held to the highest standards and learn lessons when it falls short
  • Interest rate rises will be gradual and limited
  • It would be foolish to consider more UK stimulus at this time to boost inflation (which is at just 0.3%)
  • Quantitative easing is more effective in “dislocated” markets that are under strain, rather than in more normal times

The session can be watched live (and played back) here.

Interesting times at the Bank, after last week’s shock revelation that the Bank is at the centre of a Serious Fraud Office investigation. Read the full story on that here.

Updated

Jeroen Dijsselbloem has issued a fresh warning on Greece following the meeting of EU finance ministers in Brussels.

The Greek situation was not on the agenda at today’s Ecofin meeting, but it was impossible for ministers to escape the subject while agreement on Greek reforms has yet to be reached.

Dijsselbloem, eurogroup president and Dutch finance minister, said the markets will lose confidence in Greece if it doesn’t come up with acceptable reforms proposals.

Reuters snaps:

  • 10-Mar-2015 14:21 - EUROGROUP’S DIJSSELBLOEM: IF GREECE DOESN’T ACT ON REFORMS, MARKETS WILL LOSE CONFIDENCE
  • 10-Mar-2015 14:23 - EUROGROUP’S DIJSSELBLOEM: GREECE WON’T RECEIVE MONEY UNLESS IT MAKES EFFORT

The price of copper has fallen amid concerns over China.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.9% to $5,756 a tonne, following the publication of Chinese inflation data and a strengthening dollar.

Annual consumer inflation in China picked up in February to 1.4% from a five-year low of 0.8% in January. Economists polled by Reuters were expecting a smaller rebound in prices last month, with inflation at 0.9%.

However, producer prices fell by 4.8% on an annual basis, following a 4.3% fall in January. It was the fastest rate of factory price deflation in almost five-and-a-half years, reminding investors of the slowdown in China’s economy.

Updated

US markets open lower

US markets have opened lower as fears over lack of progress in Greece persist.

  • Dow Jones: -1% at 17,809.39
  • S&P 500: -0.9% at 2,061.34
  • Nasdaq: -1% at 4,368.43

The US has little direct exposure to Greece but investors are concerned that the longer the uncertainty carries on, the bigger the negative impact will be on the eurozone economy.

Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist at the ConvergEx Group in New York:

There’s a lot of rhetoric out there, some of which feels like name-calling, all of which makes the situation read as worse than it used to be.

Osborne: Greek drama isn't over yet

UK chancellor George Osborne has reported back from the Ecofin meeting in Brussels.

He’s been urging Yanis Varoufakis, the Greek finance minister, to hurry up and agree reforms with the rest of the eurozone.

Helena Smith, the Guardian’s correspondent in Athens, brings us this report on the situation in Greece:

Over in Greece local media are making much of revelations that Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis was strong-armed into allowing inspectors representing the deeply unpopular troika to return to Athens.

Greek officials are keeping mum but EU sources in Brussels have revealed in no uncertain terms that Athens was posed with an ultimatum: either it allowed auditors to examine its books, in situ, or emergency funds would be stopped.

The ultimatum was made by no less than ECB president Mario Draghi, according to officials cited in a Bloomberg report. Greece is fast approaching the day of reckoning with room for manoeuvre becoming ever narrower as it races against the clock - and a mountain of maturing debt repayments - to avoid a credit crunch. Athens must repay €300 million to the IMF by the end of the week.

Economists are saying the situation is becoming desperate. Liquidity fears are such that the leftist-led government has reportedly beseeched the Greek subsidiaries of multinational firms for short-term loans.

The General Accounting office, it was revealed today, has also stopped payments on any state expenditure not related to pensions or salaries - and fears are growing of an “internal default” which could see the government making reduced payments to pensioners and public employees.

Germany's Schaeuble: no time for wasting time on Greece

Germany’s finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble has yet to be won over by Yanis Varoufakis, his counterpart in Greece.

Speaking frankly (as usual) at the Econfin meeting in Brussels on Tuesday, Schaeuble said Varoufakis was the only person in the eurogroup (eurozone finance ministers) to believe that no time has been wasted on hammering out Greek reforms.

He added:

Greece must talk to the institutions to ensure that the memorandum of understanding (agreed with its creditors) is fulfilled.

Only when this condition has been met is there a possibility for payment to be made from the programme.

Markets found no cheer from the latest data to come out of Italy, which showed a surprise fall in industrial production in January.

Production fell 0.7% over the month, dampening hopes of a recovery from recession. Economists polled by Reuters had predicted a 0.2% rise.

It was the first drop in industrial production since September. In Italy production tends to show a strong correlation with GDP, which was flat in the fourth quarter of 2014.

The Italian economy is mired in a three-year recession, with industrial production down by almost a quarter since its 2008 peak.

The picture for production looked slightly better over a three-month period, up 0.1% according to Italy’s statistics agency, ISTAT.

The figures were at odds with the equivalent numbers out of France this morning. French industrial production grew by o.4% in January, beating expectations of a 0.3% fall.

This reaction from Jennifer McKeown, senior European economist at Capital Economics:

January’s French industrial data support the message from the German and Spanish releases that activity was expanding slowly at the start of the year. But the fall in Italian production suggests that the three-year recession there has continued.

Today’s data, together with earlier figures from Germany and Spain, suggest that Thursday’s eurozone release will show that industrial production stagnated in January.

So despite signs of improvement in some of the business surveys, there is little hard evidence to suggest that the slow recovery in the region is gaining pace.

Updated

FTSE falls 1.2%

Investors across Europe are feeling less optimistic than they were earlier this morning. Fears over Greece’s future are creeping back in.

  • FTSE 100: -1.2% at 6,793.5
  • Germany’s DAX: -0.7% at 11,495.61
  • France’s CAC: -0.7% at 4,901.52
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB: -0.9% at 22,370
  • Spain’s IBEX: -1.1% at 10,933.2

The FTSE fall is being led lower by the oil and energy companies, tracking falls in commodities. Brent crude oil is down 1.3% at $57.75 a barrel.

Shares in Prudential are still down more than 2% after the insurer announced the resignation of its chief executive Tidjane Thiam.

Euro falls to near 12-year low against dollar

Time for a European holiday? The euro has edged closer towards parity with the dollar, dropping to $1.076.

It’s the first time below $1.08 since September 2003 as the two central banks in question take opposite positions on monetary policy.

While the European Central Bank is just kickstarting its QE programme, pumping more than €1 trillion into the eurozone economy, the US Federal Reserve is getting ready to tighten policy with an interest rate hike on the cards.

Updated

Greek deflation slows in February

The pace of price falls in Greece slowed in February, with annual consumer inflation of -2.2% compared with 2.8% in January according to the nation’s statistics office.

The deflation rate also decelerated on an EU-harmonised basis, with prices falling by 1.9% in February - not as much as the 2.6% drop forecast by economists in a Reuters poll.

Greece has now been in deflation for two years as wage cuts, austerity and the country’s financial crisis take their toll.

The European Central Bank has pressed the button on a €1.1 trillion programme of sovereign bond purchases in a bid to ward of a wider deflationary spiral in the eurozone.

Annual inflation in the single currency bloc was -0.3% in February, up from -0.6% in January. The ECB is hoping that its quantitative easing programme will help to push inflation back into positive territory.

Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s says a Greek exit from the euro probably wouldn’t be a major deal for foreign banks, with ratings downgrades unlikely.

In a report called This Time, Foreign Banks Have Less To Fear About A Grexit, S&P argues:

Given the relatively limited scale of banks’ exposures to Greece, we do not currently expect that a Grexit would, in and of itself, lead to ratings changes for foreign banks, or that exposed foreign banks would require additional capital support.

We consider the direct impact on foreign banks from a Grexit or from continuing uncertainty about it as limited because they have relatively limited direct exposure to Greek banks or to Greece’s public and private sector, having significantly reduced their lending since the restructuring of Greek government debt in 2012.

According to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), foreign banks’ direct exposures against Greek entities amounted to $46 billion (£30.5 billion) as of September 2014, with further potential exposures in the form of derivatives, guarantees, and commitments amounting to $22.8 billion. Those levels are markedly lower than recent highs of $138 billion in early 2011.

Banks in three countries account for over 80% of total foreign banks’ direct Greek exposures as of September 2014: Germany ($13.5 billion), the UK. ($13.5 billion), and the US ($10.6 billion). However, these amounts represent a very small proportion of each country’s total banking sector foreign direct exposures, at 0.56% for Germany, 0.36% for the UK, and 0.34% for the US.

Greek shares are up

Greek investors are not letting a lack of agreed reforms get in the way of some spring cheer.

The ATG index in Athens is up almost 3% at 837.27 this morning. The banks are among the top risers.

Judging by the smiles, there appears to be a fair amount of cheer in Brussels this morning, despite the lack of progress made on Greece at yesterday’s meeting of eurozone finance ministers.

The meeting might offer Greek finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, brief respite from the spotlight. Ministers at the Ecofin meeting are planning to focus their attention on other, EU-wide, issues today.

Greek reform proposals presented by Varoufakis were rejected yesterday by euro finance minister as inadequate and generally a bit vague.

Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch finance minister and eurogroup president, expressed frustration yesterday at the lack of progress so far.

We have spent the last two weeks discussing who will meet who, where and in what configuration.

It’s been a complete waste of time.

He then confirmed that the three institutions behind Greece’s bailout - the European commission, the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank – will hold “technical talks” on the Greek proposals on Wednesday.

Ecofin meeting kicks off

Finance ministers from across the European Union have arrived for the Ecofin meeting in Brussels.

Top of the agenda is the implementation of a banking union, as well as a European fund for strategic investments.

The UK’s chancellor, George Osborne, is attending Ecofin today.

He has been accused of using the meeting as an excuse to dodge Treasury questions, where shadow chancellor Ed Balls was planning to quiz him on Conservative plans for spending cuts.

Figures published earlier showed a surprise rise in French industrial production.

Production increased 0.4% in January, beating expectations of 0.3% fall. It followed a 1.4% increase in December.

Elsewhere in Europe, investors appear a little underwhelmed this morning as they consider the inconclusive outcome from yesterday’s eurogroup meeting on Greece and What It All Means.

  • German DAX: -0.1 at 11,574.17
  • France’s CAC 40: +0.1% at 4,940.38
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB: -0.1 at 22,550.73
  • Spain’s IBEX: +0.2% at 11,072.5

The Pru has yet to announce a replacement for Thiam, but chairman Paul Manduca said a successor has been identified and will be announced “once the regulatory approval process has been completed”.

Lots of speculation that Mike Wells, the head of the Pru’s US business, is the chosen one.

Pru leads the FTSE 100 lower

The FTSE 100 has opened slightly lower, down 0.2% at 6,863.41.

Pru shares are down more than 3% at £16.09 on the news that its respected chief executive, Tidjane Thiam, is leaving to lead Credit Suisse.

Updated

More on the Pru’s announcement this morning.

Paul Manduca, the insurer’s chairman, piled on the praise for Thiam:

Tidjane has been one of the most exceptional leaders in Prudential’s long and illustrious history.

From leading the group through the financial crisis at the end of the last decade, first as CFO and then as CEO, to shaping an Asia-focused strategy that has seen Prudential grow into an ever more successful UK-based financial services business, he has been a great servant to the company and all its stakeholders in his seven years on our board.

Although the Board will be sorry to see him go, we understand his desire to take on a new challenge with another global leader in a different part of the financial services sector, headquartered in Switzerland, and we wish him every success in his new role.

On a call with journalists this morning , Thiam said he was leaving on a high.

Tidjane Thiam quits the Pru

Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.

Prudential has issued a statement this morning confirming the departure of its chief executive Tidjane Thiam. The statement follows press reports overnight (read our story here).

Thiam is leaving to become chief executive of Credit Suisse, replacing Brady Dougan at the bank.

Thiam decisions at the Pru have been controversial at times, but the insurer’s share price has been tripled since he became chief executive in October 2009 as he built the company’s position in Asia.

It will be interesting to see how investors react to the news when markets open.

In 2010, Thiam survived a failed $35.5bn (£23.5bn) takeover bid for the Asian life assurance division of AIG in 2010.

Thiam is hosting a call with journalists, more on that soon.

Also today:

  • We will be bringing you all the latest on Greece, following yesterday’s stalemate at the latest eurogroup meeting. Greece has been told to go away and do more work on its proposed reforms. Our full report from Brussels is here
  • An Ecofin meeting of EU finance ministers is taking place today. We will bring you any updates
  • Industrial production figures from Italy and France
  • A look ahead to Wednesday’s meeting between Greece and its creditors

Updated

 

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